Looking at projections for Covid cases and deaths today and the turbulence in the date makes them really quite wild. Deaths, on trend, would be 65-95, a wide range because over Christmas the numbers have been all over the place (1)
Whereas cases, they've been more bonkers on Wednesdays than other days, of late its been the day when we've seen the biggest rises. On recent trend, based on last Wednesday and average changes, it would be 253,923 to 283,036 (2)
And yes, I know, that would be a huge jump. 21 days back we were averaging about 63k cases, 14 days ago 88k cases, a week ago 125k cases. And by yesterday, 176,964 was the the average number per day (3)
So -just to stay where we are- in terms of cases we would see 5th highest daily total ever. Yes, the rate of rise has been that high. With tests being basically unattainable, your guess is as good as mine as to what'll happen today (fin)
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