In the past week, we and other researchers have noticed videos on social media showing military vehicles on trains in Russia's Far East, moving West.
Trucks, tanks IFVs and MLRS can be seen on the flatbed railcars. Eyewitnesses report several trains per week or even per day.
Trucks, tanks IFVs and MLRS can be seen on the flatbed railcars. Eyewitnesses report several trains per week or even per day.
Russia's security services take steps to hide those trains from open databases, but indirect data points to departure from the bases of all four armies of Russia's Eastern Military District.
Some trains are already seen further west than the EMD, suggesting unusual redeployment.
Some trains are already seen further west than the EMD, suggesting unusual redeployment.
Given that Russia's paratroopers are soon to leave Kazakhstan, the only other likely destination is near Ukraine, where they'd join other Russian units already there.
Videos filmed from the trains themselves suggest at least some personnel is moving with the vehicles.
Videos filmed from the trains themselves suggest at least some personnel is moving with the vehicles.
Of particular note are trains from Ulan-Ude, the base of the 5th Separate Tank Brigade, which was active in Ukraine in the winter of 2015. bellingcat.com/news/uk-and-eu…
The final destination of these vehicles is yet unknown, as is the date and scope of Russia's potential operation against government-controlled areas of Ukraine.
We will keep on monitoring the situation closely.
We will keep on monitoring the situation closely.
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