Nat Bullard Profile picture
Jan 27, 2022 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Thread: How the world got to $755 billion in energy transition investment in a single year. @BloombergNEF did the math. 1/ bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
2/ Energy transition pulled in $755 billion, a 25% increase over 2020 investment, double what was invested in 2015, and a more than 20-fold increase since 2004. This is deployment money - financing market-ready tech at scale. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
3/ Key: in pure dollar terms, renewable energy is not the growth driver it once was. With $366 billion invested last year, renewable energy is still a driver of investment *volume* (it is still almost 50% of all investment). bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
4/ Energy transition investment *growth* comes from electrified transport: $270+ billion last year. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
5/ Look at these CAGRs: electrified transport is growing 48%, which is exactly 10x the pace of renewable energy (4.8%). For that matter, energy storage is growing at 36%, at which rate dollars invested double in two years. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
6/ Now: climate tech investment. $165 billion last year, across sectors and asset classes. Here's the first cut, by asset class. The IPO window was wide open with $40 billion in listings, and there were $35 billion of climate tech SPACs. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
7/ The climate tech PIPE market reached $14 billion last year; secondary share sales topped $21 billion.
8/ But the biggest climate tech asset class?
Venture capital and private equity. $54 billion in 2021.
Transport got 41% of $, energy 27%, but basically every type of endeavor got funded last year (even the buildings sector) bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
9/ As climate tech companies mature and move from VC and PE dollars to public markets liquidity, their capital needs increase. Making the move from innovation to deployment is not a matter of degree — it is a matter of orders of magnitude. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
10/ Even if only a fraction of companies supported by last year’s $54 billion in climate tech VC and PE succeed at global scale, their capital needs for deployment will be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
11/ Combine their potential successes with continued incremental growth in renewable energy, and massive growth in electrified transport, and energy transition investment will hit the $1 trillion annual mark quite soon. /end bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

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More from @NatBullard

Oct 2, 2022
Good morning. 🧵on aggregated US power generation interconnection queues.
1/ there is a lot of solar. 674 Gigawatts worth, 42% of it with storage.
There’s also 250GW of wind, 75GW Of gas, 6.3GW of nuclear, 900 megawatts of coal. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
🧵 on aggregated US power generation interconnection queues.
2/ the further west you go, the more solar+storage there is. Almost no standalone solar plants planned for California. Few in the rest of the west. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
🧵 on aggregated US power generation interconnection queues.
3/ solar resource quality peaked about a decade ago. Not a surprise. Only so many ideal high desert sites out there. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 4 tweets
Sep 22, 2022
🧵Great stuff in the new @BloombergNEF Zero-Emission Vehicles report:
1/ EV sales are ⬆️63% year-on-year about.bnef.com/blog/zero-emis… Image
🧵2/ New @BloombergNEF Zero-Emission Vehicles report:
Battery electrics 71% of sales, Plug-in hybrids 29%, you can guess where fuel cell vehicles end up about.bnef.com/blog/zero-emis… Image
🧵3/ New @BloombergNEF Zero-Emission Vehicles report:
EVs are 13% of sales, 9% pure electric, same as in 4Q 2021 about.bnef.com/blog/zero-emis… Image
Read 9 tweets
Sep 21, 2022
"We are in a period of unprecedented energy diversity, with many technologies with global average costs around $100/MWh competing for dominance." cell.com/joule/fulltext…
"The prices of fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and gas are volatile, but after adjusting for inflation, prices now are very similar to what they were 140 years ago, and there is no obvious long-range trend." cell.com/joule/fulltext…
"In contrast, for several decades the costs of solar photovoltaics (PV), wind, and batteries have dropped (roughly) exponentially at a rate near 10% per year." cell.com/joule/fulltext…
Read 4 tweets
Sep 20, 2022
Quick 🧵on @salesforce announced Net Zero Marketplace.
It raises a major (potentially existential) question for voluntary carbon markets: what is the rate-limiting step for 100x greater scale? salesforce.com/news/stories/s…
🧵2/ Is *carbon offsets availability* the rate-limiting step to 100x greater scale in voluntary carbon markets?
If so, that's a development/origination response: more developers, more places, with more access. salesforce.com/news/stories/s…
🧵3/ Is *carbon offsets quality* the rate-limiting step to 100x greater scale in voluntary carbon markets?
If so, that's a monitoring/verification/reporting response: better data, clearer protocols, more transparency salesforce.com/news/stories/s…
Read 7 tweets
Jul 6, 2022
15 years ago I joined a little clean energy information startup called New Energy Finance. Today, I'm expanding the remit a bit. It's very exciting.

Data reflections on 15 years of energy and technology change in a quick🧵follow
🧵1/ I joined New Energy Finance seven weeks before the first iPhone launched
🧵2/ Renewable energy investment would hit $120 billion in 2007 (up from $88 billion in 2006).
Investment in 2021 was more than $750 billion.
Read 11 tweets
Jul 6, 2022
Some news from me: 15 years ago, I joined a little UK startup called New Energy Finance. Now, I'm stepping into a new role for @BloombergNEF + @climate: more writing, less operations, and more engagement across the wide world of climate technology founders, funders, and builders.
So much has happened in climate tech and markets since 2007: orders of magnitude improvements in technology and orders of magnitude more deployment; $ trillions of investment and trade; industries changed, value created. Oh - and 30% of all anthropogenic CO2 emissions since 1751
What's next: more of the same, if you're a regular @climate reader; new things, if you're a @BloombergNEF client; and more projects and collaborations for anyone interested in bending our current climate curves, and shaping new positive ones too.
Read 5 tweets

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