The explosion of cases in NYC may be at least stabilizing. From 12/16 ... 7500 > 9800 > 0 > 18200 > 12300 > 18000 > 16800. Still extremely high numbers. Massive growth over last two weeks. But there does seem to be some deceleration of growth.
2/ Here's the NYT's graphical representation of those numbers. One thing you can see is that if you take out the back from the weekend one day big numbers then what I'm saying may be a stabilization over the last week looks a bit more iffy. 
3/ One other potential data point is that there were basically four weeks in Gauteng/RSA from beginning to crest of the omicron wave. What's not clear to me is when the Omicron wave starts in NYC, though that is knowable with retrospective lab analysis.
4/ In the beginning of December the idea was that we were in a winter Delta wave that was hitting before Omicron arrived. That seems much less clear now. The other wildcard which I don't know how to factor in is home antigen tests. Despite shortages the city is still ...
5/ awash in them. If you get a positive antigen test there's really no reason for the vast majority of people to get a PCR test, especially with long lines in frigid weather. Most of those don't get counted, though perhaps it all comes out in the wash in terms of the ...
6/ case trend. All this said, it does seem like NYC metro is certainly three weeks into its Omicron surge. So a peak of cases may not be that far off. And in other areas the peak has been followed by a pretty sharp drop off.
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