Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
eigenrobot Profile picture
@eigenrobot
Dec 27, 2021 • 19 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
flight home canceled with like four hours warning

god fucking dammit
i can see this ending with me paying two fucking grand for an alternative flight
airline gold status number just went dead when i called
the link to rebook on another airline broke the first time i clicked it and has been expired since

there are no other flights available today or tomorrow

i have been waiting for a call back for hours

@AlaskaAir get your shit together jesus christ
ah very good very good cool Image
im not fucking driving 30 hours across the country with a screaming infant stop telling me to do this
barring additional cancelations im somehow im making it home tonight and it only cost me two grand
managed to find the last first class ticket on a delta flight to portland. im taking that and renting a car and driving up to Seattle

meanwhile moon will have the last seat out of minneapolis to seattle proper (!!!) on a sun country flight arriving at SEA 3h after i get to PDX
by this back assward method we should be sitting at home around midnight and moon can pass out with the baby while i clean up whatever disaster the cats have left for us

we did it reddit
lol actually no we didnt moon's flight just got canceled

rebooked to thursday 🙄
apparently the top floor of SEA airport parking is closed because of snow which is too bad because im parked there

kind of wonder if the airport is just basically nonfunctional

rumors that they cant get anyone to plow anywhere because of vaccine mandates, everyone quit
currently about an hour out from portland where my car awaits me

slowly caffeinating before getting a bigass gas station cup when i get on the road

i received a report from moon that baby was delivering a speech at dinner. something about "DADA GO"

im gonna make it 😤😤😤
christ this coffee is bad. burned to shit. must have been on the burned for hours

perfect for the road
stretching outside olympia and reflecting

there is something equine about a semi trailer overturned in a ditch, fading into the snow

btw im fine and assjme remain so until you hear otherwise, i promise i will post first thing if i wreck this rental
at SEA

they did "close" the top floor, the bastards

investigating further
hello lovely Image
time to go home

if i can find gas
Image
Image
I AM INDOMITABLE
Image
Image
@threadreaderapp unroll

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with eigenrobot

eigenrobot Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @eigenrobot

eigenrobot Profile picture
Oct 9
israel is NOT an ally of america. theyre aggressively trying to capture our strategic ashkenazi resources. is that how an ally behaves?
a true America First policy would be ANTIZIONIST

jews dont belong in israel. they belong in new york and its time to come home

the eigenrobot administration is prepared to agree to a population swap of 100 american muslims repatriated to arabia for each israeli returned to us
im also prepared to accept a "Two State' solution wherein palestinians from gaza and the west bank will be resettled in michigan territory redesignated "new palestine" and expelled from the union. in exchange the US will accept all current Israeli territory as a new 50th state
Read 5 tweets
eigenrobot Profile picture
Sep 22
cant believe ive been outed as a postrationalist

but yes im sorry the credibility revolution was a mistake and economics has long since abandoned careful empirical work for atheoretical regression slop that it massively overinterprets to mindlessly support political claims
my advice to you is if you ever want to ruin a party full of applied econometricians talking about the effect of immigration on native employment, bring up the mariel boatlift after everyone is several drinks in

you may find result enlightening and you'll certainly have some fun Image
fun inside story

when seattle implemented a $15/hr minimum wage they asked some ppl at UW to do a study of the employment effects

the big paper dropped in 2017 and found huge disemployment effects

so the city immediately disavowed it and ran to amherst for a rebuttal
Read 6 tweets
eigenrobot Profile picture
Sep 21
we can easily exploit this with secondary markets in H1B workers. all we need to do is buy up 63 H1Bs for a guaranteed successful IPO. vcs are leaving trillion dollar bills on the ground here
its a reasonable microeconomics paper with a plausible identification method and lots of regressions that are highly suggestive if you dont think about them too much

(are patents actually predictive of ipo success? are the h1bs producing these patents themselves? lol who knows) Image
Image
the literature review provides some complementary evidence, some of which is interesting context and some of which flatly contradicts the claim tabarrok would like to make Image
Read 15 tweets
eigenrobot Profile picture
Sep 18
Set normative considerations aside a moment.

Is there any way that Dems and the left, going forward, could credibly commit to not suppressing speech? I don't see it.

If not, is recent suppression of speech by the administration construable as strategic retaliation?
It's tricky.

This dynamic is _not_ obviously gainfully-modeled as IPD. Instead of acting simultaneously, one agent (here representing something like a D/R coalition) decides to act in each round.

Who acts next round is nondeterministic and may be affected by actions this round.
More things to consider in this model:

1. If party institutions are ahistorically weak, which I think they are now, discounting of future rounds ought to be treated as relatively intense, which makes commitment more difficult
Read 16 tweets
eigenrobot Profile picture
Sep 16
somewhere along the way i think maybe what happened was, eliezer started believing everything he thought

easy pitfall as you age, probably. IME when you spend enough time thinking, certain things crystalize and you get less patient about the process

happens to everyone prolly
the vital urge to say "ok, how is this wrong" starts to fade as you get older, because you've played that game so many times that it gets tiresome and you start to think you know what that room holds

usually you're right, but it's an easy way to get stuck
second issue is the cost of doing this sort of inquiry gets higher as you accumulate more committed beliefs or expectations

once more, you're usually more likely to be "correct" at any given moment, but updating gets very costly as your world model is built out and solidified
Read 5 tweets
eigenrobot Profile picture
Sep 13
its been a long week so tonight please relax as i relate to you the tale of a great episode in american autism Image
our third president, thomas jefferson, was immensely autistic

he spent much of his time inventing questionably useful devices, getting hung up on and beefing over irrelevant abstractions, pursuing unwise relationships w subordinates, and recording data for no particular reason Image
Image
Image
he combined several of these hobbies in an extended incident in the court of france where he was serving as america's ambassador ("minister plenipotentiary") in the mid 1780s, succeeding a real scientist and charmer, benjamin franklin

big shoes to fill! and he tried. awkwardly Image
Read 23 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

Send Email!

:(