Here's how Omicron can be doubling every 2 days or less, even though the number of cases isn't: we don't have one pandemic, we have two - Delta & Omicron.
So for the last month we've had a background high level of Delta (circulating at same speed as before) + rocketing Omicron.
So for the last month we've had a background high level of Delta (circulating at same speed as before) + rocketing Omicron.
NOTES
- Those lines on the graph are to illustrate the point. They're not supposed to be exact
- We only sequence a fraction of cases so we won't find Omicron in the others. If you look only at confirmed Omicron cases, they are indeed doubling every 2 days
- Those lines on the graph are to illustrate the point. They're not supposed to be exact
- We only sequence a fraction of cases so we won't find Omicron in the others. If you look only at confirmed Omicron cases, they are indeed doubling every 2 days
- Omicron is becoming dominant and the overwhelming strain, not because Delta went away magically overnight, but because the stats for Delta will be irrelevant compared to the scale of Omicron. (Like a teaspoon of water in a bathtub.)
This is our almost certain near future (note that the Omicron may not be steep enough)...
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