Given the defection of @Christian4BuryS we would highlight that a reliable indication of current political thinking in the Bury South & the North West of England exists - using our MRP tracking on behalf of @38degrees
Our most recent MRP update indicated Labour’s vote share in Bury South was 52% (+9 since GE 2019) with the party enjoying a 16 point lead* over the Conservatives on 35% (-8). 
The current perception in Bury South of the Government’s upholding of the Nolan Principles is poor. Constituents believe the government is quite unlikely to uphold Nolan principles, with a score of 0.32 out of a possible 1.
The North West as a region rates the Government the lowest of any English region in terms of upholding Nolan principles and standards.
Labour leads the Conservatives in the North West by 22 points - LAB 53% (+6), CON 30% (-8) LD 6% (-1) GRE 5% (+2) AP 6% (-) - Changes vs 2019 GE.
Data in the research is derived from 9,602 interviews conducted online by Survation on behalf of @38degrees to December 2021 and analysed by Professor Chris Hanretty of Royal Holloway, University of London. Full info and data is here: survation.com/survation-mrp-…
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