If you are an advocate for the “energy transition” you are pro-coal and pro-China, but you don’t have to be, a 🧵:
China alone has more CO2 emissions than the United States and Europe combined. China, Russia and India make up nearly half the worlds emissions.
Yet these countries have yet to seriously participate in the Western world’s push to reduce emissions
China is continuing to build coal fired power plants at a staggering pace. In 2021/20 China is building one new coal power plant per week on avg. In 2020 China built 73GW of new coal power. This is 3x the amount of coal power of all the other countries in the world combined
So not only is China continuing to burn coal at a record pace they are also in control of the majority of the supply chain needed to build out the Renewables power that the West is promising to bring online to lower CO2 emissions. This is a huge problem for the energy transition
China is the “Green OPEC” and the world will be at the mercy of China if they try to reduce dependence on Oil & Gas producing nations by transitioning to “Green” energy sources that are controlled by the Communist Party of China
In the game of geopolitics control of energy supply is the most powerful weapon to exert power and influence on the world stage. The Western world is (gleefully) handing that power over to its biggest adversary, China. This is an unmitigated disaster
We don’t have to go down this path. The US has been leading the world in emissions reductions by switching from coal to natural gas, which was made possible by shale using hydraulic fracturing (fracing) & horizontal drilling. Fracing is the is the best “green tech” ever invented
We don’t need China or renewable energy to reduce emissions. We can use natural gas & nuclear to meet or exceed all the international emissions reduction targets. We can do it rapidly using American resources. Everyone, and I mean everyone, should be in favor of taking this route
Not to mention almost everything we interact with on a daily basis is made from oil & gas derivatives (ie. Petrochemicals). Fossil Fuels are literally what makes our modern lifestyles possible.
Let's take a look at how the price of oil has responded during times when the bond yield curve was inverted over the past 50 years
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2) An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term interest rates are higher than long-term rates, and it is often seen as a signal of an impending economic downturn
3) The first time the yield curve inverted in the past 50 years was in 1978, and oil prices rose sharply in response.
The price of crude oil increased from around $14 per barrel to nearly $40 per barrel in just a few months
The petrodollar system was established in the 1970s after the US abandoned the gold standard and needed a way to prop up the value of the dollar
The system is an arrangement whereby oil is traded globally exclusively in US dollars+
The petrodollar system became dominant due to the power of the US military & its ability to secure oil from the Middle East
Countries that wanted to buy oil had to hold dollars, effectively giving the US a huge market for its currency &supporting its global economic dominance
5 things I've learned as an entrepreneur that I wish I knew when I started:
1.) Just do. A founder once told me that a good way to never be become an entrepreneur is to talk about it all the time. Stop talking about it and start doing
Once you start, you’re going to find out really quick how good your idea is
2.) Try to get away from selling your time
Time is the most valuable thing you have and no one is ever going to pay you as much as it’s worth
Find a way to make money that isn’t tied to your time. It's hard to create real wealth selling your time