Pooja Desai Profile picture
Jan 23 10 tweets 3 min read
#UPElection2022

Every vote counts. How? Examine what happened in the last elections.

Thread👇🏾

2017 Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections: Seats Won

—BJP: 312
—SP: 47
—BSP: 19
—INC: 7
(SP-INC pre-poll alliance. Seat-sharing: SP contested 298 seats; Congress 105)

Total: 403 seats
—47 of the 403 assembly constituencies in Uttar Pradesh were decided by victory margins of less than 5,000 votes in the 2017 polls
—Of these, BJP won the most, 23 (it came second in 15)
—SP won 13 (it came second in 17)
—BSP won 8
—INC won 1
—RLD won 1
—Apna Dal (Soneylal) won 1
—In 12 of these 47 UP constituencies (with victory margins below 5,000 votes), the winner was decided by a margin of 3,000-4,000 votes
—In 10 seats, the winning margin was 2,000-3,000 votes
—In 9 seats, 1,000-2,000 votes
—In 8 seats, the victory margin was less than 1,000 votes
—Of these 8 UP constituencies (where the winning margin was less than 1,000 in 2017):
–BJP won 5 seats
–BSP won 2 seats
–SP won 1 seat
—BJP’s Raghvendra Pratap Singh defeated BSP’s Saiyada Khatoon in the Doomariyaganj seat with the lowest victory margin in the state: 171 votes
—Last year, with an eye to the 2022 polls in UP, Punjab, UK, Goa and Manipur, and the 2024 general election, several political parties (barring the BJP) had demanded a caste-based census and sub-categorisation of castes
—India’s last caste-wise enumeration was carried out in 1931
—Census 2021 was postponed until further orders due to Covid, the home ministry told Parliament in Dec 2021. It was previously extended from Dec 31, 2020 to Dec 21, 2021
—Registrar Gen of India and Census Commissioner wrote to states/UTs extending the date for changes to June-end
—Uttar Pradesh has at least 79 castes among Other Backward Classes (OBCs) and 66 scheduled castes (SCs) and sub-castes
—OBCs and SCs make up between 60 and 70% of UP’s population
—Parties’ demand for a caste-based census made sense; they needed the data to get the poll math right
—UP BJP’s ‘OBC Exodus’ ’22 began with Swami Prasad Maurya—the powerful OBC leader resigned as cabinet minister, quit BJP and joined SP
—With him, OBC leaders Dara Singh Chauhan and Dharam Singh Saini have also left BJP, joined SP
—Five years ago, the trio had left BSP to join BJP
All three of these UP OBC leaders—Maurya, Chauhan and Saini—were sitting ministers in the Yogi government
—Swami Prasad Maurya held labour portfolio
—Dara Singh Chauhan was forests minister
—Dharam Singh Saini was MoS (independent charge) Ayush, food security, drug administration
—BJP won the 2017 UP assembly election with a large margin of seats, winning 312 of the total 403
—One of the reasons analysts cited for its landslide victory was that OBCs had voted en masse for the Hindutva party
—The 2022 ‘OBC Exodus’ from UP BJP is significant for this reason

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Pooja Desai

Pooja Desai Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @poojadesaid

Jan 22
2017 Uttar Pradesh Assembly Polls — Seats Won

—BJP: 312
—SP: 47
—BSP: 19
—INC: 7
(SP-INC pre-poll alliance. Seat-sharing: SP contested 298 seats; Congress 105)

Total: 403 seats
—47 of the 403 assembly constituencies in Uttar Pradesh were decided by victory margins of less than 5,000 votes
—Of these, BJP won the most, 23 (it came second in 15)
—SP won 13 (it came second in 17)
—BSP won 8
—INC won 1
—RLD won 1
—Apna Dal (Soneylal) won 1
—In 12 of these 47 constituencies (with victory margins below 5,000 votes), the winner was decided by a margin of 3,000-4,000 votes
—In 10 seats, the winning margin was 2,000-3,000 votes
—In 9 seats, 1,000-2,000 votes
—In 8 seats, the victory margin was less than 1,000 votes
Read 10 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(