Did Twitter systematically undermine Rahul Gandhi's following on the platform?
We look at the data. TL;DR, inconclusive, but clearly suspicious.
We do a deep dive into the numbers and find @RahulGandhi's dropped following (statistically significantly) anomalous.
Rahul Gandhi is the only major politician whose following has an anomalous drop in mid-2021. Twitter explained this as a purging of problematic/spam accounts
If so, what explains that only he had spam accounts that needed to be removed in a staggered fashion, ie accruing monthly
Twitter's explanation isn't entirely implausible. But it needs more than a boilerplate explanation. Did dropped accounts undermine other INC politicians? Other parties?
For one @yadavakhilesh seems to be going unchanged, so is it just Rahul?
Twitter has the data to explain it!
Interestingly @RahulGandhi's messages, on average, still get more retweeted than any other leader in India, despite a decline in the median retweet numbers.
Link to the full explanation here. Work led by @anmolpanda_
UP election hashtags study: 1. Smaller alliance parties (RLD, ApnaDal etc) hashtag about larger partners (BJP, SP), don't get reciprocated! 2. BJP hashtags more positive-themed, INC most antagonistic 3. Alliance parties prefer talking about Modi, State BJP wants to focus on Yogi
We find a high degree of organization among all parties, suggesting active IT cells generating hashtags.
All non-alliance partners attack the BJP.
SP and INC avoid attacking each other, but BSP, AIMIM do attack other non-BJP parties, suggesting potential of eating into votes.
INC has focused its hashtagging mainly on women's issues coalescing around #लड़की_हूँ_लड़_सकती_हूँ
Majority of UP INC politicians (over 80%) who have used this hashtag are male, a rare case of male politicians coalescing around a strategy framed in a female voice.
We studied the Twitter behavior of the spyware-targeted journalists in India to see which way they lean. No surprises, most lean anti-Government but a few on the pro-Gov side as well.
I went to the US mainly to exploit a student visa & jump to a job at the first opp. I failed, ended up doing a PhD with no academic interest, mainly to dodge deportation.
Eventually I became a college professor, then quit to become a lanyard-wearing Bangalore techie
Look at study abroad as bigger than the money you spend for it. It's an incredible privilege to have that resource. But you're not paying for the degree - you are paying for the places, people, worldviews, cultures you experience.
If you go to the US as a foreign student, the odds are, the degree alone won't get you a work permit, except for a small number of degrees, and institutions.
But if you got a short-term job, say 1-3 years on your allowed academic visa, you'll earn back a good chunk of the loan.
We find systematic tweeting, involving several key leaders. Fun find, while @sambitswaraj was center of controversy, his wasn't the firestarter
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On May 18, tweeting #CongressToolkit started systematically before dawn. In first 10 hrs 65 tweets from BJP leaders w/ over 500k followers had circulated, over 1000 influencers w/over 5k followers had amplified the message.
2/4
Twitter handles with 15k or more followers were key to amplifying the message, this is a tactic seen across other online campaigns. Several of these handles are extremely influential.
We studied online misinformation in India during the second wave of the COVID crisis. We find a dramatic rise of 'utilitarian' misinformation, purporting to 'deal with' the issue, compared with blame-oriented misinformation, purporting to find 'those at fault' in 2020.
(1/6)
A rise in misinformation about traditional cures, anti-vaccine propaganda, plasma, and oxygen. Such stories corner concerns about technology-enabled surveillance, vaccine-related uncertainty, institutional failure. Interestingly, influencers play big role in spread
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We see themes of anti-vaccine misinformation from elsewhere in the world repeated here. While @BillGates is frequently target of such misinformation on a/c of his foundation's work, now misinfo about microchips from Microsoft injected into vaccines are now doing rounds.
We traced the social media following of Indian politicians between December 2020 and March 2021 to see who gained and lost followers and engagement. Lots happened - farm protests, violence, elections.
To check the robustness of our data, we tested who were the accounts that lost the most followers or stagnated, these include Ananth Kumar, Arun Jaitley, Pranab Mukherjee, Ahmed Patel, Ram Vilas Paswan, Manohar Parrikar – all of whom have died recently.