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Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
@orwell2022
Dec 22, 2021 • 17 tweets • 9 min read • Read on X
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1/ I mirror his words back now @dimgrr

The OWID website is one of the worst. After almost a 2 years, there still aren't any age de-confounded ASMR, and the coverage time series only include misleading aggregated figures. OWID delivers one Simpson's paradox after another.
2/ Here some input for @redouad. OWID likes to fear porn with unadjusted death figures. Even better with cumulated "total deaths" (sounds scary right?) over several years.

Better method:

orwell2024.substack.com/p/age-adjusted…
3/ Doing it correctly at OWID, you would be able to understand what is happening Mr. Edouard.

Instead, you troll Netherlands and @rivm while having such a bad service yourself.

Change the name OWID to OACUD:

"Our Age Confounded Useless Data".

Here de-confounded👇
4/ Let's play a game Edouart. Find the pandemic in ASMR data:

Can you solve the puzzle?

5/ You want to understand the Netherlands?



In detail here: orwell2024.substack.com/p/netherlands-…
6/ The results are interesting, and give a very different story once de-confounded by demographics, which your service doesn't do.

You must love to work with the Simpson's paradox.
7/ I animated it for you:
8/ For the "Our Age Confounded Useless Data" at OWID "experts".

I here explain what is really going on without using age confounded "sum of all deaths".
9/ Doing this by flu season (July-June) instead of calendar year (which you are doing) we get an even clearer picture.
The eternal lockdowns aren't that healthy at the end, or are they?
10/ And it gets worse in poor countries:

Can you see how lockdowns saved lives. "Our Age Confounded Useless Data" OWID is co-responsible for fuelling this lockdown mass hysteria. Is it the flavour of your money source? Gates and WHO?

11/ How do you explain that the unvaccinated in east Germany were already dying in 2017? A time machine?

12/ Could it be this?
13/ We can do this on country level as well:

Can you see it Edouart?

14/ Here is Germany with 2021 included:

Vaccine or obesity? What do you think fits better.
15/ Now ASMR for more countries with 2021 included. The grey countries have no data yet in ec.europa.eu/eurostat/datab… up to week 47, therefore not shown.

Orwell2022 age de-confounded data

...or...

@redouad "Our Age Confounded Useless Data" (OWID).

What is better?
16/ Why is OWID doing this? They seem to have more urgent issues like the use of political correct(?) "colour blind" colour codes.

I recommend the comments section where @redouad engaged (showing his irritation):
17/ So let's vote for @redouad

Which map is better in helping the human colour vision brain process information faster?

A) The colour blind version of OWID?
B) The high colour contrast version of Wikipedia?

A hint: can you spot Papua-Neuguinea's problem in OWID's new colours?

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More from @orwell2022

Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
May 13
1/ Let's revisit this result from AIRS satellite measurements over 17 years, showing a +0.36W increase in forcing alongside a 40 ppm rise in CO2 concentration.

Does this align with the "observed" (questionable) increase in global temperature anomaly (+0.6C)?

Let’s do a check.
Image
2/The IPCC reports a calculated CO2 forcing of +0.5W, as detailed on the NOAA AGGI page, which you can find here:



The SW calculation overestimates by 40% compared to the +0.36W derived by the AIRS satellite, marking the first significant discrepancy. gml.noaa.gov/aggi/aggi.html
Image
3/ Now we return to Happer's paper, showing that doubling CO2 from 400 --> 800 ppm results in +3W of forcing.


This is consistent with +3.5W reported by the NOAA AGGI (+3.5W).

arxiv.org/pdf/2006.03098

gml.noaa.gov/aggi/aggi.html

Image
Read 7 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Apr 25
Imagine claiming the trial was correct, deploying it to 95% in NZ/AUT, and then—boom!—the incidence explodes instead of the virus being eliminated which should already happen at ~70% rate, and was calculated mathematically to happen based on that very promise. False. Study ➡️🚮
Moreover, mortality rises instead of falling. Who are these people still lying about its mortality effectiveness? It’s a failure, and rightfully, Pfizer's stock is plummeting. Keep grieving; won’t help. We want the money back. Those who wanted it can still buy it with own money.
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They think that they will get out of this? Desperation. Or did he just admit that everybody (including the CEO Fauci CDC…) were involved in deceptive advertising claims? I doubt that it is going to have a better outcome. Keep digging the hole 👍

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Read 4 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Oct 9, 2023
1/ Important. ERA5 is a weather model, not a measurement. This summer field tests revealed: rural areas suffer heat bias due to urban heat pollution, making models/interpolations heat biased.

Here a demo that ERA5 is wrong on the tested location.

Truth ~24C. ✅
ERA5: 28C. ❌
Image
2/ This implies that all temperature aggregations in climate aggregations incorporate the heat bias prevalent in rural areas. This outcome is hardly surprising given that the majority of weather stations are situated in urban or airport environments.
3/ Code to create custom location ERA5 graph: based on:
github.com/planet-os/note…
Image
Read 23 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Oct 1, 2023
Men are women.
Plants don’t need CO2.

Brought to us by the unscientific cult.

Try to grow water plants without adding CO2. Try to grow plants in a fully air sealed greenhouse. And biological men: get pregnant.



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They seem to rewrite history. Removing articles. 404 not found.
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They also changed the headline now. Added „for now“. Obviously it was not narrative compliant.

Before and after.
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Read 4 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Sep 11, 2023
1/ Let's use the linear connection between Mortality and Life expectancy to illustrate the real implications of #netzero.

Energy scarcity will escalate mortality rates as there is no such thing as low energy consumption and high life expectancy.
Image
2/Context: When aiming to determine the Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (ASMR) rather than Life Expectancy (LE), we employ a straightforward relationship:

ASMR = 90 - LE
(valid for ESP2013 population)

However, for those who find it more relevant, we can maintain the LE-CO2 Image
3/ It's important to mention that money is an abstraction of promised future work (energy future). This is why the US dollar is linked to oil; US have grasped this concept.

Rather than $ inflation adjustments, you can express your wealth / income as tons CO2 (or MWh) instead.
Read 12 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Sep 2, 2023
1/ Thanks to the Simpson’s paradox (alle age vaxx rates + all age excess) + spurious correlation (ecological fallacy), the Professor is resurfacing the manipulative fallacy from 2021.

Let’s demonstrate on pre-vaxx year 2020.
@MartinKulldorff
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2/ Just to highlight further: the vaccination rate in the age group 65+ where 99% of mortality comes from, is equivalent in almost all European countries and higher than 90%. Image
3/ He’s furthermore using the ecological fallacy, which we can use to make a time machine (called spurious correlation) and have the vaccine given 2021 working in 2019 or earlier.
Read 5 tweets

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