Ming Zhao Profile picture
Jan 22, 2022 18 tweets 7 min read Read on X
🐸DeFi Crash Course For Beginners🐸

"Why are yields so high?"
"What is (3,3)?"
"Is USDT a ponzi?"

Feeling too far behind to catch up in crypto?
Dw!

Here's a 5-min rundown of all things DeFi starting from zero.
👇
🧵/

FULL BLOG POST AT @Noahpinion: noahpinion.substack.com/p/a-defi-crash…
1/ Crypto was just a pipe dream in 2017.

- Mining BTC was edgy
- Buying 🍕 & 💉w/ magic Internet money was dope
- Satoshi said decentralized P2P cash settlement was good & became the voice of God
- Vitalik embedded programmable logic on top of P2P settlement, called it Ethereum Image
But mostly it was a big fat Keynesian Beauty Contest...

- apes bought BTC & ETH thinking more schmucks will buy after them
- more apes bought🦍🦍
- ... more apes bought 🦍🦍🦍🦍
- China banned crypto
- apes got paper hands and sold 🧻🤲
- ... more apes sold 🧻🧻🧻🤲
- winter ❄️
2/ Crypto needed stability... Stablecoin is born

The first stablecoins were centralized & fully collateralized.
e.g. Tether, USDC

If u want 1 USDC u put $1 USD into Circle's managed reserve pool.

Next gen was decentralized & price was algorithmically pegged.
e.g. Basis, AMPL Image
3/ DeFi is born

First, what is DeFi (decentralized finance)?

It's really just a bunch of ordinary financial systems related to moving money (lending, investing, payments, etc.) BUT whose code runs on any computer in the world instead of on computers controlled by one company. Image
The whole point is to get rid of:
- single point of failure
- single point of corruption / manipulability
- govt's ability to shut it down
- paralyzing bureaucracy
- organizational & infrastructural fat as a result of not being open-source & having massive sales/ops teams
4/ AMMs (automated market makers)

After stablecoins, ppl made decentralized exchanges (Dexs). They ran into computational limits trying to put bid/ask order book quotes on chain, so they said "Fck it let's have a robot 🤖 quote prices & respond automatically to supply/demand!"
What is an AMM?

- It's a buncha 2-coin "swap pools" (e.g. BTC-USDT)
- Participants:
LPs/liquidity providers ~ deposit tokens into the pool
traders /liquidity takers ~ buy one token for the other from the pool Image
Uniswap (first AMM)

TLDR:
- price correlates with supply
(more demand ➡️ less supply ➡️ price goes up)
- so, just use a math equation to set real-time prices (based on supply, which is measurable):
like x*y=k, where x is supply of assetX & y is supply of assetY in a swap-pool ImageImage
5/ Yield (part 1: lending)

Any financial system needs (margin) lending.

Some ppl borrow tokens (BTC, ETH, SOL, etc) to stay market neutral while deploying such tokens for staking, margin trading, etc.

Others borrow USDC to not have to cash-out of positions, i.e. give up gains. Image
Early margin lenders realized:
- to boost customer acquisition, need GROWTH HACKS
e.g. Compound, Aave, Cream
- began issuing TOKEN REWARDS to lenders & borrowers according to how much activity they conduct relative to the whole pool
- when reward tokens appreciate 🔜 JUICY YIELD! Image
6/ Yield (part 2: AMMs)

Needless to say, when a growth hack works, everybody catches on. AMMs began deploying similar TOKEN REWARD incentive programs.
e.g. Balancer, Curve, Bancor

On top of fees to LPs, AMMs also chucked in some native tokens to sweeten the deal.
7/ Yield (part 3: every DeFi protocol)

This chart below says it all: "DeFi Summer!"
From June to Sept 2020, every DeFi protocol under the sun began issuing their own native governance tokens as rewards to users.

Yield for CAC! Image
8/ Composability (of yield)

Really just a fancy word for "money legos." In systems where all is open source, u can easily string together different protocols for bigger use-cases.

e.g. @ProjectSerum explains here how to compose a 2x leverage system with a few button clicks Image
The worry though is that Ponzis start taking advantage of composability... so that one ponzi gets composed on top of another and another...
And it's a house of cards.
Every coin that u think is there for real has a money multiplier of 69420x.

What will happen in a rate hike... ? Image
9/ MEMES!

No doubt: memes drive markets, esp crypto.

Here are some of my favorites from 2020-2021. ImageImageImage
10/ What's in store in 2022?

Onboarding next 1B users on DeFi will look nothing like the first 10M early adopters.

- TradFi Distribution Channels:
A big push to integrate with credit unions, traditional brokerages, 401-K and IRA plans, modern wealth managers/robo advisors, etc.
- Prime Brokerage and Cross-Chain:
see

- Crypto Exchanges Acquiring TradFi Brokers:
for customer acquisition & also we'll just see more DeFi-TradFi convergence in general in 2022

- Options Will Take Off:
trading volumes grew 4x in 2021, and will continue Image

• • •

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More from @FabiusMercurius

May 27, 2023
Nvidia is about to become the 1st trillion-dollar chipmaker, after surging $200B in valuation in a single day.

But when cofounders Jensen, Chris, & Curtis started the company in 1993, they had only $40K in the bank.

Here’s Nvidia’s founding story, from 0 to Taxman of AI.
👇
🧵/ ImageImage
1/ On Day 0
The idea came together over breakfast at Dennys — to bring 3D graphics computing to the burgeoning video game industry.

The risk was clear—$10M+ initial capex needed to ship the first accelerator with no pre-committed customers, no funding, and huge technology &… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2/ Cofounders take action

So Jensen quit his director job at chipmaker LSI Logic (now Broadcom). And Chris and Curtis quit their engineering jobs at Sun Microsystems.

Nvidia initially had no name and the co-founders named all their files NV for “next version.” When the founders… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 12 tweets
Apr 15, 2023
🔎How to Read a Term Sheet

VC term sheets are one of the most talked-about & least-understood docs in existence.
What's dirty, what's standard?

Whether you're building a company or thinking about it, as founder or employee:

Here's what the VCs know that you need to know👇
🧵/ Image
0/ the basics

Your objective: build cool shit
VC's objective: achieve maximum rate of return

Interests on both sides usually align — until they don't.

Term sheets spell out the:
(1) control rights, and
(2) economic rights

of both parties as the company goes from 0->1.
Key parts:

- Valuation is always the 1st (&only) thing people talk about.

But other subtle clauses can and do foil a high val many times over to sour deal economics.

These include:
- Liquidation preference
- Participation rights
- Voting rights
- Conversion
- Anti-dilution Image
Read 19 tweets
Apr 9, 2023
8 Underrated ChatGPT Prompts for B2B Sales

(with real examples, each scored #/10 on usefulness & accuracy)

👇
1/ Sourcing potential clients
score: 9/10

Prompt:
"Find 50 [insert business, eg. brokers] in [target region] that [do X, eg. offer US stocks on their investment app]?
Indicate each's website, HQ, & [other relevant info: eg. their custodial partner]. Put everything into a chart.
2/ Forming Google Dork queries to refine souring
score: 9/10

If your clients are also clients of X & if you know what terms are in a standard partnership agreement, you can Google DORK to source many more "hidden" candidate clients that have no publicly announced partnerships!
Read 11 tweets
Mar 25, 2023
Dissecting the Impending CRE Crisis

Soon u'll hear a lot more on CRE.

Why? B/c US banks & PE firms are headed for real estate doomsday.
4 collapses in 11 days
$270B in CRE loans due EoY
$3B+ defaulted in March 2023 alone

What is CRE & why does it matter?
What's next?
👇
🧵/… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
1/ What is CRE?
"Commercial real estate" = property for business

The US CRE industry is a $20.7 trillion market.

Core segments include:
- office
- industrial
- multifamily
- retail
- hotels
- land
Investors specialize into 3 major investment strategies:
- Core
- Value add
- Opportunistic

Core:
- low risk, "steady income" play
- safe geos (NYC, SF)
- high starting occupancy
- target IRR: 6-9%

Value add:
- medium risk, "asset appreciation" play
- investor must put in work… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 14 tweets
Mar 16, 2023
BREAKING:
Another wrinkle in the regional banks / $SIVB / $SBNY saga.

Retail investors about to lose $𝟑𝟏𝟎 𝐌𝐈𝐋𝐋𝐈𝐎𝐍 𝐓𝐇𝐈𝐒 𝐅𝐑𝐈𝐃𝐀𝐘— $130M on SVB + $180M on SBNY.
But NO ONE is talking about it.

WSB mods are even censoring posts about it.

What’s going on?
👇
🧵/
1/ The News

On 3/14, National Securities Clearing Corp (NSCC) said it will no longer accept $SIVB & $SBNY exercise. Settlements will be be broker-by-broker.

What does this mean?

In short, things are about to get fucked.
Put holders are about to get WIPED.

Let me explain ...
2/ Expectation vs Reality

Normally if u buy a put and stock --> $0, u should make a BOATLOAD of $$! Right?

Wrong
Not this time
Not on $SIVB

Why?
u can only cash in gains via 2 ways:
a) sell
b) exercise

For SVB puts, depending on ur broker, u might not be allowed to do either!
Read 13 tweets
Mar 10, 2023
🏦📉 SVB Crash Explained📉🏦

Silicon Valley Bank—#16 largest US bank with $212B — just crashed 60% in 1 day & fell 22% post-close. Stock halted now.

@BillAckman is calling a US gov bailout.
@peterthiel is calling a bank run.
JPM, BAC, WFC all dropped 6%.
What's next?

Is this… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
1/ How banks make money

Let's start at the beginning: SVB is a bank.
Banks make 💸💸 by taking in deposits & lending back out at higher rates.

This spread btw interest earned on loans vs paid on deposits is called NII (Net Interest Income).

NII is SVB's #1 profit source: ~73%
2/ How banks lose money

SVB's NII comes from 2 main sources:
1) interest on loans to startups
2) yield from fixed income investments (treasuries, MBS)

So SVB loses $ when:
1) startups default on debt
2) interest rates rise and SVB must sell its FI investments at a realized loss
Read 16 tweets

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