1. A short #flu 𧡠@CDCgov posted flu data for the week ending Dec. 25 today. Flu activity continues to increase, but remains at lower levels than in pre-pandemic years.
Most diagnosed flu infections are in 5-24 year olds. Flu activity is highest in the east & central US.
2. Virtually all #flu activity so far has been caused by the #influenza A virus H3N2. That's too bad as it is the most problematic of (human) flu A & B viruses. There's a mismatch this year this year in the H3 component of flu shots. (Week 51, left column, season to date, right.)
3. For the week ending Dec. 25 (week 51), 6.2% of tests run by clinical labs were positive for flu. I think the last time it would have been that high was the week ending March 21, 2020 (6.9%), when the very active 2019-20 flu season ran smack dab into Covid β and promptly ended.
4. #Flu seasons start & peak at different points, so it can be hard to compare a week in 1 flu season to the corresponding week in another. So here's a chart to show how a positivity rate of 6.2% corresponds to other years at this time.
5. In #flu seasons that start early, the positivity rate by week 51 can be above 20%. Last year's non-season doesn't even register here. The 2015-16 season was pretty atypical: mild flu season that only peaked in late March.
6. A thing to note: While it's possible this #flu season will be less active than pre-pandemic seasons, any flu illness is right now is very unwelcome. Health systems are strained to the max with #Covid. There aren't spare hospital beds; but flu hospitalizations are rising.
7. If you want to look at the data, FluView can be found here. cdc.gov/flu/weekly/
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1. Some thoughts on #H5N1 #birdflu in cows. A π§΅
A bunch of new herds were announced by a couple of states today βΒ Colorado and Iowa. The former reported +5 & looks like it may have another pending; It now has 18 in total, maybe 19. Iowa reported 2 more, taking it to 10.
2. To the best of my ability to keep up βΒ and that's being challenged β I think there have been 125 herds reported in 12 states since the end of March. This graph combines @USDA's numbers from yesterday with the newly reported herds from Colorado & Iowa.
3. But @USDA threw a wrench into the works today. It updated its exceedingly wonky #H5N1 #birdflu in cows landing site. Some things work better, but the cumulative number of herds was lowered by 4 (from yday) with no explanation. USDA now says 112 herds in 12 states.
1. @USDA posted an FAQ today about the federal order restricting movement of dairy cattle infected with
#H5N1 #birdflu. Interesting information therein.
A π§΅
New to me: USDA says 8 poultry operations in 5 states have had poultry outbreaks with the virus detected in cows.
2. Minnesota hasn't reported #H5N1 #birdflu in cattle, but it has had at least 1 poultry outbreak with the cattle virus, @USDA reveals. More evidence, probably, that the virus is far more widely spread than has been realized. The FAQ is here: aphis.usda.gov/sites/default/β¦
3. The federal order on the movement of dairy cows goes into effect 4/29. @USDA is setting what looks like an ambitious timeline for processing of tests, especially "non-negative" tests that must then go for confirmatory testing at the USDA lab in Ames, Iowa. #H5N1 #birdflu
1. Listening to an @ASTHO - @IDSAInfo - @CSTEnews webinar on #H5N1 #birdflu in cows.
Of interest so far:
β @USDA is monitoring feral swine; no detections of H5 so far.
β in the "small number" of samples tested to date, doesn't look like cows are shedding virus thru feces.
2. @USDA Rosemary Sifford said the infections are "mostly" being seen in lactating herds.
1 herd was found to be positive despite the fact there were no clinical signs among the cows.
Sifford said USDA doesn't yet know how long infected cows shed virus.
#H5N1 #birdflu
@USDA 3. Sonja Olsen from @CDC says there've been 6 infections detected in cats on dairy farms. Not sure I've seen the exact number. #H5N1 #BirdFlu
1. A 𧡠on #flu, #Covid & #RSV (mostly flu). The
#influenza-like illness season is pretty much over. The percentage of people seeking care for ILIs is below 2.9%, that dotted line. You can catch flu at any time of the year, but chances of catching it now thru the summer are low.
2. It's not just #flu. #Covid activity now is at low levels nationally and #RSV activity has declined to the point where @CDCgov says the season is ending. Hallelujah. cdc.gov/respiratory-viβ¦
3. It hasn't been a particularly bad #flu season, but the estimated number of hospitalizations for flu has been pretty high β one of the highest in recent years. (red line) The 2017-18 season, which was harsh, was worse. CDC estimates there were 370K hospitalizations this year.
1. A π§΅on #flu & #Covid activity trends based on reports today from @CDCgov. Most of the data is for the week ending Feb. 3. The #influenza-like illness (ILI) season seems to have peaked at the end of Dec, with declines in flu, Covid & #RSV since then. But the season isn't over.
2. There was a bit of an uptick in #flu activity in the central & south central US. It corresponds with an increase in flu B detections there. Pre-Covid, flu B often arrived in a late season wave. We may see that again this year.
Map on left is the week ending 1/27; right is 2/3.
3. An additional 8 pediatric #flu deaths were reported to @CDCgov in the wk ending 2/3. The season's death toll in kids now stands at 74, which is awful, obviously, but not as bad as most years pre-Covid. But if there's a lot of flu B activity, this number could climb.
1. Traditionally I've done #flu updates on Fridays, but given our new reality β #Covid is here to stay β & the expansion of data on @CDCgov's website, I'm going to broaden the scope going forward. Top line news: Lotta illness out there right now. cdc.gov/respiratory-viβ¦
2. Most parts of the country are ensconced in #influenza-like illness season right now. (Minn, what are you doing to stay so healthy?) This graphic doesn't just represent #flu activity; #Covid, #RSV & other ILIs are also captured here. @CDCgov's FluView: cdc.gov/flu/weekly/
3. #Flu is the most common bug making people sick right now, but there's a lot of #Covid going around too. (I know from recent experience.) #RSV is still fairly active but declining. This breakdown of what's causing most illness is seen both in positive tests & ER visits.