Max Gagliardi Profile picture
Dec 29, 2021 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
If you are an advocate for the “energy transition” you are pro-coal and pro-China, but you don’t have to be, a 🧵:
China alone has more CO2 emissions than the United States and Europe combined. China, Russia and India make up nearly half the worlds emissions.

Yet these countries have yet to seriously participate in the Western world’s push to reduce emissions
China is continuing to build coal fired power plants at a staggering pace. In 2021/20 China is building one new coal power plant per week on avg. In 2020 China built 73GW of new coal power. This is 3x the amount of coal power of all the other countries in the world combined
So not only is China continuing to burn coal at a record pace they are also in control of the majority of the supply chain needed to build out the Renewables power that the West is promising to bring online to lower CO2 emissions. This is a huge problem for the energy transition
China is the “Green OPEC” and the world will be at the mercy of China if they try to reduce dependence on Oil & Gas producing nations by transitioning to “Green” energy sources that are controlled by the Communist Party of China
In the game of geopolitics control of energy supply is the most powerful weapon to exert power and influence on the world stage. The Western world is (gleefully) handing that power over to its biggest adversary, China. This is an unmitigated disaster
We don’t have to go down this path. The US has been leading the world in emissions reductions by switching from coal to natural gas, which was made possible by shale using hydraulic fracturing (fracing) & horizontal drilling. Fracing is the is the best “green tech” ever invented
We don’t need China or renewable energy to reduce emissions. We can use natural gas & nuclear to meet or exceed all the international emissions reduction targets. We can do it rapidly using American resources. Everyone, and I mean everyone, should be in favor of taking this route
Not to mention almost everything we interact with on a daily basis is made from oil & gas derivatives (ie. Petrochemicals). Fossil Fuels are literally what makes our modern lifestyles possible.

Check out this great piece on this topic by @doombergT
doomberg.substack.com/p/where-stuff-…
If you are pro-coal & pro-China then you can continue to be an advocate for the “energy transition”

Or you could look beyond the popular narratives to solutions that make sense and will actually work

For more energy content subscribe to my podcast: youtube.com/c/TalkEnergyPo…

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More from @max_gagliardi

May 5, 2023
1) Bullish on oil prices?

Let's take a look at how the price of oil has responded during times when the bond yield curve was inverted over the past 50 years

🧵
2) An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term interest rates are higher than long-term rates, and it is often seen as a signal of an impending economic downturn
3) The first time the yield curve inverted in the past 50 years was in 1978, and oil prices rose sharply in response.

The price of crude oil increased from around $14 per barrel to nearly $40 per barrel in just a few months
Read 15 tweets
Mar 28, 2023
Is this the end… of the Petrodollar?

Thread:
The petrodollar system was established in the 1970s after the US abandoned the gold standard and needed a way to prop up the value of the dollar

The system is an arrangement whereby oil is traded globally exclusively in US dollars+
The petrodollar system became dominant due to the power of the US military & its ability to secure oil from the Middle East

Countries that wanted to buy oil had to hold dollars, effectively giving the US a huge market for its currency &supporting its global economic dominance
Read 13 tweets
Mar 8, 2023
Why did the richest man on the planet buy Twitter?

Everyone looking at the financial metrics of the deal are completely missing the point

He bought it for one reason

A Thread:

🧵
"What is the most resilient parasite? Bacteria? A virus?

An Idea

Resilient... highly contagious

Once an idea has taken hold of the brain, it's almost impossible to eradicate

An idea is the most power force in the universe. The right idea can consume someone's brain"
Inception is the act of inserting an idea in a person's mind which will bloom in a way making the subject think it was their idea

Originally social media was a place to share ideas & post content. Then platforms started creating the ideas for people, by architecting content
Read 9 tweets
Mar 7, 2023
5 things I've learned as an entrepreneur that I wish I knew when I started:
1.) Just do. A founder once told me that a good way to never be become an entrepreneur is to talk about it all the time. Stop talking about it and start doing

Once you start, you’re going to find out really quick how good your idea is
2.) Try to get away from selling your time

Time is the most valuable thing you have and no one is ever going to pay you as much as it’s worth

Find a way to make money that isn’t tied to your time. It's hard to create real wealth selling your time
Read 6 tweets
Mar 6, 2023
All the people I know that have created generational wealth had luck play a huge role in it

But not all luck is totally random, there is a way to rig the system

"Understanding Luck" - a thread:
Luck can be divided into four categories:

1.Blind luck
2.Hustle Luck
3.Serendipitous Luck
4.Unique Luck
Blind luck is the kind of luck that we have no control over. It is the result of the randomness in life. Blind luck can be good or bad

This is the least predictable type of luck, and you should never have a plan that relies on it
Read 13 tweets
Feb 16, 2023
We have raised hundreds of millions of dollars using:

Private equity (from a sponsor)
Our own PE fund (from LPs)
Debt financing
Angel investors
Joint ventures
Self-funded ventures

A thread on what I’ve learned
Raising capital can make or break you

Remember once you take someone else’s money it completely changes the way you have to think about business

If you have never raised money before hopefully this thread will give you a sense of what’s in store
Private equity: we raised $200mm in private equity capital to pursue oil & gas midstream investments

First thing to know is there is a high bar on the team before getting PE funding

Be prepared to go through multiple pitch rounds with the sponsor before getting a commitment
Read 18 tweets

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