2/ Over the 20th century the world’s governments moved from a gold standard to a fiat standard. Essentially the government took the power from the banking sector and took over the money
Or the money took over the government, depending how you look at it
3/ Fiat is a debt-based form of money that relies on governments having a monopoly on fiscal and monetary policies. Fiat was created because governments were defaulting on their obligations (debts).
This was the killer use case for fiat. Unlimited debt
4/ Contrary to popular belief, fiat is not “printed”. Fiat money is created through debt, (ie. the promises of payment of future money being as good as existing money), as long as the debt is issued by a government or entity that is granted a lending license by government
5/ Financial institutions “mine fiat” by issuing debt. Government credit allows for future money (that doesn’t exist today) to settle transactions when a loan is made
This allows the borrower and the lender to create more fiat tokens today than before the loan was created
6/ An example is buying a home. The lending bank doesn’t use its cash reserves or use its depositor’s cash. It will simply issue the loan & create the dollars that are used to pay the seller of the home. These are new dollars created by the promise of the borrower paying the debt
7/ Unlike a gold (or bitcoin) standard, the supply of fiat is unlimited, and because there is little differentiation between credit and money, the total supply is practically impossible to measure objectively or audit
8/ The fiat system’s first layer is debt denominated in US dollars
Other fiat currencies (tokens) are 2nd layer networks that trade as a derivative of USD
The approximate value of non-USD fiat is the value of the USD minus a country risk premium
9/ Fiat is a centrally planned system. There is no free market supply/demand that determines interest rates (ie. the cost of capital)
Lending determines money supply, and lending rates are shaped by interest rate and Federal Reserve Policy
10/ Unelected bureaucrats set the federal funds rate, and all other interest rates are derived from this rate
The closer the borrower is to the fed, the lower rate they can obtain. The farther away, the higher the rate.
11/ Central bankers are the gatekeepers to the system, and they have a monopoly over:
1.Backing local currency
2.Settling international trade
3.Backing bank deposits
4.Buying government bonds to fund spending
12/ These functions are very important because they have enormous implications for the drivers of economic growth: capital accumulation, trade, & technological advancement
A system based on gov. controlled central banks essentially puts capital markets & trade under gov. control
13/ The fiat system is very convoluted/opaque and difficult to explain in a Twitter thread. I am by no means an expert on this topic but I find it fascinating
Hopefully this thread gave you a glimpse at the tip of the iceberg
14/ For a deep dive into how Fiat works you should pick up the book this thread was inspired and paraphrased from, the Fiat Standard by @saifedean
It is a fantastic read
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If you are an advocate for the “energy transition” you are pro-coal and pro-China, but you don’t have to be, a 🧵:
China alone has more CO2 emissions than the United States and Europe combined. China, Russia and India make up nearly half the worlds emissions.
Yet these countries have yet to seriously participate in the Western world’s push to reduce emissions
China is continuing to build coal fired power plants at a staggering pace. In 2021/20 China is building one new coal power plant per week on avg. In 2020 China built 73GW of new coal power. This is 3x the amount of coal power of all the other countries in the world combined
Bitcoin changes everything you thought you knew about energy
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1) The energy industry has historically been a proximity and timing game. Find and exploit energy supply that can be transported economically to where/when the demand is needed. This is sounds simple but modern energy industry is staggering in its complexity and vastness
2) Bitcoin mining is the first time in human history that we have a large-scale & stable demand source of energy that can be located anywhere in the world. This doesn’t sound like a big deal at first, but the rabbit hole is deeper than you can imagine…