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eigenrobot Profile picture
eigenrobot
@eigenrobot
robot. friend. 'like a cato playing clodius in drag.' -- ChatGPT footnotes at @eigenrobot_feet
7 subscribers
Nov 15 • 12 tweets • 6 min read
when people complain abt twitter moving rw i wonder how much of it is just male homosocial norms

yes obviously this is just my lads (gender neutral); but conventional wisdom is twitter's a male space and maybe it's trending moreso

i'd bet the 🦋 site is much higher %women ive been skimming the "Catch Up" feed of the most popular set of tweets from the last 24h and its a mix of

* slice of life cute photos
* entreaties to care about things like independent bookshops and vaccines
* shitlib stuff, mostly by men, but imo vaguely female coded Image
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Nov 13 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
there are (at least) three levels of contextual awareness from which one can usefully perform an analysis

each has a different operating mode

what is important, in each case, is that the analyst correctly assesses her own epistemic starting position Image "i don't know anything" is the start of wisdom. it's the socratic mode.

this is a relatively safe place to perform an analysis, because you make no initial assumptions about the quality nor extent of your own knowledge, and so you're less likely to err through overconfidence
Nov 12 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
after all these years, it's still disorienting to me that "brands" have become left wing coded Image for genz kids, the 90s and early 00s blue tribe was dominated by genx and rabidly anti-consumerist

it's hard to convey how pervasive contempt for corporations used to be. "corporation" was basically a slur representing everything wrong with the world.
Nov 12 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
all right so trump is going to try to crush the universities, in a series of ways i considered a few years ago

quick review of this his primary proposed route of attack is via a series of "accreditation" agencies that confirm school eligibility for eg student loan money, validate their degrees for govt work, and so on
Nov 11 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
i think this is a correct critique of the online right

i further suspect its downstream of "principles" and "dignity" being cynically exploited by generations of civic leaders who have neither to beat them down
---------- Image my model here is the response of the soldiers of the first world war to their experience

the prewar belief in the transcendent died at verdun and the somme and the mud of passchendaele

these were bitter men Image
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Nov 9 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
i'll take the opposite side. my expectation is that trump will be noticeably more successful in attaining his objectives in his second term

several reasons for this Image 1. in trump's first term he seemed to have not planned past the election and he made up policy promises during the campaign on the fly

this time he's got four years of experience and has had four years to plan
Nov 9 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
thoughts on what is and what is not wrong with economics

a reference thread to link later

credentials: i passed my orals at a mediocre economics department and spent the next few years pivoting into tech and when they realized i wasnt working on my thesis they expelled me 1. economics is not a description of "real" things in exactly the way that, say, biology is. you will never "see" a value function; worse, the axioms forming the theoretical basis of value functions are obviously at odds with reality

these things are not problems
Nov 8 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
election high time preference probably makes sense for the individual actors.

every election is a referendum on firing politicians, and the careers of everyone dependent on those politicians are on the line.

probably hard to overcome the incentive to go all in stronger party institutions, which one might expect to have a higher value for the long run, would and probably did ameliorate this problem.

but today's parties are treated as vehicles for the advancement of individuals with no concern for the institutions themselves
Nov 8 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
working on my heterointrasexual theory of mind.

genuinely curious about this: does something like passive aggressive lecturing by women work as a tactic for getting other women to do things?

i dont think it generally works on men, coming from either sex. maybe im wrong about this maybe some men live for it idk
Nov 6 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
this is a really good point and i think what it comes down to is the extent to which red and grey tribes can play nice with each other and with each others' norms

a bunch of probably controversial first thoughts on this: model:
- most current elites sourced from greater yankeedom
- target elites are from tech tribe (shape rotators, autistic trans women, etc)

this is important for the country because
- old elites suck ass
- right needs capable elites tbh
Nov 1 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
"the 2020 election was so obviously transparent and clean that if you question it we will fine you hundreds of millions of dollars and force you to recant at gunpoint"

i literally cannot afford to argue with that "we have tried absolutely nothing and none of its worked, so i guess we have no choice but to throw in the towel"
Oct 31 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
autistic (complimentary) thread on pennsylvania voter rolls. hes been taking snapshots of their dataset. king shit.

i dont have full context of everything going on and can't evaluate it in depth but the specific PA data practices enumerated here, if as described, are execrable reading this made me want to go outside and scream at the autumn sky

if you've ever had to clean data generated by other people i'm sure you'll understand Image
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Oct 31 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
i am once again asking liberals to take seriously making it easy to demonstrate that elections are unambiguously clean

as a matter of self interest, because having half the electorate doubt the result of a vote is an incredibly bad outcome for state legitimacy "this is trumps fault for being an asshole"

sure you obviously cant control trump but dem representatives can work with unfuck our jury-rigged electoral operations

consider where you do have agency
Oct 30 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
earlier i suggested that claims of massive fraud in michigan are fake but also their data make it really hard to dispute such claims afaict

unfortunately evidence is accruing that michigan's vote validation process is in fact Real Bad
detroitnews.com/story/news/pol…Image
Image they caught this dude because he effectively *turned himself in* which suggests their process for validating voter eligibility is nonfunctional

it also suggests cases where people are doing things like this systematically are, perhaps, unlikely to be flagged
Oct 30 • 14 tweets • 5 min read
chat is this real

actually asking unfortunately.

i have no idea how to evaluate epistemics on this off the cuff and dont have time to figure it out, but it feels like a good test case for evaluating Claims i'm having an interesting conversation with gpt about this. so far it has been the opposite of reassuring. will summarize when i'm done interacting Image
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Oct 30 • 14 tweets • 3 min read
before i get started i want to emphasize that i am not about to make some tired argument against the 19th amendment, which you'll recall guaranteed women suffrage in the united states this is just one negative observation about it, not a net condemnation

furthermore id like to think my observations are at least unusual if not novel
Oct 29 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
stray observation for trump enthusiasts

i am noticing many of you holding a worldview that "trump wins and if he doesnt its bc fraud" and ofc you can hold that view if you like, i wont stop you

but i dont think its empirically justifiable and i dont think its strategically apt this is just a super close race, polls suck, data suck

everything i looked at last night seemed on a first pass much worse empirically than even the typical academic paper that comes across my timeline

a wide range of EV are easily rationalizable here
Oct 29 • 13 tweets • 5 min read
quick guide to buying your first suit (or your first suit in a long time) 1. be boring. if you have one (1) suit you want to make it as versatile as possible.

solid blue is a good choice. soft grey is a good choice. don't get anything obviously patterned, you are likely to go overboard.

black is a bad choice unless you're planning to use for funerals
Oct 28 • 18 tweets • 7 min read
how much do i believe this? ex ante idk

its from a good school of government which means they probably are familiar with CI issues although not as autistically as an econ school

its a political claim (bad sign) but not a leftist one (probably good sign, faces higher scrutiny) my actual concern with the paper is that the story seems reasonable but it seems likely that getting a credible identification strategy with good data and reasonable confidence bounds seems challenging to me

but who knows lets see what they got
Oct 27 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
this is an interesting piece, as one would expect from alan moore. this isnt to say its correct.

he unfortunately hasnt had any new thoughts in probably decades, but its useful to have perspective on the present from a man trapped in amber there's something about moore's generation of artists that struggles with masculinity. moore sees fascism everywhere in assertive men; dave sim projects his shit into women; ennis has spends the entirety of preacher meditating on the subject
Oct 25 • 16 tweets • 7 min read
whats going on here. lets find out with chatgpt here's a link to the directive in pdf form:

attached is a gpt summary esd.whs.mil/Portals/54/Doc…Image