10-K Diver Profile picture
Jan 25 7 tweets 4 min read
Folks, here's our latest Money Concepts episode.

It's about the "magic of retained earnings" -- how businesses can create tremendous value by retaining part of their earnings and compounding it over time.

Scroll down for some ~2 minute highlights!

callin.com/link/KuNDjEYcDF
Highlight #1

The "Intrinsic Value" of a stock is the discounted present value of ALL future dividends from that stock.

And businesses that retain part of their earnings and compound it at a decent rate can deliver *exponential* growth in this intrinsic value over time.
Highlight #2

All companies eventually die.

IF a company NEVER pays a dividend from the time it is founded until its eventual death, then the Intrinsic Value of that company's shares is ZERO.

Even if the company produces growing earnings and cash flows for a period of time.
Highlight #3

Businesses typically use 3 kinds of capital: Equity, Debt, and Float.

It's NOT just insurance companies that have Float.

Payables to suppliers and employees, pre-paid revenue from customers, deferred taxes to the government -- are all examples of Float.
Highlight #4

Owner Earnings is a super useful concept that Buffett described in his 1986 letter: berkshirehathaway.com/letters/1986.h…

It's the amount of *cash* an owner can take out of a business each year -- IF the owner just wants to *maintain*, and NOT *grow*, the business's earnings.
Highlight #5

Many investors judge companies on "key performance metrics" -- ROE, ROIC, Inventory Turnover, etc.

But it's not enough to just *calculate* these metrics every quarter/year.

We have to *understand* the business well enough to correctly *interpret* these metrics.
About Money Concepts

We're a virtual investing club. Our goal is to help each other become better investors.

We meet Sundays at 1pm ET via @getcallin, to discuss all things investing.

Join us. Get the app. Subscribe. Tell your friends.

It's FREE.

callin.com/show/money-con…

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More from @10kdiver

Jan 22
1/

Get a cup of coffee.

In this thread, I'll walk you through the "magic of retained earnings".

This is the basic theory behind why stocks grow exponentially over long periods of time.

As investors, we'd do well to understand this theory -- and the assumptions it's based on.
2/

Warren Buffett's 2019 letter to Berkshire shareholders has a section titled "The Power of Retained Earnings".

In this section, Buffett describes how businesses can deliver enormous benefits to their owners by *retaining* and *compounding* a portion of their earnings:
3/

Let's break down this key insight from Buffett's letter.

Imagine we have a business that earns $100M per year.

Let's say this $100M neither grows nor shrinks over time.
Read 32 tweets
Jan 22
Folks, here's our latest Money Concepts episode.

We met on Sunday. We discussed several concepts related to compounding and exponential growth -- for ~1.5 hours.

If that seems too long, scroll down for some ~2 minute highlights!

callin.com/link/MHIxpuMaIc
Highlight #1

Compounding means *exponential* growth of wealth.

Examples of compounding: (1) A savings account that accrues interest, (2) a business that retains earnings and re-invests them to earn steady returns.

NOT an example of compounding: hourly wages.
Highlight #2

Buffett's early start is a big part of his > $100B net worth. He bought his first stock when he was just 11.

Thankfully, most of us don't need $100B to be happy in life. If our goal is simply to achieve Financial Independence, we can afford to start a little later.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 15
Get a cup of coffee.

In this thread, I'll walk you through 8 key concepts related to compounding and exponential growth.

To be a successful Jedi Knight, one must deeply understand the Force.

To be a successful investor, one must deeply understand the "force" of compounding.
Key Concept #1

What is Compounding?

Compounding means our WEALTH grows *exponentially* with TIME.

That is, if we wrote a formula for our WEALTH as a function of TIME, that formula would have TIME in the *exponent*.

Like so:
Key Concept #2

The biggest benefits of compounding come towards the end.

For example, take a savings account that starts with $1 and earns 10% per year -- compounded for 100 years.

In the FIRST 10 years, the account grows by ~$1.59.

In the LAST 10 years, it grows by ~$8,468.
Read 37 tweets
Jan 8
1/

Get a cup of coffee.

In this thread, I'll help you understand the Volatility Tax.

Whether you're a fundamentals-driven, buy-and-hold investor or an esoteric derivatives trader, this thread will help you hone your craft -- by sharpening your probabilistic reasoning skills.
2/

Imagine we have 2 stocks: A and B.

A is the ultimate steady compounder. Each year, the stock rises 15% -- like clockwork.

B is much more volatile. Some years, it RISES 50%. Other years, it FALLS 20%. The odds are 50/50 each year -- like a series of independent coin flips.
3/

Notice that, in any particular year, the *average* (or *expected*) return of B is the SAME as that of A.

That's because, in any year, the *average* of the 2 possible 50/50 outcomes for B (+50% and -20%) is (50 - 20)/2 = +15% -- the SAME as A's steady return.
Read 30 tweets
Jan 4
Folks, here are the highlights of our latest Money Concepts episode.

We met on Sunday via @getcallin. We talked about Financial Independence, diversification, value vs growth, and more.

👇👇👇
Highlight #1

The inspiring story of Mr. Ronald Read -- a janitor who amassed an $8M fortune by starting early, saving diligently, and investing responsibly.

With good planning and execution (and a bit of luck), Financial Independence can be within reach for most of us.
Highlight #2

There's a strong law of diminishing returns to diversification.
Read 9 tweets
Jan 1
Get a cup of coffee.

Let's kickstart 2022!

To that end, here are 22 key concepts to help you appreciate and achieve Financial Independence.
Concept #1.

What is Financial Independence?

It's a state of *self-sufficiency*. It's when you have enough money, and enough income-producing assets, that you and your family can live comfortably for the rest of your lives -- WITHOUT needing a job.
Concept #2.

Financial Independence is not really about spending MONEY how we like -- although, to an extent, that becomes possible.

It's about being FREE to spend our TIME how we like.
Read 25 tweets

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