1/Let's revisit my post from January 6, 2021: "Japanese lessons for the American coup".

In this post, I went through Japan's history of rightist coup attempts in the 1930s, and what lessons America can learn from this history.

noahpinion.substack.com/p/japanese-les…
2/Japan had five significant coup attempts in the 1930s.

All failed to topple the government.

But in the end, they forced the government to do what the coup perpetrators wanted -- invade and attempt to conquer the rest of Asia.
3/In the post, I go through all 5 coup attempts. But the best direct comparison for America's 1/6 coup attempt is the March Incident of 1931.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_Inc…
4/Why is this the best direct comparison?

Because of how shambolic and pathetic the coup attempt was.

The idea was to have right-wingers start a riot at the national legislature, after which (they hoped) the military would be forced to declare martial law.
5/The coup attempt was funded by a right-wing member of the legislature, and they hoped to institute the right-wing War Minister as head of government.
6/The whole plot was stupid and pathetic and never would have worked. It failed because the plotters failed to start a riot of sufficient size, and were arrested.

That's it. That was the whole coup attempt.
7/So this is the first lesson America can take from the March Incident of 1931: A coup attempt doesn't have to have an actual chance of succeeding in order to be a coup attempt. In fact, it can be some doomed, half-assed, pathetic crap. It's still a coup attempt.
8/The second lesson is that if you don't harshly punish the people who try to carry out a coup attempt -- even a shambolic, doomed, pathetic coup attempt -- they are encouraged to try again.
9/Japan kept dishing out only slap-on-the-wrist sentences to the people carrying out these coup attempts.

The reason being that they didn't want to run afoul of the country's right wing.
10/As a result of these light punishments, the coup attempts continued, becoming bigger and bolder over time until the final one nearly managed to overthrow the government.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/February_…
11/Here is an article about how much we've been punishing the perpetrators of the 1/6 coup attempt.

washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2022/…
12/But in fact, ALL the 1930s Japanese coup attempts failed.

What happened was that the coup attempts pressured the leadership into making disastrous decisions to appease the country's right wing -- decisions that led directly to the destruction of the Japanese Empire.
13/1930s Japan is a country we definitely do not want to emulate.

So we had better learn the lessons of history, and not repeat it.

(end)

noahpinion.substack.com/p/japanese-les…

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