I've thought this a bit in recent days. Putin's favorite game is screwing with his adversaries' minds. (Given the state or our minds this is like shooting fish in a barrel, admittedly.) A highly-telegraphed, conventional invasion of Ukraine?
https://twitter.com/RYP__/status/1485613578748981255
It just doesn't seem like the kind of thing Putin likes.
Could his real goal be the Suwalski Gap?
That doesn't seem plausible to me.
He's a risk taker, sure, but that's a truly insane risk.
Could his real goal be the Suwalski Gap?
That doesn't seem plausible to me.
He's a risk taker, sure, but that's a truly insane risk.
Still, I do wonder whether all of this is some kind of distraction. From what, I don't know. But the truth is that Putin has been extraordinarily successful in advancing his goals in Europe *without* a meat-grinding conventional war.
Why wouldn't he stick with the strategy that works-- using every variety of hybrid, short-of-conventional-war tactic to divide Europe, bribe its governments, screw with their minds, and keep it in a state of impotent chaos?
Why a land war in Europe, of all dumb C20th things?
Why a land war in Europe, of all dumb C20th things?
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