In spring '21 vaccine acceptance rose as vaccines were rolled out.
Then came news of rare but severe side-effects from the AstraZeneca vaccine.
Our new paper shows that this caused international vaccine hesitancy: doi.org/10.1016/j.vacc….
A thread on what can be learned🧵(1/9)
In March '21, news emerged about blood clots following vaccination with AZ (science.org/content/articl…). Public attention grew strongly when 3 Nordic countries suspended the use of the vaccine altogether on March 11, as seen from this plot of search volumes. (2/9)
A previous study concluded that this suspension didn't create hesitancy: ugeskriftet.dk/dmj/sustained-…. Yet, this study compared hesitancy from two time points a month apart. If vaccine acceptance was trending upwards, this may be a problematic analysis strategy. (3/9)
On the week March 11, we tracked daily rates of vaccine acceptance in 8 countries:🇩🇰🇭🇺🇮🇹🇺🇸🇩🇪🇸🇪🇬🇧🇫🇷. In prior months, acceptance *had* been rising (blue dots) in all countries with the succesful roll-out. Some countries suspended the vaccine a few days later. Others didn't. (4/9)
Across all countries, acceptance was 8 %-points lower following the suspension relative to March 10. The effect was driven by countries that ended up suspending themselves. Acceptance in these countries took two hits: One on March 11 and one when they suspended themselves. (5/9)
What can be learned? Should authorities be less public about this? Certainly not. Transparency is key for upholding trust (doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2…), which again is key for public support for the overall vaccination program (incl., e.g., boosters) (bmjopen.bmj.com/content/11/6/e…). (6/9)
That the effect is limited to countries that suspended suggests that it depends on being part of the same info eco-system (e.g., reliance on EMA). This shows how crucial rapid information sharing is to help the authorities in other countries communicate effectively. (7/9)
Information should be shared both about the discoveries but also about the strategy. What are the specific considerations behind the suspension? One country's decision will depend on many local factors, which may not apply elsewhere: thelancet.com/journals/lance…. 👇 (8/9)
Worst, the news reached the developing world too: apnews.com/article/europe…. Adding hesitancy to vaccine inequity is unacceptable.
During a pandemic one country's actions will affect everyone else. We are in this together & responses need to reflect this at every step. (9/9)
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
We surveyed experiences of victims in 30 countries across the world (N=15,202) to show that political & economic inequality drive global differences in abuse on online platforms:
Our preregistered study show that experiences of being a victim to online hostility vary widely. West Europeans experience political hostility less than once a month but hostility is much higher in other parts of the world. 2/12
These differences reflect basic societal conditions of inequality. Political equality (i.e., presence of democracy) is highly correlated with online abuse (corr = -.69) as is economic inequality (corr = .45). 3/12
“The unvaccinated, I really want to piss them off. And so, we’re going to continue doing so, until the end. That’s the strategy,” said Macron during the COVID-19 pandemic
In a new article, we show the risks of such moralized cost-imposition:
Similar, but less strong, rethoric was used by the Danish primeminister during a press conference on Nov 8, 2021.
During the time, we collected daily representative surveys of trust in the response etc. in the @HopeProject_dk. 2/7
@HopeProject_dk Our findings show that, as result of the press conference, unvaccinated lost 11 %-points of trust in the response. It also decreased their motivation to contribute to the collective action problem of reducing infections as well as their felt ability to cope with the pandemic. 3/7
I was asked by the board of the Danish National Research Foundation, @GrundforskFond, to give a talk at their annual meeting.
They asked me to talk under the theme: "Preprints"
Here is what I said 👇
🧵 1/18
@GrundforskFond A key challenge facing the dissemination of knowledge is delays in publication ().
The social sciences are hard hit. 18 months from submission to publication in Economics & this is only *if* the paper is accepted in that journal. 2/18 sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
@GrundforskFond The evidence suggest that the delay is getting worse, not better, over time (). This is mostly due to increased time in review.
@concitoinfo Tal fra @ HopeProject_dk viser, at der ikke er helt aMMW konsensus om hårde instrumenter som skatter og afgifter, men selv er der kun ca. 30 %, der er uenige: 3/8 https://t.co/yV5W77QaHxgithub.com/Hopeproject202…
The Danish government has appointed me to direct a 5-year audit of Danish democracy in the 21st century: ufm.dk/aktuelt/presse…
Political scientists can think of Dahl's classic, "Who Governs?", but for an entire country. It is a monumental research challenge.
🧵 1/5
Parliament-initiated studies of power & democracy constitute a Scandinavian tradition. The last Danish study ended in 2003. In the following year Facebook was launched & fundamental societal changes have happened since. 2/5
A core focus is thus how and whether "slow-speed" democracy is fundamentally threatened by current "high-speed" society -- characterised by rapid technological innovation, increasing problem complexity, fast-paced media reporting & rising inequality. 3/5
I denne tråd skitserer jeg det, der ligger forude, og nogle af de udfordringer, som demokratiet står foran i det 21. århundrede.
🧵 1/14
Magtudredninger er en særlig skandinavisk tradition, hvor parlamentet beder uafhængige forskere om at vurdere om de - og andre magtaktører - lever op til demokratiets idealer og udstyrer forskerne med væsentlige ressourcer til den opgave. 2/14
Én gang tidligere har man gennemført en magtudredning i DK (magtudredningen.dk). Bl.a. under overskriften "et ganske levende demokrati" konkluderede man, at DKs demokrati var robust, og at forskydningerne af magt i høj grad var politisk bestemte & dermed under kontrol. 3/14