Tensions rising tonight

One ally of Boris Johnson attacked the “grey wolf” intake from 2019 saying they are “called the grey wolves because they were not socialised in parliament during the pandemic”

This came after 20 2019 MPs met at 1pm to discuss what should happen to the PM
…. Some of these MPs wanted to move against the PM before the Sue Gray report, but several did not. Some want the cover of moving in a group, others determined to act come what may.

Most think confidence vote still after Gray reports (timing: 60% likely to be next week)
Tonight Boris Johnson is seeing at least one 2019 MP who was at lunchtime meeting (whips took names)

Many MPs tell me the whipping operation to support Boris Johnson has been half hearted and “meh”
Several MPs told me today it was the settled will of the Tory party to remove Boris Johnson

But with no agreement on how, when (one suggested next year) and most importantly who (expect a huge field inc Sunak Truss Zahawi Mordaunt & others) the future path not 100% set

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More from @SamCoatesSky

Dec 20, 2021
Boris Johnson interview with the TV pool by ITV

* “Long” discussion in cabinet

* Situation “difficult and arguments finely balanced”

* Right to go fast for Plan B / booster
Johnson pool 2 /

* Due to uncertainty around hospitality rate, severity and effectiveness we “agreed to keep data under constant review”

* “We will have to reserve the possibility of taking further action to protect the NHS but in the meantime please exercise caution
Johnson pool 3/

* Get boosted

* Restrictions? “We are looking at all kinds of things to keep Omicron under control and we can rule nothing out”

* Help for hospitality? Packages are already in place and we will keep everything under view
Read 4 tweets
Dec 20, 2021
On Saturday, SAGE recommended in writing a ban on indoor household mixing and closing non essential shops (Step 1/2 below) the sooner the better.

Still no government decision

Commons authorities think Gvt now not planning to recall Parliament until Dec 29 - a week Wednesday
There is clearly massive government pushback against Johnson introducing restrictions from the Cabinet. Rishi Sunak and Steve Barclay amongst those in the resistance.

More critical briefings against Gvt scientists going on.
Step 2 from the roadmap - as per @patrickkmaguire @PippaCrerar - seems to be most likely option - shops open, restaurants serving outdoors only rule of 6
Read 4 tweets
Dec 8, 2021
SAGE paper just released from yesterday:

“preliminary modelling suggests that without any changes to measures in place, the number of hospitalisations from Omicron may reach 1,000 per day or higher in England by the end of the year (and still be increasing at that point)."
SAGE: “With the speed of growth seen, decision makers will need to consider response measures urgently to reduce transmission if the aim is to reduce the likelihood of unsustainable pressure on the NHS."
Read 4 tweets
Nov 30, 2021
Speaking at a vaccine clinic in North London, Boris Johnson told TV pool:
- need to make “another great surge” on vaccinations and “we will throw everything at it”
- “we’ve no doubt at all the NHS, all the volunteers, the army can rise to that challenge”
Boris Johnson /2
- cancel holidays? Nativities? “we are not changing the guidance on how you should live your life except in a couple of ways” - masks and checks on travellers
Boris Johnson /3
- so why did Jenny Harries talk today about avoiding unnecessary socialising? “It’s always sensible to be careful that’s what Jenny is saying … people should continue to get fresh air and wash hands but we’re not going to change the overall guidance”
Read 4 tweets
Nov 8, 2021
Important intervention from Tory MP and standards committee member Alberto Costa

He saying that none of the 14 members - 7 MPs and 7 lay people - have legal qualifications and there’s a conflict of interest involving commissioner

He’s blowing up the existing system…
Committee member Alberto Costa saying he tried and fail to raise the failings of the Standards system from the inside but never succeeded
Standards committee and Tory MP Alberto Costa says there needs to be “more high court judges” into the process
Read 4 tweets
Nov 8, 2021
How do you “ban second jobs” for MPs when being a minister is a “second job” on top of being an MP.

So any crackdown would be about what forms of extracurricular work permitted

Is anything funded by government/state OK? Anything above a certain £? Certain industries? Books?
You are quickly into very tricky areas - once you’re arguing about definitions of professions and activities, the chances of reform actually happening diminish quickly
The danger is that you get into MPs trying to define what “good” outside jobs are (part time helping as an NHS first responder) and “bad” outside jobs (receiving money from a PR agency)

But people’s view of what is morally acceptable differs and shifts over time
Read 11 tweets

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