Jason Choi Profile picture
Jan 25 8 tweets 4 min read
Crypto markets lost $1.3T in value since Nov top.

Here are the better minds that helped me navigate this period relatively well.

Highlighted segments that were helpful.
1/ Dec 10, 2021 - "Circo Loco" by @CryptoHayes

cryptohayes.medium.com/circo-loco-53c…
2/ Dec 6, 2021 - "There Were Signs, In Retrospect" by @jdorman81

ar.ca/blog/there-wer…
3/ Jan 7, 2022, "Why Bitcoin is Behaving Like It Should" by @Kevin_Kelly_II
4/ Jan 19, 2022 - "Is the Bear Market Here?" from @gametheorizing on @theBlockcrunch.

Coincidentally we also discussed the idea of $BTC as a canary in the coal mine
5/ Finally, I don't think it got as clear cut as this from @GiganticRebirth. @lightcrypto was also an early sounder of excess

6/ Often times, froth is not grounds for divesting.

However the confluence of a) VC excesses b) secondary froth and c) crypto being entangled in markets I have no perceived edge in led to an assessment of low asymmetry, i.e. meaningful derisking.
7/ With public comp vals crushed, venture investors will start to rein in their gunslinger attitude a bit.

To the founders out there: up to now, you had all the leverage. You can raise on whatever price, set whatever terms.

This will turn on a dime - so stay vigilant!

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More from @mrjasonchoi

Jan 18
How to size bets

Some personal principles 👇
1/ Picking the right investments is half the game; sizing the bets is more important.
2/ A wrong bet sized right can be a valuable lesson; sized wrong it can spell absolute ruin.

A right bet sized wrong means you worked for nothing; sized right means victory.
Read 14 tweets
Jan 17
🤔 How should DAOs pay people?

@JacobPPhillips and I had an eye-opening chat on @theBlockcrunch.

Some highlights 👇

apple.co/3ny6Uy7
spoti.fi/3IbM0fZ
1/ DAOs today spend millions to pay apes in liquidity mining incentives...

But cringe when it comes to paying governance facilitators.

e.g. GFX's proposal to charge $3M for a multi-billion dollar FeiRari merger was struck down
2/ While tooling for rewarding freelancers and core contributors exist (@coordinape, @gitcoin)...

There's no clear standard on how contributors in DAOs should be compensated.

For example...
Read 7 tweets
Jan 8
Learning from my mistakes.

Here are some of the most embarrassing mistakes I made in my investing career.

Hopefully some can be cautionary tales.
1/ Confidence

Early in my career I placed much more emphasis on other people's views than my own analysis.

While triangulating views is useful, this leads to bad process and you end up being someone's exit liquidity, or missing fund-returning investments ( $FTT ).
2/ Hip firing

In 2020 I got carried away by the sheer euphoria of DeFi. I couldn't believe my thesis was finally playing out after a year.

I mistook beta for genius and started losing discipline. When things started unwinding I got hit bad.
Read 12 tweets
Jan 6
Crypto market outlook, Jan 2022

Thought dump to look back on
1/ Caveat: these are my personal views.

I prefer to think on venture horizons (5-10 years) - it's more fulfilling and much more interesting.

I mostly only consider weeks - months timeframe when making high time preference decisions. This thread is about the latter!
2/ In November I shared what I thought the next bear market could look like.

TL;DR: extreme sector rotations, and fast(er) recovery for sector-agnostic sell-offs.

Read 15 tweets
Dec 31, 2021
Despite billions raised for crypto funds in the past 12 months, I don’t see it as particularly bullish $BTC

Short 4 am brain dump 🤔
1/ Managers in crypto are not paid to trade / long $BTC.

$BTC liquidity is high, accessibility to tradfi infra is massively improved since ‘17 - most allocators don’t need their GPs to charge 2/20 just to long corn
2/ Second 99.9% of new projects are building on $ETH, L1s, L2s - which can survive and thrive with or without the increasingly insular Bitcoin community.

$ETH functions better as beta for crypto funds thematically
Read 5 tweets
Dec 29, 2021
🚨 Last thread of 2021! 🚨

Why @TheOfficialA7X, a global chart-topping metal band, is going all in with NFTs.

bit.ly/blockcrunch_sy… Image
1/ For those uninitiated, @TheOfficialA7X is...pretty big

8M albums sold, 6M streams monthly, Grammy nom...

Even if you're not into the genre, if you're one of the 30M people who played @CallofDuty you've likely heard their music

2/ Interestingly, the metal community is similar to crypto:

> Niche sub-culture
> Ardent fans
> Anti-establishment

But like crypto maxis, the genre also has purists, which makes it hard for innovation to be accepted.

Read 11 tweets

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