Head of the Office of the President of Ukrainian @AndriyYermak says President @ZelenskyyUa's "main goal is to stop the war In Ukraine and to make the historical reforms." #ACFrontPage
"It's a very big concern, the potential aggression from the side of the Russian Federation," Head of the Office President @ZelenskyyUa's office @AndriyYermak tells #ACFrontPage. "If It happens, more than the majority of the people in Ukraine will defend our country."
How is it "possible to talk about European security" without Ukraine? "It's impossible," @AndriyYermak remarks. #ACFrontPage
🇺🇦@AndriyYermak addresses today's cyberattack in an #ACFrontPage conversation: "The most strategic infrastructure in Ukraine was not destroyed by this attack… Practically 90% of sites" will be restored soon. Ukrainian intelligence has "some thoughts" about who is behind it
Western leaders have maintained regular contact with Ukraine and have assured them that when it comes to decision making, "nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine." #ACFrontPage
🚨BREAKING: Head of President of @ZelenskyyUa's Office @AndriyYermak tells #ACFrontPage that "President Zelenskyy proposed to President Biden" a trilateral meeting " by video conference between President Biden, President Zelenskyy, and President Putin."
#ACFrontPage – @AndriyYermak tells @ACEurasia director that the Ukrainian government is "seriously" preparing with "partners" on various Russian aggression scenarios mentioned by @JohnEdHerbst.
In a call with Zelenskyy, Biden said, "the US will do everything to help 🇺🇦fully prepare to defend our country" but "we need help before something happens… It's not the time to discuss sanctions when we have > than 100K 🇷🇺soldiers on our border." @AndriyYermak#ACFrontPage
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What can we expect from a Trump 2.0 foreign policy? In defense and security policy, we can anticipate a return of a “peace through strength” approach. This will mean big investments in US defense capabilities to strengthen deterrence and use force decisively if deterrence fails. Trump will rightly ask allies to contribute more to ensure US alliances in Europe and Asia have the capabilities they need.
In economic policy, we can expect a focus on fair and reciprocal trade, prioritizing addressing China’s unfair trading practices, and an unleashing of the United States’ domestic energy potential. Values will center around an “America first, but not alone” orientation that will ensure that US global engagement benefits the peace, prosperity, and freedom of the American people and, in so doing, the broader free world.
— @MatthewKroenig is vice president and senior director of the Atlantic Council’s @ACScowcroft Center for Strategy and Security.
Global trade
What will the Trump administration do about global trade? This is the thirty-trillion-dollar question. It was what every finance minister and central bank governor at the recent International Monetary Fund-World Bank Annual Meetings wanted to chat about privately. Here’s what we know.
The important question about Trump and trade is: Will he do what he says he will do on tariffs? That answer is more likely yes than no, but it will not happen overnight. Trump’s trade views were shaped in the 1980s during Japan’s rapid economic growth. He views trade in binary terms, with bilateral imbalances the key determinant of whether a policy is succeeding or not. The first step in his trade policy will be, somewhat surprisingly, to try and revise the Phase 1 trade deal with China that he brokered at the end of his first term. The deal was largely judged a failure since China didn’t live up to any of its commitments, but the excuse given is that the pandemic prevented what would have been a successful first step. That’s more likely initially than a 60 percent tariff on Chinese imports.
Once he tries to revive (or, as Trump trade people say, “finally enforce”) the China trade deal, Trump will turn his attention to the European Union. Here there will be a deep divide, and Trump will seek reciprocal tariffs on a range of products—many of which he will be able to impose unilaterally. His blanket tariff promise of 10 percent seems unlikely in the near term, but instead a scattershot of specific tariffs will be a signal to countries—both allies and adversaries—that this is just the beginning. The likely response will be a tit-for-tat escalation that will be inflationary in the United States and for the global economy. While the Trump economic team disputes this, citing the fact that Trump’s first term didn’t produce inflationary results, the size and scale of what is being proposed now is vastly different.
— @joshualipsky is the senior director of the Atlantic Council’s @ACGeoEcon Center and a former adviser to the International Monetary Fund.
@AmbDanFried “In psychological terms, bringing the war home to Russia has allowed Ukraine to strike a powerful blow against enemy morale,” writes Peter Dickinson (@Biz_Ukraine_Mag). atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainea…
🧵 Since retaking Afghanistan, the Taliban has issued decrees to systematically oppress women and girls.
In this audio thread compiled by @SHalaimzai, @Metra_Mehran, and @mari_thero, #AfghanWomen narrate their ordeal under gender apartheid in Afghanistan:bit.ly/3Tt3JZ2
“Women are ordered to stay indoors because Taliban soldiers are not trained to respect women.” #AfghanWomen #GenderApartheid 🎧⬇️
“We believed that the international community was with us, that they wouldn’t give away our hard work, our rights. I feel embarrassed for thinking that now.” #AfghanWomen #GenderApartheid 🎧⬇️
The decision puts other states offering support to Israel on notice, writes @SLPJustice’s @Celeste_Kmiotek.
“Should the ICJ determine that Israel is committing genocide, the states that have aided Israel could also face cases before the ICJ.” atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atla…
@SLPJustice @Celeste_Kmiotek “Today’s decision is an important blow to the argument advanced by Israel’s critics that death and destruction in Gaza are sufficient to establish a violation of the Genocide Convention,” says @ACMideast’s @TomWarrickAC. atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atla…
Russia's war on Ukraine is also a war on global food security. A new issue brief by @anders_aslund breaks down how Ukraine's global granary has been stolen and suppressed by a Russian blockade on the Black Sea, and its impact on the global food crisis. atlanticcouncil.org/in-depth-resea…
🇺🇸@RepMikeQuigley breaks down the global impact Russia's actions have had on food supplies and prices, and voices support for the recommendation that an international coalition ensures Ukraine's ports are open for critical shipping.
Since February, Russian ships have blockaded and mined Ukraine's ports and choked off international shipping. This means that Ukraine, one of the world's largest suppliers of grain and wheat, can't get its goods to market.
❝Russia has attacked not just us, not just our land, not just our cities, it went on a brutal offensive against our values, against our right to live freely in our own country, against our national dreams. Just like the same dreams you Americans have.❞ – @ZelenskyyUa
❝This is a terror that Europe has not seen for 80 years… Is this a lot to ask for to create a no-fly zone over Ukraine to save people? Is this too much to ask? If this is too much to ask, we offer an alternative. You know what kind of defense systems we need.❞ – @ZelenskyyUa
❝I have a dream. These words are known to each of you today, I can say I have a need. I need to protect our sky. I need your decision. Your help…Ukraine is grateful to the United States for its overwhelming support…However, I call on you to do more.❞ – @ZelenskyyUa