Yesterday, the CMOH made some claims about the health system impact in the UK that are demonstrably untrue, at least with the UK's official stats that were available at the time.
"In countries like the UK and Denmark, where Omicron is spreading widely, their early reports of health system impact indicate that hospital and ICU admissions are not rising as quickly as in previous waves."
Week-over-week in the UK:
• cases are up 48%
• hospital admissions are up 50%
• hospital stats as of 27 Dec were avail to CMOH by 31 Dec
Does that spike ↘️ look like "hospital and ICU admissions are not rising as quickly as in previous waves" to you?
"It is also important to note that in both of those countries, their booster program has reached more than 40 per cent of their population, while we are still at around 20 per cent."
Let's start with apples-to-apples at age 12+
• UK 59%, Alberta 23.6%
So despite UK having 2.5x more 3rd Doses than Alberta:
• cases took off ~ 9 Dec
• hospital admissions took off ~ 18 Dec
• 7-day avg then = 989.6 admissions/day
• most recent day = 1915 admissions
ie. Hospital admissions doubled 10 days after cases.
Denmark provides an official table, not fancy graphs, but you can see interesting things from it:
• Cases have doubled in the last week
• Reinfections have more than doubled
So much for immunity from prior infection.
Reinfections growing faster than cases. 🤔
For hospitalization, a reliable data aggregator.
• number of people in hospital has gone up 6x in 3 months
• here's their late Dec jump in hospitalization, just as the number of patients were starting to fall from Delta (spoiler alert)
Aw heck, let's compare Canada, UK and Denmark:
• While Canada seems to have fewer cases
• We also have very low testing
• Canada's test positivity is nearly 18%, way above the others
• Alberta's test positivity = 30%
But our CMOH would tell us if Severe Outcomes like Hospital are following cases, riiight?
• the slow fall in hospital admissions from Delta has stopped
• since a low on 21 Dec at 3.4 admissions/day/million people, latest 28 Dec is 4.8
• highest in a month
• up 41% in a week.
What does all this remind me of?
Alberta's intentional launch of 4th Wave. Some common themes:
• cut public health measures & test/trace/isolate
• benchmark to the worst, not the best
• cherry-pick or misrepresent even their statistics
• cover up
But the City doesn't tell you the $17m/yr is a mortgage payment, of which only the interest portion is operating revenue.
The City lies to you these are all Lease Payments.
On this mortgage, at best the City is getting a breakeven. The City is showing no Interest Income on it.
Let's pretend this is a lease:
• payments starting at $17m/yr
• rising at ridiculously low 1%/yr
• as if CSEC is an affordable housing client needing a rent cap.
CSEC gets ALL the revenues of $1.2b of taxpayer dollars, custom-built, for only $17m/yr.
🧵 Stampede Park Arena aka "future Culture & Entertainment District Event Centre"
City of Calgary's presentation of the financials is deceptive:
• overstating direct benefits to City
• overstating CSEC investment
• understating City investment
• especially from Reserves
Citizens of Calgary do not get a referendum on the deal. In fact, "public consultation" was limited to an announcement on 25 April 2023, releasing this deceptive report.
Our "Referendum" is the Provincial Election Monday 29 May, and its advance voting.
How is City's report deceptive?
• Pretends $316m worth of CSEC mortgage repayment over 35 yrs is upfront capital investment
• Hides the fact the City needs another $316m up front to build arena complex - from Where?
• Disguises $17m/yr of mortgage payments as Lease Income
@JorgeDe83010797 Hi. The other night we chatted briefly about locomotive axle bearings on @MriyaReport and I decided to get up to speed on it a bit. If you want to chat about this on the Spaces, let me know. I can cover generally while you dive deeper.
@JorgeDe83010797@MriyaReport This video goes deeper into the assemblies. I gathered from the Spaces that Russia does not make the bearings themselves, but was curious about their domestic capability for fabrication and maintenance of all parts of the axle box, or even the bogeys.
Let me know if I misunderstand.
• 2 wheels + axle + gear = WAG = wheel set
• 2 or 3 wheel sets assembled into bogey aka truck(?)
• axle box contains the (tapered) roller bearing and transfers load to axle
• have to track roller bearing wear & replace
🧵 Gov of Alberta's Backdoor Prohibition
on School Mask Mandates
IMO, this is the policy holding back EPSB and other school boards in mandating masks in any school, for any period of time, no matter how bad the outbreak.
How is a 6 Sep 2022 Policy a collateral attack on a 26 Oct 2022 Decision?
Because Justice Dunlop made it clear in August that Minister Lagrange would have to enact a Regulation to prohibit masks, not just write a letter and threaten school boards.