1/ China’s e-commerce, with the highest online penetration (30%+), serves as a playbook of how the industry might evolve:

Search-based -> Social E-comm (2018) -> On-demand (2020) -> Live Streaming (2021+)

The industry, though very mature, has become MORE fragmented over time
2/ Where’s the rest of the world following China’s playbook:

- US: early days for Live Streaming E-commerce (all big platforms plus start-ups)
- SEA and LatAm: social e-commerce (Shopee)

Globally, the line between online media and e-commerce platforms is blurring...
3/ Key stats of China's Live Streaming E-commerce:

- 400mm users (50% of total e-commerce users)
- Already a $200bn market (15% of total e-comm), expect to take 30% market share by 2025E
- Growing 3x faster vs. industry
- Top platforms: Taobao Live + Douyin + Kuaishou
4/ Unit Economics of Live Streaming E-commerce:

- KOLs and celebrities take 20%+
- Increasingly we are seeing GMVs generated by brands themselves

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Freda Duan

Freda Duan Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @FredaDuan

17 Dec
1/ BABA 2021 Investor Day Takeaway

No guidance was provided for FY23E.

"Investing" was the theme of this year.

New segmentation for its business segments (see below) was provided. International commerce, local services and Cainiao used to be all lumped under "China Commerce".
2/ Taobao/Tmall: a more mature, lower growth business going forward

- It will take some time to counter "market uncertainties", i.e. changing consumer behavior and competition

- "1+X" strategy to address more shopping scenarios and product categories (home décor, groceries)
3/ Deals/Taocaicai/Local Services: in investment mode as the company plays catch up

- New investments will be focused on multiple areas: lower-tier cities, grocery, international, Cainiao, and cloud

- Expect losses to gradually narrow as scale increases
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(