Jamie Catherwood Profile picture
Jan 9, 2022 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Financial History: Sunday Reads

• The Benefits of Bucket Shops

• Embracing Speculative Frenzies

• Manias & Democratization

• Liberty Bonds & Stock Ownership

• Where Common People Can Speculate

investoramnesia.com/2022/01/09/tha…
"One particularly ironic aspect of this whole saga was that the most vocal critics of bucket shops were also those responsible for their creation. Bucket shops started because smaller investors were priced out of traditional stock exchanges and financial services industry."
Bucket shops survived off their customers' rampant speculation, but were also the medium through which many smaller investors could first participate in the stock market.

One may have been drawn in by getting rich quick and speculating but then developed into a serious investor.
We can see evidence of this from reports at the time discussing trading volume after bucket shops were forced out of business...

The Consolidated Stock Exchange President:

"We expect to have a considerable increase in business from bucket shop clients."

(New York Times, 1908)
Another NYT article:

"Thousands of customers of these [bucket shop] houses, practically all of who were small speculators, have opened accounts with branches of Stock Exchange houses and that their purchasing orders now are executed on the Stock Exchange"
While not an example of speculation, around the same time as the bucket shops were rising and falling...

Liberty Loan drives to finance WWI showed regions with higher subscription rates to Liberty Bonds had greater levels of stock ownership in the years after.
"The American effort in World War I introduced millions of households to bond ownership [and] contributed to the expansion of securities investing in the 1920s that likely helped fuel the large-scale expansion in American industry of the mid-twentieth century."
"Investing should not be restricted to those of wealthier means, and if it requires speculating on NFTs for a smaller investor to become interested in investing then by all means buy that JPEG."

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More from @InvestorAmnesia

Feb 28, 2023
1726: "The Money’d Man’s Guide"

2023: "Stock Investing for Dummies"

I love that investors who read the 1726 book and investors reading "Stock Investing for Dummies" today both have the same goal: becoming better investors.

Some things never change. Same goal, +300 years apart.
Familiar:

“It was not just the fear of being cheated in the present that advice manual writers used to motivate their readers.. but also the threat that appearing ignorant on such matters might result in a loss of face and exposure to be taken advantage of on a future occasion.” Source: “Share Portfolios and Risk Management in the Early
These newsletters were influential.

In the 1690s, there were _100 stocks_ trading on London's market, but investors herded into the _8 stocks_ listed in popular newsletters.

From @18thc_finance 's fantastic lecture in the Investor Amnesia course.

Read 4 tweets
May 6, 2022
Did you know famed economist John Maynard Keynes was a prolific *art* investor?

From 1917-1945, Keynes collected +100 pieces of art for £12,848.

By 2019, academic research shows that Keynes' collection was worth a staggering £76 MILLION.

(1/5) Image
According to the Cambridge Judge Business School..

Keynes' collection generated a *real* return of 6.1% annualized through 2019!

This outperformed UK gov't bonds, and slightly lagged UK stocks.

Recently, the Masterworks Contemporary Art index returned 13.6% (1995-2020)

(2/5) Image
In WWI, Keynes and his artist friends even flew to Paris for Edgar Degas' estate sale.

He convinced the British Treasury to provide £20,000 for purchasing art at the auction!

While German artillery fire scared away bidders, Keynes purchased multiple pieces at low prices.

(3/5) Paul Cézanne's "Apples...
Read 5 tweets
Apr 21, 2022
Everyone should study their family history.

This story of ancient Mayan ruins, a shocking discovery and my upcoming trip to Tulum, Mexico proves it.

You really never know what you might find:
This story started with my friend from college suggesting we take a trip to "Tulum" when he visited me this month.

I responded: "What is Tulum?"

You'll soon learn why this question was so stupid...

1/25
First, I should mention the Catherwood family has a long line of history nerds.

This general historical interest eventually developed into a passion for studying our family history.

My great-grandfather, Harold Matthew Stuart (H.M.S.) Catherwood, became pretty obsessive.

2/25
Read 26 tweets
Mar 27, 2022
Financial History: Sunday Reads

• Did Economics Cause WWII ?

• Wartime Liquidity: NYSE & WWI

• Currency Wars: Dollar vs. Pound

• Centuries of Alternative Currencies

• Best Strategies for Inflation Regimes

• Commodities, Capital Flows & Default

investoramnesia.com/2022/03/27/his…
Table from a paper in today’s newsletter:

“The Best Strategies for Inflationary Times”

A look at how various strategies performed during 8 episodes of inflation since World War II.
Another paper analyzes the “Macroeconomic Environment of U.S. Stock Market Booms”

• Stock Market Returns

• Productivity Change

• Change in Money Supply

• Bank Credit Growth

• GDP Growth
Read 5 tweets
Feb 27, 2022
Financial History: Sunday Reads

• How Invasions Impact Markets

• Market Reaction to WWII Events

• Polish Stocks & Hitler's Invasion

• War & Inflation in USA Since 1780

• Regime Changes & Debt Default

• WWI Impact on Stock Markets

investoramnesia.com/2022/02/27/a-h…
This is a monster post filled with great data like this: Image
The perfect cartoon for today's post from 1904:

“Russian Bear with a house of cards, each card labeled a different country... a dove of “Peace” has landed on top of the cards, alarming the bear.” Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 5, 2022
Nuts to think that the stock exchange closed for *four months* during WWI.

Can you imagine if that happened today? What would FinTwit even talk about?
For those interested in learning more about this unique period of financial history read below.

Basically, though, the unofficial “New Street” market formed for trading in place of the NYSE closure

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
Bid/Ask spread comparison:

NYSE vs. New Street Market
Read 4 tweets

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