Stuck working on Christmas Eve means that I have spotted this…
SAGE papers just released show one scenario being modelled is to bring in tough new restrictions next week that last until **March 28**.
SAGE papers just released show one scenario being modelled is to bring in tough new restrictions next week that last until **March 28**.
That section from a new Spi-M statement released tonight.
The full modelling is done by Uni of Warwick, also published tonight.
It looked at Dec 28, Jan 1 as possible start dates for new Covid rules
…and Jan 15, Jan 28, March 28 possible end dates.
The full modelling is done by Uni of Warwick, also published tonight.
It looked at Dec 28, Jan 1 as possible start dates for new Covid rules
…and Jan 15, Jan 28, March 28 possible end dates.
Not just a passing mention.
Here’s one of the breakdowns from Uni of Warwick modelling for the impact of tougher restrictions.
March 28 would = three months of tighter Covid rules.
Here’s one of the breakdowns from Uni of Warwick modelling for the impact of tougher restrictions.
March 28 would = three months of tighter Covid rules.
The restrictions being modelled are a return to a version of ‘step 2’ on the original reopening roadmap.
That would be things like no indoor socialising, rule of six outdoors, no overnight stays outside your bubble.
That would be things like no indoor socialising, rule of six outdoors, no overnight stays outside your bubble.
Important cautionary context: this is just modelling to inform government scientists.
It’s understood this modelling hasn’t gone to government ministers and tough to see Cabinet approving.
But gives a sense of what’s being looked at by the scientists.
It’s understood this modelling hasn’t gone to government ministers and tough to see Cabinet approving.
But gives a sense of what’s being looked at by the scientists.
Spi-M statement over here: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Warwick modelling here: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Warwick modelling here: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
And with that, I’m off. Happy Christmas! 🎅🏽
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