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Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
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Jan 23 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Who can spot the flaw in this critic’s logic?
Having said that, just for the hell of it, I decided to run the death rates based on vaccination rate INCLUDING deaths PRIOR to vaccination availability as well (since the pandemic started), and guess what?

It's STILL 73% higher in the least-vaxxed decile than the most-vaxxed.
TO REPEAT: EVEN WHEN YOU INCLUDE the horrific first wave of the pandemic in March-April 2020, when people in NYC & NJ were dying by the hundreds with ZERO vaccines, masking, distancing etc, the cumulative death rate is STILL SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER in the least-vaxxed counties now.
Whoops! Forgot to include the actual vaccination rate ranges along the X-axis; added here:
BLOG POST (with extra bonus graph): acasignups.net/22/01/23/which…

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More from @charles_gaba

Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Jan 23
📣 WEEKLY UPDATE: Vaxx levels by county & partisan lean...now also featuring BOOSTER SHOTS!
acasignups.net/22/01/23/weekl…
📣 AMERICA 2022 IN ONE IMAGE (updated thru 1/22/22): Image
📣 Again, for stats geeks only: Both the R^2 *and* the slope have both broken 0.5 & -0.5 respectively...and there's a pretty obvious reason why they both started increasing again right after Thanksgiving: ImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Jan 23
Whoa. Just reached an interesting Omicron data stat.
Stay tuned…posting tomorrow morning.
OK, full blog tomorrow but here's the basics: While I've mostly gained attention for my *partisan* breakouts of COVID data, I also track case/death rates on a *nonpartisan* basis based on county-level *vaccination rates*.
Read 9 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Jan 21
📣📣 REMINDER: Over 28% of the U.S. population STILL HAS TIME to #GetCovered!
acasignups.net/22/01/19/remin…
📣 If you live in Massachusetts, you have until SUNDAY to #GetCovered.

If you live in CA, DC, KY, NJ or RI, you have until 1/31.

If you live in NY, you have until 2/15.
If you live in MD, you have until 2/28.
If you live in CO, you have until 3/16.
📣 ALSO, in ANY STATE, if you have a Qualifying Life Event like getting married, moving, having a child, losing your employer coverage, turning 26, getting out of prison, etc, you're eligible for a Special Enrollment Period!
Read 7 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Jan 21
"Caving" implies they have any leverage over Manchin/Sinema. THEY. DON'T. And they didn't even with BIF, really...Manchin did want it, but he didn't want it THAT much--he sat on it for six months, he would've easily sat on it for another year rather than let himself be pressured.
"Offer Manchin a buttload of money for West Virginia!" He doesn't give a shit about West Virginians.

"Threaten to take away his committee positions!" He'd switch parties or resign outright, putting Mitch McConnell in charge again.
"Threaten to sic the DOJ/IRS on him or his daughter!" That's the same authoritarianism we were horrified by under Trump. If they happen to determine there's legit cause to investigate him or a family member, fine...but pressuring them to do so for a vote is bullshit.
Read 9 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Jan 21
No comment.
Actually, one comment: I'm deeply flattered by those who've noted my work to @pbump; I just want to clarify that I've never accused him of "stealing" my work--he *has* been doing similar analysis, as have several others, for a long time as well. 1/
It'd certainly be *nice* if he gave me a shout-out once in awhile, but that's not the same thing as "stealing my work." Lots of analysts work with the same data at the same time. Speaking of which, a shout-out to @_cingraham for inspiring my weekly red/blue decile bar graphs.
Read 4 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Jan 13
Fuck you, Matt.
My 15-yr old was THRILLED to get back to in-person school last fall, as long as there was an ENFORCED mask requirement. Now he & his friends are watching their classmates and teachers getting sick & having to quarantine left & right, and want to go virtual again.
The risk to him personally is low—he’s vaxxed & boosted—but no one is enforcing the mask mandate and both kids & staff are getting sloppier about it, not better. Having random schmoes as substitute teachers almost every day doesn’t exactly make for a strong learning environment.
Many of the teachers/students aren’t absent because THEY’RE sick but because they’re caring for a family member who is or they have to quarantine. Going fully remote would allow many of these teachers/students to still teach/attend for the next few weeks…but “hybrid” is a mess.
Read 4 tweets

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