US warns Russia conflict with Ukraine would be ‘horrific’ as tensions simmer theguardian.com/world/2022/jan… The words used to describe the situation like "panic" are not helpful. I was an Indications & Warning officer. You go through your checklist based on Soviet/Russian doctrine. You
2/ You look at the indicators changing from green to yellow to red. At some point, they are ready to invade. The hardest thing to determine is intent. IMHO Putin is trying to divide NATO, divide the EU; to create fissures in the alliances. His ultimate objective is the US out of
3/ Europe. Short of that, he wants Europeans to view the US as an unreliable ally. Putin wants to dissolve NATO. We simply have to stick to our guns. And make it clear to Putin that another invasion of Ukraine is going to cost his army, his mafia, and himself dearly. We should
4/ continue arming and training Ukraine's territorial defense forces--a strategy Ukraine borrowed from Tito. Tito was not going to defeat the USSR. Tito wanted to bleed the USSR to death. The Yugoslavs were going to use their terrain & TD units to wage guerrilla war against the
5/ Soviets. Second, we ought to now start figuring out how to get Ukraine into the EU. Put them on the on-ramp and step on the accelerator. The EU, World Bank, etc have to move ahead faster.
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