Thread by @ZiadFazel

#COVID19AB Child Vaccination Deception 🧵

IMO, AB Health is falsely inflating age 5-11 stats, using 2 separate gambits:

1. Mixing kids who got regular, adult dose for turning 12 in 2021 into current age 5-11 getting paediatric doses now.
2. Poaching doses from age "Unknown".

@SOSAlberta @TehseenLadha @jvipondmd @GosiaGasperoPhD @RajBhardwajMD @PopAlberta @Adam_Toy @caitlynsmitman @demandsbetter @kasza_leslie I noticed this 2 weeks ago, and contacted a few reporters, but the false statistics remain.

In fact, Dr Hinshaw's office is citing those false stats today in preparation for her 3.30pm briefing.

@SeanDunn10 is already fact-checking another part of it.

https://twitter.com/Lauren_Global/status/1480595701885124608

So here is my thread from 2 weeks ago:

threadreaderapp.com/thread/1476375…

followed by a different way of presenting my analysis in the rest of today's thread.

In the 29 December part of that thread, I pointed out that AB Health had quietly added this cryptic Footnote 2 to Table 1 on the Vaccinations page

alberta.ca/stats/covid-19…

So let's look at these 2 footnotes and process them.

"Note 1: individuals who received a first dose in one age category may cross into another age category for a second or third dose."

That makes sense.

eg. Someone who got 1st Dose at age 44, and 2nd Dose at age 45, moves UP into older age group.

Same regular, adult dose too.

"Note 2: The age group 5-11 year olds includes those who received the Pfizer-BioNTech Comirnaty pediatric COVID-19 vaccine and those who were eligible to receive the Pfizer-BioNTech Comirnaty COVID-19 vaccine because they were 11 but would turn 12 in 2021."

Say WHAT now?

Note 2 says:
• Kids who are all 12 now
• who got REGULAR, ADULT doses throughout 2021 because they would turn 12 in 2021
• are being pulled back DOWN into age 5-11
• to mix their numbers with kids getting PAEDIATRIC doses since 25 Nov 2021.

ie. Opposite to Note 1.

WHY?

Referring to my thread 2 wks ago, if this:
• pulling kids age 12 who got regular adult doses
• into the stats for age 5-11 getting paediatric doses
• OPPOSITE to natural shift in all ages
• is the right thing to do...

Why did AB Health wait until the 20 Dec stats to do it?

AB Health needs to disclose exactly how many kids:
• are still age 5-11
• got paediatric doses
• in their regular daily updates
• and how many kids who turned 12 in 2011 - who got regular, adult doses - that they juiced into age 5-11
• and move those kids back to age 12-14

Poaching doses from age "Unknown".

I did say at the beginning of today's thread that there were two (2) gambits.
• age 12, already shown.

I had to do a lot of thinking last week, and too much time with spreadsheets, to show the second gambit.

Between 19 and 20 Dec 2021's stats, AB Health:
• quietly moved 18,621 doses from age "Unknown" to age 5-11
• while total 1st Doses had only gone up 4,578 doses

This looks more like intentional deception than mere incompetence. At the least, negligence.

Let's zoom out a bit in my spreadsheet, built exclusively from AB Health's own stats.
• age 5-11 stats started Fri 25 Nov, with stats from opening weekend ending Sun 28 Nov on the Monday after
• 6,139 doses per day on opening weekend
• then 4,248 doses/day until 19 Dec.

OK.

From Mon 20 Dec 2021, to latest stats provided Friday, up to Thu 6 Jan 2022:

Daily pace of vaccination continued to fall since opening weekend 6,139 doses/day to only 1,129.

Not enough to pretend this age group was vaccinated enough to return to school in January.

As I showed in my previous thread, in total, between 19 and 20 Dec, AB Health:
• moved 31,531 doses (Dose 1, 2 & 3) from "Unknown"
• while age 5-11 went up by 34,935
• in one day
• even though Total Doses across ALL age groups for ALL Doses (mostly 3rd) went up by 35,825.

This juicing of age 5-11 stats from age "Unknown" even pumped up the 2nd Doses:
•" Unknown" down 12,899
• age 5-11 up 12,985
• but Total 2nd Doses across all ages only up 2,099

Age 5-11 only got 107,626 1st doses since 25 Nov.

Yet on 20 Dec they got 12,985 2nd doses?!

🐴💩

But wait - it gets even more ridiculous:

3rd Doses. Boosters!
• To age 5-11
• On 20 December 2021
• Even though only age 18+ is eligible, after 5+ months
• Or age 12 under specific immunocompromised conditions

alberta.ca/covid19-vaccin…

I have to parse my words carefully.

In my opinion, based on bona fide belief from information that AB Health & Education have provided, it appears:
• AB Health is deceiving Albertans about low child vaccination levels
• to get parents to send those kids to school anyway.

Nationally, age 5-11 has 1st dose coverage of 45.63%.

Even with falsely inflated stats, Alberta is showing 38%.

Nationally, age 5-11 has 2nd dose coverage of 2.03%.

Because of falsely inflated stats, Alberta is showing 4.1%

🐴💩 is so obvious.

health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/vacci…

Obligation is on AB Health to disclose.

However, I could guess that from 162,518 kids age 12-14 with 85% 1st regular dose coverage, ~18K were pulled down into age 5-11.

20K "Unknown" were juiced in.

So 18K + 20K out of 391,430 kids age 5-11 is ~10%.

Lowering that 38% to 28%.

@threadreaderapp unroll please.