Trung Phan Profile picture
Jan 26, 2022 20 tweets 8 min read Read on X
McDonald’s is often called a real estate company dressed up as a fast-food chain.

It's def true: McDonald's real estate holding is worth $42B and 35% of its $20B in revenue is from franchisees paying rents.

Here’s a breakdown🧵
1/ There are 39k+ McDonald's restaurants in 100+ countries w/ the company owning:

◻️ 55% of LAND under the locations (+ long-term leases for the rest)
◻️ 80% of buildings

Its $42B real estate holdings are 80%+ of total assets and can be thought of like apartment buildings.
2/ The McDonald's story is most associated with Ray Croc (who had a contentious relationship with the founding McDonald brothers).

However, it was Harry J. Sonneborn -- McDonald's President from 1955-1967 -- who created the lucrative real estate model for the fast food chain.
3/ Croc's initial model extracted money from franchisees by:

◻️Charging an initial franchise fee
◻️Escalating royalty payments
◻️Selling them marked up supplies

Unhappy franchisees could balk at the demands. So Sonneborn pitched a way for more control: become a landlord.
4/ Croc and Sonneborn launched McDonald's Franchise Realty Corp in 1956.

It started buying real estate and leasing it to franchisees at a 40% markup.

Here was the control catch: if franchisees ignored McDonald's guidance, it was breaking its lease and could be evicted.
5/ Sonneborn would tell Wall Street investors that:

"We are not basically in the food business. We are in the real estate business. The only reason we sell $0.15 burgers is because they are the greatest producer of revenue from which our tenants can pay us rent."
6/ While Kroc disliked Sonneborn's blunt framing, the model remains true to this day.

In 2020, McDonald's made $10.7B in revenue from franchisees. Rent was 64% ($6.8B) of that figure (rent is 35% of TOTAL revenue).

At the individual level, 8-15% of franchisee sales go to rent.
7/ Overall, McDonald's made $19.2B in 2020 split between:

◻️ Franchisee-run stores (55% of sales)
◻️ Company-run stores (45%)

The Franchise model is *much more* profitable for McDonald's, with 79% operating margins (vs. 14% for company-owned stores which it has to run itself).
8/ Unsurprisingly, McDonald's weights its stores towards high-margin franchisees, which account for 93% of all its locations.

McDonald's uses company-owned locations to test new ideas/products before rolling them out to franchisees, which typically sign 20-year lease agreements.
9/ To identify good real estate locations, McDonald's uses traffic analysis, walking patterns and census data.

An ideal location has:
◻️50k+ sqft
◻️Corner or corner wrap with signage on two major streets.
◻️Signalized intersection
◻️Build height of 23ft
◻️Parking lot potential
10/ Here is the model's secret sauce: McDonald's finances property at a fixed rate but -- because royalties are 4% of sales (+ a fee for ads) -- its take from franchisees are variable.

As sales and prices rise, McDonald's makes more while its largest financial outlay is fixed.
11/ In the early-2010s, investors were clamouring for McDonald's to spin off its real estate biz into a REIT (real estate investment trust).

That pitch never made sense. The Sonneborn model is an incredible business.

(And McDonald's can now fulfil its destiny as a crypto firm)
12/ If you enjoyed that, I write interesting threads 1-2x a week.

Follow @TrungTPhan to catch them in your feed.

Here's one you might like:
13/ PS. I also write a weekly newsletter packed with interesting media, tech and business nuggets trungphan.substack.com
15/ As usual, this Wall Streets Bet posts succinctly explains why McDonald's is better than a REIT:
16/ And here is McDonald’s HQ reacting to Bitcoin memes
17/ In the film about Ray Kroc (“The Founder”), Sonneborn is played by none other than @bjnovak
18/ Some interesting stats on McDonald's franchisee
19/ One major reason McDonald’s didn’t go the REIT route

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More from @TrungTPhan

Feb 4
Norway discovered off-shore oil in 1969. It launched its sovereign wealth fund with $300m in 1996.

It’s since grown 6,000x to $1.8T or $327,000 per Norwegian (5.5m people).

The fund owns 1.5% of all global equities but, most impressively, had a UX designer put a real-time fund value tracker on its website landing page.
Norway’s SWF roughly is 65% equity, 25% bond, 10% real estate/infra (all global).

Unsurprisingly, its largest holding is Apple ($47B, or 1.4% of the entire company).

On a related note, here is my deep dive podcast on Steve Jobs and making of the iPhone: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/caf…
Norway spared no expense on its SWF website. Look at that carousel!
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4
never forget that episode of “Nathan For You” when he launched a fire detector product and tried to avoid import tariffs by turning it into a music device
One company that has been very good at navigating international food tariffs/regulations is Trader Joe’s. Built its dairy and wine businesses by finding workarounds.

I explain in this deep dive podcast on Trader Joe’s business history and strategy: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/caf…
Nathan’s “Blues” Smoke Detector Instrument lololol:

— “concert quality”
— “pre-tuned to F-sharp”
— “9 battery lets you jam for hours” Image
Read 4 tweets
Jan 29
wow, found a rare interview of a DeepSeek co-founder talking about his first AI startup exit a few years ago
Jian Yang is my 2nd fave Asian founder who created a food-related product.

The 1st is David Tran, who built Sriracha (great on hot dogs) into a $1B brand using $20k of gold bars he snuck out of Vietnam in milk cans.

I tell the full story in this podcast: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/caf…
sold for $15m, what’s your excuse anon? Image
Read 4 tweets
Jan 17
Bookmarked a bunch of great David Lynch posts in past 24 hours (RIP to a legend):

1/ Martin Scorsese Tribute Image
Read 23 tweets
Sep 19, 2024
PayPal’s bland logo redesign was inevitable
Image
If you are the person that did the un-aligned letters for the previous eBay logo, please contact the research app team. We are huge fans of how un-aligned the “e” is with the “y”.Bearly.AI
This article offers up reasons for popularity of simple font logos (mostly Sans Serif):

— Easier to standardize ads across mediums
— Improves readability (especially on mobile)
— The “brand” matters more than the logo velvetshark.com/why-do-brands-…
Read 4 tweets
Sep 1, 2024
Berkshire Hathaway board member Chris Davis once asked Charlie Munger why Costco didn’t drop the membership card.

Let anyone shop and raise prices by 2% (still great value), thus making up for lost membership fees (and more).

Munger said the card is important filter:

▫️“Think about who you’re keeping out [with a membership card]. Think about the cohort that won’t give you their license and their ID and get their picture taken.

Or they aren’t organized enough to do it, or they can’t do the math to realize [the value]…that cohort will have a 100% of your shoplifters and a 100% of your thieves. Now, it’ll also have most of your small tickets.

And that cohort relative to the US population will probably be shrinking as a % of GDP relative to the people that can do the math [on Costco’s value].”▫️

I have a membership but have been guffing on the math for a few years tbh. They keep telling me to upgrade from Gold to Business but I’m too lazy (even if the 2-3% Cash Back on Business pays back after a few trips).

This is a long way of saying Costco’s membership price hike effective today — its first in 7 years — is annoying but when I decide to do the math in a few months, it’ll be worth it.

***

Chris Davis’ remarks from this episode of The Knowledge Project: open.spotify.com/episode/6fJYHF…Image
Anyway, here is something I wrote about Costco’s $9B+ clothing business my affinity for Kirkland-branded socks and Puma gym shirts. readtrung.com/p/costcos-9b-c…
Two notes:

▫️Meant “Executive” (not “Business”) membership
▫️Chris Davis was doing a pure thought experiment. Costco membership obvi high margin (on~$5B a year) and accounts for majority of Costco profits. Retail margin is tiny on ~$230B of annual sales (Costco would need like another $150B+ from letting anyone shop to make up membership profits)Image
Image
Read 5 tweets

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