It really does look like NYC may be reaching its Omicron peak. projects.thecity.nyc/2020_03_covid-…
Test positivity rates have levelled off in NYC, and may be starting to fall. Image
Daily cases are still rising, but the rate of increase started to slow nearly a week ago, and that line seems to still be trending in the right direction. Image
Only the faintest hint of a similar curve in the statewide numbers, though. Image
And of course national numbers for the US are likely to continue getting uglier for quite a while. Image
Sorry—forgot to adjust the horizontal scale on the New York State results. They look quite a bit more promising measured forward from October 1. Image

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More from @studentactivism

9 Jan
Big thread. One big takeaway, though it's not central to Bergstrom's point, is that individuals shouldn't interpret CDC guidance as advice on what's safe for them AS INDIVIDUALS.
CDC guidance—even good CDC guidance—isn't intended to provide information about when you can be 100% sure you won't infect someone. It's not intended to answer that question, and it doesn't answer that question.
The CDC is trying to articulate policies that are going to keep transmission low while balancing various other priorities. If your priorities aren't the CDC's priorities—and they probably aren't, not exactly—their guidance will be an imperfect fit for you.
Read 14 tweets
31 Dec 21
"The women's category is now meaningless." Ah yes. The women's category of Jeopardy winners. That category that absolutely exists and was not made up in a fit of pique by the person who wrote the tweet.
The thing about this complaint is that it ISN'T that anything of substance has been taken from anyone, or even that an official ledger has been altered. It's literally just that people—media entities, folks, the previous female record holder—are calling a trans woman a woman.
I always get a lot of "what do we do about rapists in prisons?" stuff from TERFs when I weigh in on anything related to trans acceptance, and I think it's telling that it happens whether I've mentioned formal government policy or not. (Near-invariably, I have not.)
Read 4 tweets
30 Dec 21
I don't get to see @grammar_girl for two more days, but I DID just get to watch the first chunk of James Acaster's Cold Lasagne Hate Myself 1999 with the kids, and that alone makes it a pretty good birthday.
(M and I watched it months ago with friends, but this is the first time the stars have aligned to watch it with both Casey and Elvis, and I didn't want to watch with just one. Oh god it's so perfect.)
My dearest wish for you in this holiday season is that one day you have a child who turns to you and says "we should watch his season of Taskmaster again together."
Read 5 tweets
27 Dec 21
I just want to get past this, Shadi. My girlfriend is sick, my daughter is immunocompromised, my parents are 80 and 78 years old. I just fucking want to get past this.
I am vaccinated and boosted, @shadihamid, and I don't want "endless COVID restrictions"—hell, I flew to Europe in November. What I want, what I need, is for my kids to stay healthy and my parents not to die. That's what I want.
And I read your essay, @shadihamid, where you say that I need to "live life...as if COVID doesn't exist." And no. Fuck that. I'm going to do what I can reasonably do to keep my parents and my kids safe—and, crucially, keep them in each others' lives.
Read 5 tweets
26 Dec 21
Lock-picking is a great, wholesome, old-timey hobby to introduce kids to.
So here's the thing about lock-picking. It's fiddly, but not hugely difficult. It's a skill you get better at over time. And it's a real thing—a lot of locks that actual people actually use are pickable by a semi-talented amateur.
A decent set of lock-picking tools only costs like twenty bucks, and again, this isn't a toy—it's real tools you can use for real work.
Read 12 tweets
25 Dec 21
As things turned out, Melanie is recovering from covid at our place tonight and I'm isolating with my folks, but next year. Next year.
Someday soon we all will be together, if the fates allow.
Until then we'll have to muddle through ... somehow.
Read 4 tweets

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