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Nikolai Yakovenko Profile picture
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Jan 23 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Tough spot.

On one hand, don't be the tech guy asking "tough questions" in business meeting about advanced tech, because you are the a-hole (have been that guy, have been on the other side as well)

On other hand too much incentive to fool CEO who doesn't know overfit
I'm all for demos. This shows the upper bound, and lets you dream a little. We all need that.
But ML isn't like building a car. If you build the demo car, clearly more cars can be built (at some cost). The steps taken toward creating a compelling ML/AI demo can be completely divorced from making it work in practice.
I wish I had good examples... but this is really just about hard-coding, and overfitting.

Think having a fake/choreographed fight vs real boxing match. Ok... maybe bad example 😂 @ana_analytics_
There's skill to making a really good fake AI. But it's different from the skill in making a decent real one. The guys who are wizards on And-One tour, by and large had no chance to make the NBA. Even though they do things the NBA guys can't...

There's also the broader "first step" fallacy.

arxiv.org/abs/2104.12871

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More from @ivan_bezdomny

Nikolai Yakovenko Profile picture
Jan 25
My family is all from Ukraine. Grandparents lived there their whole life until old age. I was born in Moscow, and speak only Russian.

The idea the US army needs to send men and weapons to defend a line drawn by Soviet leaders is crazy to me.
The borders of Ukraine, as a country or as a province, have changed many times, and pretty recently.

At the end of the day, this is for the countries to sort out. Or should be.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modern_hi…
I get that some in USG don't like Russia. They just want Russia to lose, at everything. I get that impulse. Not sure I see a deeper justification here.
Read 4 tweets
Nikolai Yakovenko Profile picture
Jan 24
As much as it hurts me to say -- as an applied deep learning guy for years, and still a massive fan of the space -- in this climate, "AI for X" startups might not do very well. Even if you raise, you may not have the room to figure it out.
I still think AI/ML/deep learning will be solving a lot more practical problems. This will be a long-term trend over the next decade+. Not at all a bad space to get into. But you've got to have a long term approach.
I think ML infra and tools are good. But some of those companies will also struggle, as their customers struggle, and BigCo will be more reluctant to throw people and $ at the space without a clear goal in mind.
Read 6 tweets
Nikolai Yakovenko Profile picture
Jan 24
Give yourself respect if you can understand the complex biology of how they control individual neuron cells. Explained really well, but it's intricate. Gonna listen to it for third time now. It's well worth it. 🧬
Amazing where biology has gone in the past 10-20 years. Growing up in a physics household, it was not that hard sciences looked down on biology (they did not) it's just biology wasn't very precise. We were amazed what they could do with such un-exact tools back then.
Now the level of measurement and control is kind of unbelievable. You can hear that in @PeterAttiaMD voice, and he know the work.

Same as every time @razibkhan describes what's possible with ancient DNA.

The kind of science we could only dream of as kids.
Read 6 tweets
Nikolai Yakovenko Profile picture
Jan 22
A bunch of Uber drivers with third tier STEM PhD's wouldn't be the end of the world.

I think they also added language on improved conditions for business owners.

Generally a fan. Immigration policy never going to be executed perfectly, and by disinterested paper pushers.
O1 has always been a flexible but mysterious program. Our family got it -- but easy since my father was physics professor at Tier 1 university.

Had Russian friends who got it through chess -- GM/IM pretty easy -- you have international titles.
Seems it was always focused on credentials. That isn't changing but I guess now University cred (PhD) is enough, as opposed to needing some central body to certify you (like an academy of science, international conference, FIDE, etc)
Read 5 tweets
Nikolai Yakovenko Profile picture
Jan 22
Didn’t feel like running long, so ran faster 🔥 ImageImageImage
Not hard to imagine this pace for twice the distance. Little bit of suffering but I’m sure I could do it.

Not for full 5k yet tho, and maybe not on demand necessarily.
Long time til May for the 5k challenge. Will probably run 2 miles next time, but just making this up as we go along.
Read 5 tweets
Nikolai Yakovenko Profile picture
Jan 21
Seeing as many as five doves at a time this afternoon. Not all of them are friends.
These two are good though. Earlier a big 🕊 came by and wouldn’t let Arnold touch anything 😔 Image
As they’ve had enough 🌻 and stress probably still high from previous encounters, the pair fly away to an empty balcony nearby. ImageImage
Read 4 tweets

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