first, bull run makes u feel a certain way.
- it makes u feel the absence of gravity.
- that theres a party in the air.
- that everyones happy and excited.
- that every narrative makes so much sense!
- that every project is and will x2/x3/x10!
- that u are missing out!!!
it goes through a cycle like this.
- fresh liquidity comes in due to a catalyst.
- pours into blue chip projects.
- ppl take profits cycles to mid caps.
- ppl take profits cycles to narrative plays.
- no more liquidity to cycle.
- u hold the bag.
then comes the bear.
bears are scary and mean.
- it feels like no mans land
- things are quiet and no ones here
- u see the floors free fall, -30%, -50%, -80%...
- seems like a never ending spiral into the blackhole..
now im not saying we are going into bear,
just sharing what it feels like.
our current bull
- 2021 tax harvest, new year kicked off with a bang
- #bayc shot up from 40--> 83E
- cyberkongz baby/vx shot up another +100%
- mid caps --> #doodles/#wow shot up +100%
- then the low caps --> lots x2/x3
- then the narrative plays.
- historic, ethnics, simps
all these plays driven by pure speculation that makes zero sense. some of which are prehistoric with teams that are not even building anymore. while others, are brand new projects with very little proof, and some are just pure memes valued at $10k+...
how is this sustainable?
its not.
thats why
when the music stops,
when the light goes on,
when the party stops...
u better be rdy.
how?
- don't be greedy - take profits if u are up.
- don't be chasing - when the news arrive to u, its most likely gone through multiple private chats, whatsapp groups, TG groups, discord groups, crypto twitter and then u...
- don't be lazy - DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH!!!
DYOR
- read articles and anticipate where the market will head to
- research great projects that fits this narrative who have been building quietly.
- slowly accumulate when no one is looking.
be bold, be confident, be patient,
ie.
- #cyberkongz fits this perfectly.
- 2022 will be dominated by the metaverse plays, sandbox etc will steal the show early/mid yr.
- #ck has been building headdown and is an OG with a solid team and a huge VX presence
- slowly accumulate.
final thoughts:
now is not too late to take ur profits.
its ok to sit on the sidelines and watch.
no one knows how the market will perform.
thats why profit is profit, don't let anyone tell u otherwise.
this is a marathon, not a sprint.
i write this as a way to combat my own greed and own fomo. to logically dissect the market's current state so i can see through the noise and prepare accordingly.
i've seen this play out multiple times and hope this serves u well too.
like + retweet for more
much love ๐
wil
disclaimer: i believe the overall market is still very strong, im still hvy in all my bluechips, lots more catalyst coming. however, doesn't mean we should be rash and irrational. which is why i've taken profits on my narrative plays that doesn't have a strong team.
for great projects - the ones with strong community, great team and a solid vision - hodl hodl hodl ๐๐๐
their time will come ๐
โข โข โข
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1. tax harvest is a real thing - ppl taking loss to minimize on tax before year end, making market uncertain. new yr rolls ard, everyones rdy to get back to the table.
this morning waking up to +$6k airdrop from $sos got me sooo inspired and excited. im intrigued with the sheer amount of "free" money being airdropped to users by different projects - $rare, $ens, $sos etc.
lets break down why and how๐
1. reward early users disproportionally
rewarding early users disproportionally creates evangelist who will forever rave abt the project. ultimately, its the "community" who will help the project rise from all the noise in the market.
as a founder, im curious on the events that led to this monstrous acquisition and what we can learn from it so we can apply it to our own creations.
lets dive ๐
disclaimer:
- this is purely my observation from the outside
- i don't own any rtfkt NFTs
TDLR:
4 main reasons that led to the acquistion 1. founders - business acumen + years of bg 2. partners - deep + wide connections 3. community - reward passionate tribe 4. niche - perfect alignment with laser focus
dm's always swamped with ppl
asking for project suggestions
so here its goes
i evaluate nft projects based on 1. future potential 2. project depth 3. community 4. development team
(this is irrespective of the market condition)
(not financial advise/dyor)
๐
1. future potential
- some of the biggest corps are diving into the metaverse - facebook, softbank, grayscale, a16z, etc.
- we see that with $sand doing a whooping x8 in just under a mth.
- some of the biggest virtual land sale plays are happening right now.
$BANANA + $VOLT + $RWASTE + $XXXX + $XXXXX
all in a little world!?
๐งต๐
current NFT landscape is everyone for themselves.
every project has their own tokenomics
and their own ecosystems.
game theory, staking, breeding, etc.
what is the #1 problem these projects all encounter?
token emission vs burn mechanics.
for many projects, token emission is like trying to find buckets for a never ending fire hose.
its an ongoing deep underlying issue for a lot of projects.