Thread by @Jean__Fisch

Covid in 🇧🇪: Admissions are still growing and I sincerely hope that the authorities had some sequencing done on admission cases to find out if they are related to Delta or Omicron

Why? Because any action decided by the #Codeco #overlegcomité will essentially depend on this

1/

What is interesting is that the admissions to cases ratio seems to have gone down over the last few days

Is is due to a change in admissions from Delta to Omicron?

Or is it simply an effect of cases shooting up in younger age bands first?

2/

On the cases front, things unfold as I expected

➡️High growth rate (also the Tu figure is likely to be around 28k)

➡️Record cases in BRU (4k exceeding the highest level so far by 33%!) and in Flag of Belgium overall (which I didn't anticipate)

3/

https://twitter.com/Jean__Fisch/status/1478633008693493760

While cases have not yet reached record levels in WAL and FLA, it is only a matter of days before 🇧🇪 will exceed the all-time highs of November 2020

4/

As I mentioned in the beginning, what matters now is to get a view on

a) Omicron admissions in terms of
/ numbers
/ length of stay
/ % ending up in ICU

b) on capacity taking into account
/ staff shortages
/ incidental covid requirements

5/

This information is unlikely to end up as open data which is fine as long as the authorities have it!

But it means that outsiders are likely to fish (haha) in the dark even more than usual in the coming days

Keep that in mind when seeing any affirmative report on 🇧🇪 ;-)

END