Israel is to ease its quarantine rules for Covid. Vaccinated or recovered people will have to take a PCR test immediately and isolate until a negative result. They're then asked to avoid "crowded places" for leisure and entertainment purposes for 10 days.
Until now, vaxxed people were exempt from exposure isolation... except for from Omicron. But with Omicron now likely the dominant variant, in reality thousands of vaxxed people were in 14 day quarantine (shortened to 7 days with a neg test on day 7).
I am sympathetic to shortening exposure quarantines or replacing them with rapid testing. But Israel's new policy doesn't make much sense. Day 1 is too early to expect a positive PCR from Omicron. And the 'crowded places' rule is unenforceable.

In reality, with high Omicron prevalence, vaccinated people might be forced into one-day exposure quarantine several times a WEEK, with people testing negative on day 1 and then potentially being infectious on day 3.
Seems to me like this new policy is "pandemic security theatre", making life complicated and confusing for some and dangerous and scary for others while doing close to nothing to help public health.
My sense is it's partly driven by a sense that Israelis would not accept millions of exposure quarantines for vaccinated people

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More from @ariehkovler

23 Dec
I'm writing a few articles about January 6 over the next few weeks. The first: Inside the MAGA mind in the lead-up to the Capitol attack.

arieh.substack.com/p/from-electio…
It starts with the Problem of Trump. "This guy looks like a narcissistic moron but he's a billionaire President so he must be a genius 4d chess player". Trump's
MAGA base thought of him as a cool, calm calculating man with a plan who never loses.

Yeah. I know.
Remember covfefe, a not-at-all mysterious typo that hardcore Trumpers said was a secret Arabic message or some other code?
Read 14 tweets
23 Dec
The UKHSA's Omicron daily overviews are clearly confusing a lot of people. Even my mum said she'd heard people saying there were only 10-15k Omicron cases a day in the UK This isn't correct, though.
The UK doesn't do genetic sequencing EVERY positive test. They don't have the capacity. They do a lot, which is how they can report 16k confirmed Omicron cases in a day, but they didn't sequence the majority of positive tests.
Luckily, Omicron usually causes a particular result in PCR testing, "S-Gene Target Failure". Delta doesn't do this. So SGTF cases are a good way proxy to keep an eye on Omicron.
Read 6 tweets
22 Dec
Just dug around this. JPost.press was registered 11 days ago and uses Zoho to handle its email traffic. If you go to the website, it redirects through to the REAL Jpost.com. But....
There is an A record IP for Jpost.press — 204.12.216.126 which is a dedicated IP in Kansas City, Missouri. That IP is associated with the name Luo Shiqi, a local academic, but that doesn't suggest her involvement in anything shady.
Put 204.12.216.126 in your browser and you'll be redirected but not to the Jerusalem Post this time. Nope, you'll get the Dubai-based Khaleej Times instead. So are they being targeted in the same way the JPost are? Image
Read 4 tweets
21 Dec
Israel's committee of experts voted tonight to recommend a FOURTH dose of Pfizer's vaccine to over-60s, immunocompromised people and healthcare workers, from 4 months after the third dose.
I admit I'm not sure about a fourth vaccine dose so soon after the third. I assume the idea is to pump up antibody titres to get through Omicron.
The committee voted against a fourth-dose booster for the rest of the population at this point.
Read 6 tweets
21 Dec
A year ago I felt like I was shouting into the void about the impending Capitol riot. I couldn't understand why nobody was taking it seriously.
A year on, after a bunch of investigations, and I still don't feel like I have a satisfactory answer for how the FBI, Secret Service and local Law Enforcement missed what was going on.
The Capitol Riot as it happened was in no way the worst case scenario for Jan 6. The rioters could have captured Congressmen. They could have destroyed the EV envelopes, buying Trump his delay. They could have started shooting. Trump could have tweeted them to keep attacking.
Read 5 tweets
20 Dec
Another NFT thought: NFTs are all about art as a commodity. But the vast majority of artworks are not commodities or investments. They're stuff people buy because they like it and want it on their walls.
There isn't a single picture on my walls that would be worth less to me if other people had an exact copy on THEIR walls. I'm not an art collector, investor or speculator. I just want my living space to look nice.
Many thousands of artists create and sell art to people who like that art. But only a handful of artists have a secondary market where those works appreciate in value. Scarcity isn't the problem; secondary demand is.
Read 6 tweets

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