A thread on wrapping our minds around what COVID has wrought:
I remember breaking into tears in March 2020 when I read that COVID may kill as many as 250k Americans. That's the size of my hometown, I thought. Well. As of today the figure is 863,000. Approaching one million dead.
As horrifying as that death toll is, looking back at it doesn't emotionally devastate me as much as learning two years ago that 250,000 would die in the future. I think I'm not alone in that. 669 days on, we're a bit numb to the unfathomable suffering this virus has inflicted.
Behind each of the 863,000 deaths are partners, children, co-workers, friends...a staggering heap of loss and mourning. And we're still losing so many every day. Yesterday 1,896 Americans died of covid.
I'm thinking back to one of the best courses I ever took: The Metaphysics of Time with the brilliant Derek Parfit who died in 2017.
His 1984 classic, Reason and Persons, describes humans' seemingly inherent "bias toward the future"—a tendency to discount pains and pleasures in the past and to over-weight the value or impact of pains and pleasures in our future. He thought this bias to be irrational.
I remember taking issue with his thesis, as we have at least some control over what happens next but little say (as long as we lack time travel) to affect the past. So it seems rational (I thought) to value our futures more than our pasts.
But our relative numbness toward the nearly 1m dead in our country from a novel awful virus does seem to me now to be irrational and pernicious—and we should try to fight against it.
A proper sense of the devastation will screw our heads on straighter to confront the virus as it continues to harm and kill us. Practical decisions about vaccination decisions—personal and political. Weighing preventative measures against their social and economic cost.
And taking moral stock of a shock that has taken so many of our fellows from our midst in such a short time. We might not always be breaking down and crying over the 863,000 dead, but we should try to feel that weight from time to time.
END
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Watch this space: oral arguments over Biden’s policies to get more Americans vaccinated amid the worst COVID surge we’ve seen begin at 10am eastern. I’ll be covering & commenting here.
First up is the OSHA case, beginning with Scott Keller, former SG of Texas, who will argue against Biden's vaccine-or-test mandate for large businesses
Keller begins: the mandate covering 84m Americans will cause widespread labor shortages and is "one size fits all" when some workplaces are higher risk and others are lower risk
NEW at SCOTUS: In light of procedural delays at the abortion-hostile 5th circuit, challengers to TX SB8 abortion ban return to Court requesting order to send the case back to the district court for quick relief
In technical terms: the request is for a writ of mandamus directing the 5th circuit to remand the case to the district court. Plaintiffs also ask SCOTUS to expedite consideration of the application.
(The petition should be docketed at SCOTUS tomorrow and isn't yet available.)
In his capacity as head of the federal judiciary, John Roberts just released his end-of-year report. He pays homage to Chief Justice Taft, highlighting issues the Judicial Conference will soon tackle.
But Roberts’s real message is to Congress: keep your hands off SCOTUS
There are three issues Roberts says the conference will engage: judges’ financial disclosures, harassment & misbehavior, and judicial assignment in patent cases.
But his subtext rings louder than any of that: criticize us all you like, but we will manage ourselves quite well without any meddling from the outside, thankyouverymuch. A not so veiled reference to Biden’s SCOTUS Reform Commission and possible congressional action.
At 10:00, the Supreme Court will be hearing a case that could poke another hole in the (already teetering) wall of separation between church and state: Carson v. Makin. You can listen in at this link. I'll be listening & tweeting.
A must-read @bartongellman analysis of Trump's efforts to derail his 2020 loss and plans in the works to steal the next election. In @rickhasen's words, “We face a serious risk that American democracy as we know it will come to an end in 2024." theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
It's dire, folks
Republicans are exiling leaders who averted catastrophe last time