We are on the edge of earnings season and it's feeling palpable. Two headlines that I thought were interesting.
VAT Group preannounced ahead of street orders accelerated meaningfully. 20% of orders were 1 time in nature - but that's a meaningful acceleration ex that.
Not quite a pre-release but $ONTO put out a total backlog number to the tune of ~$500 million. $100 million of it just for packaging for 2.5d/3d packaging. $100m in orders for new JetStep Lithography system (PCB litho iirc)
Bodes well for $CAMT as well ofc.
$TSM is tonight. I expect a capex guide increase.
How is the $VAT group information not saying "hey chamber count is going to increase a ton"
$SIMO a big pre announcement
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TSMC reported earnings last night and their results shocked most investors. Why? Buckle up and let's talk about one of my favorite companies in the world: TSMC.
1/ the biggest surprises were revenue guidance and capex guidance.
Let's start with revenue guidance - TSMC guided to ~16.6b-17.2b in Q1 or 6% over Q1 consensus. TSMC believes they can do "mid to high 20s" revenue growth
importantly they are reporting ACCELERATING REVENUE!
2/ on the capex side they came out with an eye popping 40-44 billion dollars in additions - or 40% at the midpoint over 2021. This was far in excess of any estimate on the street. The highest estimate was 40 billion.