This is very unconvincing analysis, and Kraushaar is a right-wing hack with a whiny anti-mask agenda. Biden and Polis's approval on COVID is quite obviously a function of their overall popularity and not their divergent approaches to masking.
https://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/1476946267335008256
Rather than determining the popularity of mask rules through strange bankshot-style reading of overall approval ratings, we can directly ask poll questions about masking. And poll after poll shows that people are simply not very bothered by masks or mask mandates.
Frankly, the reason we keep looking for ways to prove that people are up in arms about masks is that a small segment of the population, badly overrepresented in political writing, finds them personally annoying, and are sure their preferences are of huge political consequence.
Of course, all of our Official Very Smart Boys have bought into the "get rid of masks, become popular" theory, which of course has nothing to do with the fact they personally have spent the entire pandemic talking about how all the precautions are an overreaction. 
If you're going to assign political outcomes directly to COVID messaging (which I'm skeptical of), this is a MUCH more plausible interpretation, that fits better with two years of polling data showing support for vaccines and masks, than Kraushaar's theory about "alarmism"
The vast majority are vaccinated, the vast majority are concerned about COVID, majorities support masks and mandates. It makes a lot more sense that people want politicians who will crack down on COVID and its anti-vax enablers, not politicians who will ease off and chill out.
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