Rumors are flying that Lula may select one of the most despised figures by the Brazilian left as his VP: Geraldo Alckmin (portrayed here as "Alckmin Dead"). He says he'll only announce his running mate in March, but why would PT even consider it? I'll try to explain. thread
1) Alckmin's only chance of the VP slot w/ Lula is if he leaves PSDB for the PSB (Brazilian socialist party). With support for PSDB SP governor Doria plummeting and 2014 Pres. candidate Aecio Neves in the gutter, this will destroy PT's biggest historic enemy, PSDB.
2) Alckmin leads all polls for the 2022 Sao Paulo gubernatorial race, followed by PT's Fernando Haddad and PSB's Márcio França. A PT/PSB presidential ticket would deliver SP to Haddad, giving PT control of the 1st and 2nd biggest governments in Brazil.…
3) This year, PSOL's most successful politician of all times/former mentor to Marielle Franco, Marcelo Freixo migrated to PSB. He's a favorite in Rio de Janeiro's gubernatorial election next year. This would give a PT/PSB coalition control of Brazil's 3 largest governments.
4) The neoliberal PSDB is the all time favorite party of the US DNC. As it's 2nd most powerful politician of all times, Alckmin's move to a Lula ticket may just be enough to convince the Biden gov. to not hold another coup against the PT next year. It's a survival strategy.
5) Lula says a possible PT/PSB ticket with Alckmin would be a the best strategy for protecting against a potential 3rd path type surge by US-puppet/former Lava Jato judge Sergio Moro. With Moro stalled in single digits though, it may not be necessary.…
6) Lula has made it clear he doesn't think it's possible to take power in capitalist Brazil without compromises with capitalists. In the den of snake-like conservative potential VPs, Alckmin stands out for opposing the 2016 coup against Dilma Rousseff.…
I made this thread to explain the logic behind this idea. On a personal level, I will decide whether I support it or not if/when it ever actually happens. Anything before that is just speculation.

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More from @BrianMteleSUR

19 Dec
In May 2017, Brazil's unions united in Brasilia, marched against coup President Michel Temers' labor reforms and were brutally attacked by the police. I filmed it and am shocked to learn that Guilherme Boulos' millionaire financier Walfrido Warde blames unions for the reforms.
In a 2020 Op Ed, Warde, the corporate lawyer/president of NED-connected Instituto IREE accusing the union movement of standing by, perplexed and inert as the [post labor reform] number of people with signed work cards shrunk, replaced by freelancers…
He goes on to accuse the big Union Federations - the implication is that he's talking about the CUT - of turning their backs on gig economy app drivers. He wrote this 5 years after CUT helped form the first Uber drivers union in Brazil.…
Read 12 tweets
18 Dec
Yesterday, I sat in on the São Paulo Central de Movimentos Populares (CMP) planning meeting for 12 simultaneous protests against hunger marked for Dec. 21. 5 years of austerity has brought back famine. Bones are being sold in Brazilian supermarkets for the first time in 20 years
The CMP is a popular (poor/working class) social movement umbrella w/scores of affiliates and around 500,000 members nationwide that started through the liberation theology movement, then broke with the Catholic church in the 90s over the issue of LGBT rights.
During yesterday's meeting, some of the state directors talked about participating in the "Carestia" (famine) protests during the neofascist military dictatorship as children. "Let's teach the young people the songs we sang and the tactics we used," one leader said.
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17 Dec
As famine reaches its highest levels since the 1990s, Brazil's most radical left squatters movement, Movimento de Luta nos Bairros, Vilas e Favelas (MLB), coordinated simultaneous occupations of supermarkets 10 cities yesterday, demanding their right to food. + Image
Brazilians have the right to not go hungry, thanks to constitutional amendment 47, approved in Congress and ratified by Lula on February 5, 2003. Image
The PT sacrificed lot of historic goals in the name of taking and holding onto power, but it did fulfill its most important promise to the Brazilian people - to end hunger. In 2014, the UN removed Brazil from the World Hunger…
Read 6 tweets
16 Dec
IPEC 2022 presidential election poll looks at 2 possible scenarios. In the 1st, disgraced ex-Lava Jato judge Sergio Moro appears in 3rd with 8%. The 2nd scenario includes folkloric, Christian fireman/former PSOL Congressman Cabo Daciolo. Here, Moro drops to 6%. Coincidence?
Daciolo joined PSOL after leading a Rio fireman's strike in 2011. He was elected to congress in 2014. In 2015, he was kicked out of PSOL for proposing an amendment changing wording in the Constitution from "All power emanates from the people", to "All power emanates from God."
During the 2018 presidential race, he provided a lot of comic relief in the debates, beginning every speech by saying "Glory to God" in a thick Rio de Janeiro accent. As the election date neared, he moved to a mountain top to live as a hermit.
Read 6 tweets
14 Dec
Happy 74th to Dilma Rousseff, former accountant for VAR-Palmares, political prisoner, energy technocrat, Chief of Staff to President Lula, and Brazil's 1st woman president - illegally impeached in a US-backed effort to turn Brazil's petroleum over to imperialist multinationals. ImageImage
The charge used to impeach her, fiscal pedaling - which she was later exonerated from - was not legally categorized as an impeachable offense in Brazil. It was legalized by the Senate 2 days after she left office and is currently practiced by the Bolsonaro administration.
In 2016, +- 8% of Brazil's pre-salt petroleum reserves (among the world's largest) were owned by foreign companies. By 2019, 75% had been auctioned off at pennies on the dollar. Unlike in the Middle East, the US didn't have to invade, thanks to Brazil's comprador bourgeoisie. Image
Read 6 tweets
12 Dec
As Julian Assange's extradition approaches, let's remember how Wikileaks exposed Sergio Moro's role in the birth of the US/Curitiba Public Prosecutors Lava Jato investigation, which destroyed key sectors of Brazil's development strategy and helped put Bolsonaro in power. ctd
"This is the first regional conference conducted under the Projeto PONTES (Translation: Bridges Project) umbrella, a new training concept post introduced in February 2009 to consolidate bi-lateral law enforcement training."
"Judge Sergio Moro then discussed the 15 most common issues he sees in money laundering cases in the Brazilian Courts. U.S. presenters discussed [...] formal and informal international cooperation [...], plea bargaining,"
Read 10 tweets

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