🥂Cheers to all of us for surviving the wait for the full suite of Fed nominees 🥂
I’ve written a lot about Fed diversity over the last few years. It’s time for a #FedThread 🎉 on the geographic diversity requirement for Governors.
1/13
The geographic diversity requirement for Governors is quite explicit. And it’s been there since the OG 1913 law.
“...not more than one [Governor] shall be selected from any one Federal Reserve district…”
2/13
The first few pages of this law article give a great history of how this line got in the 1913 act.
Without the requirement, some congressmen feared it would “represent the interests of East Coast bankers to the detriment of the entire country.” ylpr.yale.edu/sites/default/…
3/13
The Fed’s website has a handy list of all the Governors (past and present) and which district they are “from”.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/bi…
Here are the districts already taken (in red), available (in white), and a map of the district boundaries.
4/13
Now, although the Fed’s website lists a district…they don’t tell you how they define “from”.
I’m doing this whole thread because for the majority of Governors it’s not where they lived/worked right before becoming a Governor 🧐 weird, right??
5/13
So to investigate this, I went all the way back to every Governor who has been confirmed since Arthur Burns in 1970 (a total of 52) and I documented how they were connected to this place they were supposedly “from”. Here’s what I found:
6/13
And because the reasons are actually pretty fun to browse here is the full list 🤓
7/13
List continued…
8/13
This chart here is very interesting because it shows the dramatic decrease in the use of the classic “current job” definition in the last few decades.
9/13
The defining of “from” is done by both the White House and the Senate. The WH does it via the formal nomination forms that they send to Congress. The form introduces each nominee as “of [State]”. The Senate does it mostly via the confirmation hearings.
10/13
Nominee Peter Diamond, the Nobel prize winning labor economist, was rejected basically because Senate Rs didn’t like him, but one of their loudest excuses was that the form said “of Massachusetts” and another Governor had already claimed to be “from” the Boston district.
11/13
Given Biden was literally there for Diamond fiasco & knowing the Senate is so divided - you’d think the WH would try avoid this issue at all costs…but nope, in the form sent to Congress the WH lists Raskin from Maryland & Jefferson from North Carolina - both Richmond Fed!
12/13
I have no idea why the WH didn’t preempt the questions and just pick one of the other definitions. Heaven knows they have options! I went ahead and listed them out here 😅
Raskin could easily claim Boston ✅
Jefferson could easily claim New York or Philadelphia ✅
13/end
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Does the Fed use the minutes, published three weeks post-statement, like a mid-cycle meeting? Do they care if anyone reads the minutes? Can the Chair talk about the minutes for forward guidance?
These questions have come up many times in the last few months. I took a look.
1/8
To start, a few months ago it was suggested that the Fed adjusts/shapes the minutes to clean up from the presser or they use it to redirect markets if they think they misunderstood the statement/presser.
Not so. Here's Yellen in June 2016: 2/8
I reviewed all of the transcripts of the pressers since they began in 2011 🤓 I asked the following questions:
How many:
-pressers per Chair?
-Chair mentions the minutes?
-mention is about the current mtg?
-mention is about immediate previous mtg?
-minutes in general?
3/8
A few months ago @NickTimiraos posted a link to the results of a FOIA requested by @og_giesecke for an internal memo showing the "intended" fed funds rate 1971-84, which was nearly 12 years earlier than was available on FRED. drive.google.com/file/d/1lafHYm…
2/6
It goes without saying that monetary policy implementation worked different in 70s and 80s, then different through the 2000s, then different again after 2008. But there's a through line that remains true throughout - the Fed affects the economy by moving interest rates.
3/6
...a headline written waaaay more times than I thought.
This evening I present 13 Fed robberies 🔥
1/15
Jun 1915: @RichmondFed watchman empties his clip at two intruders, squad of cops stake out roof, the intruders get away…until the next day when the head of the Richmond Fed comes out and says the guard “imagined” it all!!
Mar 1917: the first real Fed robbery happens when a @philadelphiafed messenger is shot in the legs and arms and his bag with $10,000 is stolen. But the bandit is captured, the $$ returned, and the messenger recovers!
The @federalreserve Chair has been called the 2nd most powerful position in the world. How much do you know about the people that have sat in the chair?
Fed History thread🎉based on a massive new database we built for new Centralverse interactive centralverse.org/FedWatcher/Cha…
[1/19]
To start, let me introduce you to the ten Chairs of the Federal Reserve. [2/19]
This is where life for each of the Fed Chairs began. [3/19]