No one wants to spread an infection to someone who could get seriously ill or die from it. If you test positive for Covid or have symptoms, it’s important to stay home and isolate. I’ll try to clarify CDC’s guidance on what you should do if you get Covid. 1/thread
The reality is that Omicron is out of control in the US. Because of this, critical services are at risk of disruption, including our health system, schools, and transportation. We MUST save both lives and livelihoods. 2/
Based on what we know right now, Omicron is much more infectious than other variants and shortens the time between exposure and symptomatic illness. People are most infectious just before they develop symptoms and a day or two after. 3/
Some infected people don’t develop symptoms at all but are still able to spread the virus. 4/
Early data suggest that on an INDIVIDUAL basis, Omicron is much less likely to cause severe illness compared with other variants and is roughly as severe as influenza (and much less severe for those who are up to date on vaccinations). 5/
The virus adapts, so we need to adapt. With so many cases, the vast majority of which won’t be severe, CDC is rightly adapting guidance to fit these new data & circumstances. Our primary goal now must be to protect the most vulnerable. Here’s how to think through the guidance. 6/
If you get Covid and you’re in contact with people who are vulnerable to serious illness from it—including elderly or immunocompromised people or those in nursing homes, homeless shelters, or other high risk settings—then isolate for 10 days no matter what. 7/
If you're severely ill with Covid OR immunocompromised, isolate for at least 10 days, since you may be infectious longer than others. Ideally, you should consult with your healthcare provider about when you can safely end isolation. 8/
If you get Covid and you’re not around anyone vulnerable AND your symptoms are improving or resolved, you can stop isolation after five days as long as you wear a mask all the time (so no going to restaurants, for example) for the next five days. 9/
Yes, you could get a test at day five. And yes, if it’s positive you should isolate for longer. But as long as vulnerable people aren’t being exposed, not testing everyone at day five is a perfectly reasonable approach in this Moment of Omicron. 10/
Antigen tests aren’t perfect. People who test negative may still be contagious, and a negative result doesn't change the need to mask until day 10. 11/
Many are looking for a simple answer, but there isn’t one. It’s easy to criticize but hard to do better. Our goals must be to shield the most vulnerable, preserve health care, and avoid disruptive measures that don’t provide much benefit. 12/
Bottom line: If you get Covid, take care of yourself and protect people around you by isolating for at least five days—10 days if you’re around vulnerable people or are immunocompromised or seriously ill. When in doubt, err on the side of caution and isolate for 10 days. 13/end

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More from @DrTomFrieden

7 Jan
Some have criticized CDC’s guidance on isolation for people who test positive for Covid. I believe it’s basically correct, though they could roll it out better. 1/thread
Last night I explained what the new guidance means for you if you get Covid. Now I’m going to tackle why the guidance makes sense from a public health perspective. 2/
Isolation prevents people with Covid from spreading the infection, but it has negative effects, not only on the physical and mental health of the person isolated, but also on their family and their community's ability to continue important activities. 3/
Read 23 tweets
24 Dec 21
What will happen with Covid in 2022?? There’s SO much we don’t know about Omicron and the future of Covid. I outline 12 questions and reveal how we can avoid Covid dominating our lives in 2022. Here we go… 1/thread
Question 1: How much severe illness will Omicron cause in different risk groups? People who were previously infected, those with or without vaccination, and people who have gotten boosted, by age group. Looks less severe, but only time will tell. Let’s dive into severity. 2/
15 months ago we compared Covid-19/flu. Best estimate Covid 5x deadlier than flu, now clear about 10x. (Flu, frankly, doesn’t get the respect it deserves for hospitalizing hundreds of thousands and killing tens of thousands in the US every year.) bit.ly/3FtTN7V 3/
Read 23 tweets
18 Dec 21
A tidal wave of Omicron will hit the US and other countries at the worst possible time—holidays approaching, health systems strained from Delta, flu starting, many feeling pandemic fatigue. If we get our response right, Covid won't dominate our lives in 2022. Here’s how. 1/thread
It’s astonishing how quickly Omicron is spreading and leaving Delta in the dust. It may be one of the most contagious viruses we’ve ever seen. New case records have already been set in South Africa and the UK and are inevitable in the United States 2/
Omicron already made up ~3% of Covid in the US on December 11. The proportion is significantly higher now, doubling every 2-3 days. New York City, the original Covid epicenter in the US, is again at the forefront with Omicron. nyti.ms/32bowbe 3/
Read 21 tweets
11 Dec 21
What are the facts on Omicron? The picture is getting clearer: Omicron spreads faster and is better able to escape immunity than other variants. Severity is still unknown, although it's likely vaccination reduces severe disease. The virus has adapted; we must as well. 1/thread
Today’s technical briefing from @UKHSA has a wealth of info. Encouraging to see quick research and action from scientists and health agencies in South Africa, UK & other places, and CDC. Too little credit often given for great work under great pressure. bit.ly/31QLILV 2/
Omicron will almost certainly overtake Delta and cause new waves of infection globally. This happened within weeks in South Africa. In the UK, Omicron cases are projected to reach parity with Delta by mid-December, according to the briefing, and are doubling every 2-3 days. 3/
Read 16 tweets
10 Dec 21
Covid vaccines are safe, effective and continue to be our best protection. Breakthrough infections are expected. We’ve learned a lot about who’s at risk for severe breakthrough, including from good CDC data. With this information we can protect people better. 1/thread
Studies show lower vaccine effectiveness against severe Covid among older adults, people with immunocompromising conditions, and people with certain comorbidities—groups already at higher risk of hospitalization and death from Covid. 2/
Age matters a lot when it comes to Covid. Although unvaccinated people of all ages are far likelier to die from Covid, according to CDC’s data tracker, there’s a hugely elevated risk for older vaccinated adults, especially those over 80. bit.ly/3EFYhrX 3/
Read 8 tweets
2 Dec 21
Uncontrolled spread gives Covid opportunities to evolve. The emergence of Omicron has highlighted the urgency of addressing low vaccination coverage in Africa and other places. Lack of supply has been a major barrier for months, but it's not the only one. 1/thread
Most people in high-income countries have been fully vaccinated but less than 10% of Africa’s population has. That puts the entire world at higher risk of new, potentially dangerous variants. Here are some of the challenges beyond supply that countries face. 2/
First, vaccine supply is unpredictable. Countries don’t know how much vaccine to expect and are often given short notice of shipments. Advance planning is crucial and we need better systems for projecting vaccine delivery. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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