Nothing against Jake, but this argument for why trying to slow down Omicron is pointless illustrates how unintuitive exponential growth can be. The supposedly small reduction in spread here would reduce cases by 47% after six cycles of infection!
https://twitter.com/JakeAnbinder/status/1478574866202779648
Exponential growth means that even relatively small reductions in the rate of spread will result in very significantly lower numbers of cases, which is why it’s absurd to simply throw our hands up and say “Masks and distancing are only partially effective so forget about them.”
Vaccine mandates are great! But there's not a finite amount of capital to be allocated between vaccines and NPIs; treating Omicron as an urgent crisis creates more political space for both. My point is that both help and we should attempt both.
https://twitter.com/JakeAnbinder/status/1478761731870625804
In addition, just as a practical matter, if only 60-70% of the country seems willing to participate in interventions, and that segment is vaccinated, you have to ask "What else can that segment do?" And the answer is NPIs, which will slow the thing down some at least.
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