Collingwood ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Profile picture
Jan 24, 2022 โ€ข 39 tweets โ€ข 15 min read โ€ข Read on X
๐ŸงตA while ago, I wrote a thread, 'the Hypernormalisation of Britain'. Surprisingly, it has been received well, with almost 450 retweets so far.

This is a THREAD about the Agents of #Hypernormalisation in Britain. It will try to explain how we reached our current state. 1/n
Our story centres on three events in 1955-56. Two are barely known and the third is misunderstood, but they created modern Britain. The first event was the publication of The Future of Socialism by Anthony Crosland, the Oxford academic and Labour MP. No book has had more... 2/n
...influence on postwar British society. In it, Crosland argued that the Labour Party should stop focusing solely on economic policy as a means to achieve its socialist ends: there was more than one way to skin a cat. Instead of attempting to control the commanding...3/n
...heights of the economy through nationalising evermore industry, Labour could achieve greater equality of outcomes by smashing existing hierarchies and status structures in the social sphere. He also argued that Labour should build a society that involved more...4/n
...personal "freedom," "dissent," and "even frivolity," and which eschewed "abstinence." In 1964, Labour entered government for the first time in 13yrs. Crosland, and Roy Jenkins, who had written The Labour Case, a book that also called for a more liberal society, provided...5/n
...the intellectual muscle behind Harold Wilson's two stints as prime minister. The institution of marriage was attacked by making divorce far easier. Abortion was legalised. Grammar schools were replaced with Comprehensives. Marijuana possession was taken less seriously...6/n
...The death penalty was abolished. Homosexuality was (rightfully) legalised. Justice flipped from punishment to rehabilitation. The concept of multiculturalism was born. Coupled with the rapidly ebbing adherence to the Christian faith, and with some delay as the...7/n
...changes filtered through, these steps led to a social revolution. The old taboos and societal expectations were smashed for good. Individual expression, and the pursuit of personal pleasure became more important than national, community and family obligations, culture...8/n
...and ties. Jenkins called it 'the civilized society'; however, James Callahan, a social conservative who would himself become Labour Prime Minister, resentfully called it 'the permissive society'. The Conservative Party never once tried to turn back this...9/n
...legislative programme.

Shortly before Crosland published The Future of Socialism, an Eton-educated battery chicken farmer called Antony Fisher founded the Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA). He had served as a fighter pilot for the RAF during the Second World War and...10/n
...was alarmed by Labour's 1945 election victory, given their platform of nationalisation and central economic planning. He had read a summary of The Road to Serfdom by Frederich von Hayek in Reader's Digest, but when he visited the Austrian economist at the LSE, Hayek...11/n
...had told him not to pursue a career in politics. Instead, Hayek said, Fisher should set up an organisation that would influence politicians and public policy from the outside. No think tank has had a greater influence on British life than Fisher's IEA. In 1979...12/n
...Margaret Thatcher became Prime Minister, and was going to use the ideas of the IEA to remake Britain. She would smash the unions, privatise huge swathes of publicly owned industry, aggressively deregulate the City of London's financial sector, cut direct taxation, slash...13/n
...spending and industrial subsidies, crush the supply of money, and open up the British economy to international competition. As Crosland and Jenkins had used social liberalism to revolutionise Britain, so Thatcher used economic liberalism to the same ends. If the result...14/n
...of the former was 'the permissive society', the result of the latter was 'the permissive economy'. Individual economic agents -- whether people or corporations -- were expected to act in their own selfish interests. Gone were the old ties and obligations corporations...15/n
...had to the country and communities in which they operated. What now counted was only their ability to offer shareholders a return on equity. Gone also was the government's obligation to think of economic security and manufacturing capacity, and to protect individual...16/n
...workers from the biting winds of capitalism. Instead, the windows would be thrown open to labour competition from anywhere in the world, even from countries with far lower wages and poorer working conditions. Labour never once tried to turn back this process. Shortly...17/n
...after the foundation of the IEA, and as Crosland was publishing The Future of Socialism, the UK was embroiled in the Suez Crisis. Britain wanted to prevent the Suez Canal from being nationalised, and plotted a coup de main with Israel and France to prevent it happening...18/n.
Under severe pressure from the US, the plan failed. It is often considered the final nail in the coffin for Britain's great power status; however, that had happened in Singapore in 1942. In fact, it was a matter of confidence. The People's confidence in the ruling elites...19/n
..., now exposed as bungling liars, was shattered. Meanwhile, the elites' confidence in Britain was likewise destroyed. The ruling class thenceforth believed that Britain could no longer be an independent state with strategic manoeuvrability. Instead, they sought to anchor...20/n
...Britain in two places that could: Brussels (with its large internal market and economic power) and Washington (with its full spectrum geopolitical might). They hoped that by doing so, Britain might have a voice in two globally powerful decision centres. And, as Britain..21/n
...became more deeply enmeshed with the global economic order the US had set up during the Cold War (GATT, the IMF, the World Bank, the EU, and the be WTO), evermore power was removed from politicians and placed in the hands of a technocratic elite that made decisions on a..22/n
...supranational level.

The election of the Labour Party in 1997 brought together the three key events of 1955-56. They understood that Crosland was right: they did not need to seize the commanding heights of the economy to achieve their progressive revolution. So they...23/n
...left untouched the Thatcherite financial and economic reforms. Indeed, they went further, privatising more public assets, inviting private capital into the public sector, and even making the Bank of England independent. This handed yet another key economic lever...24/n
...,the ability to control the supply of money, away to unelected bureaucrats, who also controlled British trade policy (EU and the WTO), industrial policy (EU), workers rights (HCHR and ECJ) and financial regulation (Bank of England and Financial Services Authority)...25/n
Blair and Labour also continued the post-Suez trend in foreign policy, making Britain even more an addendum to the foreign policy of America, which was about to embark on a monstrously hubristic crusade to remake the world in its own image. Instead of controlling the...26/n
...country's economy and foreign relations, Labour sought to achieve social revolution. It threw open the borders to massive immigration "to rub the noses of conservatives in diversity." Its Equality Act replaced the British concept of fairness with the alien one of equity...27/n
This legally forced the public sector to consider protected characteristics more than meritocracy. Its Human Rights Act of 1998 forced British Law to consider the views of the European Court of Human Rights, an activist court that treats the European Convention...28/n
...of Human Rights as 'a living document', and consistently extends its meaning and scope to cover areas such as the rights of prisoners to vote. The Labour government even extended the opening hours of pubs, just as Antony Crosland had advocated in The Future of Socialism...29/n
The New Labour movement under Tony Blair thereby cemented the three trends set in motion in 1955-56.

And we accepted then all. We were happy to be free of the old taboos and social restrictions; to be able to take drugs without danger of arrest; to be able to divorce...30/n
...when we wanted; to be able to get a woman pregnant without being socially pressured to marry her. The holders of capital and the wealthy were delighted with their enhanced economic freedom to shift manufacturing capacity and capital wherever in the world it was able to...31/n
...generate the greatest return. And politicians liked having the important decisions taken from Brussels, Threadneedle Street, Washington and Strasbourg, because it gave them somebody to blame while absolving them of their responsibility to make difficult decisions and...32/n
...uncomfortable compromises.

But then it all went wrong. First, manufacturing and its jobs disappeared forever. Then, we fought an unimaginably expensive forever war for the cause of liberal democracy. Then, the deregulated banks almost destroyed the entire world economy...33/n
We started noticing real world effects of divorce -- the higher welfare bills, the streets plagued by feral youths, the disorderly schools. We started feeling the effects of unconstrained sexuality on loneliness, confidence and the ability to form long term relations. We...34/n
...saw the huge gap that appeared between the winners and losers of the global economy. We saw the breakdown of once strong communities, caused by mass migration, industry loss, and an emphasis on individual self expression. We saw the lawlessness on our streets. We saw...35/n
...that equity wasn't fair at all, and the strain it put in the unity of society. And slowly, we realised that there was nothing politicians could do. They had given up all their power. In doing so, they had handed it to a class of people unwilling to give it back. Yet we...36/n
...had also given up our power. By embracing individualism, we had relinquished our ability to take collective action. And so we retreated to the internet, where we argued with eachother and acted out the pretence that we, or the officials were tribally cheered and jeered...37/n
...,had any clue how to change things. In doing so, we handed power to a new set of unelected elites, the social media corporations, whose algorithms kept us in #hypernormalised outrage, and divided into ever smaller identity groups, preventing any real change at all. ENDS
I dedicate this mega thread to @bencobley, who loves them.

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More from @admcollingwood

Jul 8
This is a fascinating short thread that is instructive. Read it first. Essentially it argues that for many years politicians have prioritised economic growth on the assumption that that's what voters want, when this proposition isn't clear at all.

A thread in reply.

1/n
Mr Davies says he now believes that many people prioritise things other than economic growth; for example, on the left, equality, and on the right tradition and ethnic homogeneity. I think this is right, but it might be less apparent if there *was* economic growth. Since...

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...the Global Financial Crisis (almost 16 years ago!), UK GDP growth has locked into a much slower trend. 1.2% seems to qualify as high growth. Further, GDP per capita seems to have almost flatlined (see chart), while sovereign, corporate and household debt has surged in...

3/n Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 5
UNPOPULAR HOT TAKE (but I don't care, because now is the time social conservatives must speak the truth). Those decrying sectarianism in politics must think harder. What did we expect? That we could dump the world's cultures in forgotten and dilapidated council estates...

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...and towns in large numbers, and produce by unknown magic Liberal Consumer Britons? That we could hand out passports as though they were pizza delivery menus and yet deprive these people of their say at the ballot box? That we could espouse the sort of liberal...

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Read 10 tweets
Jul 1
In four days, we will likely wake to a new government. Recently, I wrote a semi-viral thread about the way Labour would govern. But what next for the Tories? And how will all this affect our politics & society? More badly than you think. This is a thread about THE DAY AFTER.

1/n
At first, whatever you think of their programme or their politics (and I am more concerned than most), Labour will be popular. All new governments enjoy a honeymoon period (even May got a short one), and the media and Civil Service will be delighted they're in power.

2/n
This means that scandals will stay covered rather than gleefully exposed; the Civil Service will cooperate rather than impede; and the media will report kindly on Labour's governance at first. Lee Cain, formerly of Vote Leave and Boris Johnson's Number 10 team, said in a...

3/n
Read 35 tweets
Jun 18
In November, long before #zeroseats, even as the media was reporting politics as usual, I wrote a thread on why the Tories were heading for an epochal defeat. Now that this is received wisdom, it's time for a new thread, forecasting how Labour will govern. Be very afraid.

1/n
The first thing to understand is that there is very little room for a stereotypical Labour spending splurge. In fact, it's more likely that @RachelReevesMP will have to engage in serious austerity. Sovereign debt is near 100% of GDP, and the 2023/24 fiscal deficit was 4.4%.

2/n
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The Institute of Fiscal Studies recently reported that the fiscal outlook was the worst in 70 years. It said it would be "miraculously lucky" if growth bounced enough to save the Treasury, leaving three options: (i) cut spending; (ii) raise taxes; (iii) borrow even more.

3/n
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Read 43 tweets
Jun 4
This is the problem. A sizable number of Tory MPs think that the whole 'culture war' is made up by the 'far right' (rather than a reaction of the average person to the excesses of the progressive-left after they *won* the culture war and consolidated their grip over every...

1/n
...node of power in the UK). This group of Tories (who have mostly accepted cultural defeat or were born into the post-defeat world and therefore know nothing different) cannot grasp why the 'Conservative' Party should be involved. I am sad to tell you that this faction...

2/n
...is *the most powerful faction within the Conservative Party*. After the election, it is they who will be favourites to win the inevitable power struggle for control of the Tory carcass -- supported as they will be by most of the legacy media and the Tory establishment...

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Read 5 tweets
Jun 3
I'm unsure @montie has thought this through. The party dumped Feckless Boris for Liz Truss, a destructive fool. Desperate after the mess she made, it was forced into a stitch up to bring in Rishi. Voters would have rightly seen a third defenestration for a third unelected PM...
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...electorate as the Party played games while the country was crushed by economic stagnation and a cost of living crisis. Imagine the hay Starmer would have made. Finally, the favourite in such a contest would have been Penny Mordaunt, whose dyed-in-the-wool, Blairite social...
Read 15 tweets

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