It's funny how, through the people I interact with, I end up speaking about different things, and perhaps even holding different opinions, when I tweet in English and in French. It's a subtle but real form of split personality.
When I start a thread I normally do it in English, except if it's somehow specifically related to France or the French-speaking world. But of course if I reply to someone or quote-tweet them I will tend to do so in the same language.
Concerning covid, I've made a number of general comments on epidemiology in English, and specific comments about decisions taken by the French gvt in French. They may go in subtly different directions.
(Or maybe I've even flat-out contradicted myself, — but then, I'm not a formal system, I won't disappear in a puff of logic if I do so.)
Similarly, when talking about math, I will do so in English in general, but I tend to get caught in discussions in French about how to teach this or that. They might also seem to go in different directions at times.

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More from @gro_tsen

29 Dec
Let me write a thread about the steady state of the SIRS epidemiological model and what it can tell us about what endemic covid might look like (how often we will catch it and whether we have any control over this), or at least, what the parameters involved are. 🧵⤵️ •1/43
(I had written a thread 🔽 about this at the beginning of the pandemic, in a different context, concerning other endemic coronaviruses, but I think it's now time to revisit it, and rather than refer to it, I'll redo it from scratch.) •2/43
In the SIRS model, people go through three states cyclically: S = “susceptible”, i.e., NOT immune to infection; I = “infectious” (=infected); and R = “recovered”, which in this model should rather be taken to mean “currently immune”. Unlike in SIR, immunity DOES NOT last. •3/43
Read 43 tweets
28 Dec
Laissant de côté ce qu'on peut dire sur les frères Bogdanov, leurs contributions à la <ahem> science ou le fait qu'ils n'étaient pas vaccinés, le fait qu'ils présentent tous les deux une forme grave de la maladie est intéressant.
Évidemment chez des hommes de 72 ans non vaccinés, la chance de faire une forme grave était élevée a priori, mais pas élevée au point que le fait que ça arrive aux deux ne soit pas un minimum digne d'intérêt.
Je me rappelle plusieurs faits divers au début de la pandémie où la covid faisait un tas de victimes dans une famille qui avait mangé ensemble. Il semble y avoir des signes d'une corrélation.
Read 5 tweets
28 Dec
La mer vue depuis le cap Fagnet (Fécamp, openstreetmap.org/?mlat=49.76736…‌)
Pas mal de vent!
Read 5 tweets
27 Dec
L'obligation de porter le masque à l'extérieur (pas juste dans les queues ou sur les marchés), c'est vraiment la mesure débile qui représente le mieux le phénomène «il faut faire quelque chose ➡︎ faisons n'importe quoi». Personne ne pense que ça a un effet. •1/17
Les gens qui défendent cette mesure le font plutôt sur la base de calculs indirects sophistiqués du type «oui mais ça oblige les gens à faire tout le temps attention / à penser à prendre un masque en sortant» qu'ils ne développent jamais complètement et ne peuvent prouver. •2/17
J'avais déjà fait un fil assez long 🔽 sur les mesures prises pour ou justifiées par leurs «effets indirects» (y compris l'obligation de port du masque en extérieur), donc je ne reviens pas dessus. •3/17
Read 19 tweets
26 Dec
Si j'appelle A,B,C les lignes de haut en bas et 1 à 6 les colonnes de gauche à droite, qui sont tous ces gens?
Sûr:
A3 = Jean Reno
B2 = Sean Connery
B3 = Bruce Willis
B4 = Cary Grant
C2 = James Dean
C3 = Audrey Hepburn
C4 = Clark Gable
Moins sûr:
A1 = Marilyn Monroe?
A5 = Katharine Hepburn?
C5 = Marlene Dietrich?
C6 = Lauren Bacall?
Read 10 tweets

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