In the past couple of days I reread this book (see pic) on the Soviet's side of the Cold War (up to 1964). I would strongly recommend it b/c it shows how things are similar (geopolitics did not change much).
US was then, as now, in a huge strategic advantage, USSR was always trying to catch up and (most important) to be taken seriously, as an equal partner.
In doing so, it precipitated crises like Berlin & Cuba. This was esp. the case w/ Khrushchev. Stalin was more cautious.
US policy is one of slow and deliberate increase of power, Soviet is a policy of stop-and-go, much more dependent on the leadership.
The authors in the concluding chapter single out absence of LT view on the Soviet side & of great personalities.
They also cover the Sino-Soviet split, but do not bring up any new details.
The book was written in the 1990s when many Russian archives were open. It has an optimistic tinge that the Cold War will never reoccur. It partakes in the Western climate of the 90s.

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More from @BrankoMilan

10 Jan
I have tweeted several times my China book reviews and I cannot find them all (without some serious search).

Here are some without *any* order. (for @Noahpinion)

Hucker, Limits to autocracy
branko2f7.substack.com/p/limits-to-au…
Arrighi, Adam Smith in Beijing
branko2f7.substack.com/p/will-bourgeo…
Weber, How China Escaped Shock Therapy
branko2f7.substack.com/p/how-china-es…
Read 15 tweets
4 Jan
In the recent years, the knowledge of US income and wealth inequality over the long-term has dramatically improved thanks to Lindert and Williamson's "Unequal gains" and Ed Wolff's, "A century of wealth in America".
"Unequal gains" looks at US inequality since 1700. L & W create the first social tables for the United States ever, for 1744, 1850, 1860 and 1870. This is an *enormous* work. They dispel the myth that the US was always unequal.
On the contrary, they show that the 13 colonies in 1774 were the most (documented) equal part of the world at that time. They also address the contribution of slavery to inequality; differences between the N and the S, rural vs, urban inequality, Kuznets Ho. Great book.
Read 4 tweets
4 Jan
"[Rome] is the classic example of that kind of insincerity in both foreign and domestic affairs which permeates not only avowed motives but also probably the conscious motives of the actors themselves—of that policy which pretends to aspire to peace but unerringly generates war,
the policy of continual preparation for war, the policy of meddlesome interventionism. There was no corner of the known world where some interest was not alleged to be in danger or under actual attack. If the interests were not Roman. they were those of Roman allies;
and if Rome had no allies, then allies would be invented. The fight was always invested with an aura of legality. Rome was always being attacked by evil-minded neighbors, always fighting for a breathing space…
Read 4 tweets
28 Dec 21
Toynbee in 1967 on why the USA has moved from being in the early 20th C anti-colonialist to becoming conservative and pro-colonialist.
“The reversal of American policies has been dramatic. What, then, is the explanation? The ultimate explanation is, no doubt, the ‘deceitfulness of riches’. Wealth does produce, in its possessors, the unhappy moral effects denounced in the Gospels;
and between the date of the United States’ achievement of independence and the capture of Russia by communism in 1917 the United States had become an incomparably rich country.”
Read 4 tweets
28 Dec 21
(Thread)
I have no strong view on the break up of the USSR. I think that the only republics that were consistently in favor of full independence were Baltic, and had not USSR annexed them in 1940, perhaps that USSR would not have broken up in 1991.
So you can see this as a classic example of imperial overstretch.
But on Yugoslavia and Czechoslovakia, I have a stronger view that they should not have been created at Versailles because the previous bad experience
with multi-ethnic countries in Central/Eastern Europe should have been a warning. They were, on Versailles' own terms an anomaly because Wilson insisted on self-determination and implicitly creation of nation-states. (btw, Poland also was multi-ethnic).
Read 5 tweets
13 Dec 21
(Thread)
Last point on post-Soviet growth facts.
1 Taking 15 republics over 30 years gives you the average unweighted (each republic counts the same) growth rate of 1.2% per year per person.
2 But it was small countries like Estonia that had higher growth (e.g. Baltics account for <2% of the total population in the post-Soviet space). If you ask: what was the average population-weighted growth, it drops to 0.8% per person per year.
3 But it gets worse. Since inequality increased in all former republics, the average real growth at the median was probably less than 0.5% per person per year.
Basically: stagnation for the median-income person.
Read 6 tweets

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