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This study by @JefimVogel et al. (2021) shows that it is possible to satisfy human needs within a sustainable level of energy use.
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1/ Looking at 106 countries, it analyses how the relationship between energy use and need satisfaction varies with a range of socio-economic factors relevant to the provisioning of goods and services.
2/ It looks at 6 human needs and 12 provisioning factors.
3/ “Whereas at low levels of energy use, need satisfaction steeply increases with energy use, need satisfaction improvements with additional energy use quickly diminish at moderate levels of energy use and virtually vanish at high levels of energy use"
4/ Provisioning factors can either be “beneficial”, “insignificant”, or “detrimental” for need satisfaction.
5/ For example, countries with high quality public services reach higher levels of “healthy life expectancy” at a lower energy cost than the ones with poorer pubic services. On the other hand, extractivism always brings down life expectancy and brings up energy footprint.
6/ Other example: beyond moderate levels of affluence, economic growth becomes detrimental to socio-ecological performance.
7/ Finding n°1: Need satisfaction is not a matter of energy, but rather one of how a country organises its provision system.
8/ Finding n°2: It is theoretically possible to live well with a sustainable level of energy use.
9/ If that’s true, let’s stop organising our economies around the pursuit of economic growth (a provisioning factors that is actually detrimental to wellbeing and sustainability), and let’s focus on factors that matter.
10/ Here are a few policies recommended by the authors in order to maximise need satisfaction while minimising energy use.
11/ When you think “development,” don’t think “growth”; think “sustainable need satisfaction.”
Karma moment in science. Two weeks ago, @IvanVSavin & @ProfJeroenBergh published a (flawed) review of the degrowth literature arguing that there were « very few studies using formal modelling ». This week, Lauer et al. published a study showing that this is wrong. 🧵
Systematically reviewing the literature from 2000 to 2023, Arthur Lauer and his colleagues identify 75 modelling studies.
Savin and van den Bergh (2024) argue that « the fraction of studies undertaking modelling or data analysis fluctuates in the range of 0-15% over tiem shows no clear trend » (p.3). Wrong again.
Today is Black Friday, a nonsensical ritual invented by for-profit businesses for the sole sake of moneymaking. By shopping today, you are willingly enriching a small class of business-owning super-polluters who bath in ecosystem-killing profits.
The top 10% richest humans own 76% of world wealth and generate 50% of all carbon emissions. The footprint of the world top 1% equals the one of the poorest 66% of humanity.
We are told that consuming forever more is part of human nature. Bullshit. The seemingly inescapable rat-race for positional prestige is constructed by an army of influencers, growth hackers, and ads designers. Read it again: the destruction of life on Earth is designed.
Of course that's your contention. You're an economist who just heard about degrowth. You just got finished reading some quick-and-dirty critique – the latest piece in The Economist probably – and you’re convinced that degrowth is unnecessary because we can green growth.
You’re gonna be convinced of that ‘til next month when you read "Decoupling Debunked", then you’re going to admit that decoupling has never happened in the past but you’ll say that it could sure happen in the future.
That’s going to last until next year when you’ll be regurgitating Andrew McAfee, Sam Fankhauser, or Alessio Terzi about how price signals and technological progress can solve any environmental issue.
Summary of my talk at the #BeyondGrowth conference on the impossibility of green growth and the necessity of degrowth. 🧵
There is a rumour that is picking up speed in the media, affirming that it is possible to both produce more while polluting less. Some people call it “green growth.”
This rumour is not only a rumour, it is also a belief deeply embedded within our current environmental strategies. Problem: The idea of an economic growth fully decoupled from nature is scientifically baseless and it is distracting us from more effective transition strategies.