4GWDOTDOTDOT: Fourth Generation Warfare Has Come To America 4gwdotdotdot.blogspot.com/2023/06/fourth… This is my third strategic warning regarding the Christian Right's 4GW. It is the most dire. Here are the four concluding scenarios.

Check out this article from @nytimes. Because I'm a subscriber, you can read it through this gift link without a subscription. nytimes.com/2022/07/25/opi… Democratic Party voters did not see Harris as a presidential contender. I thought she would end up as Attorney General in a 2/ Democratic administration. Harris was incredibly weak on economic policy. Warren sliced & diced Harris in debates on economic issues. I still don't see her as a presidential candidate. Her speech delivery is boring. She looks wooden. And except for the law, has no policy

Larry Hogan offers himself as a potential island for what he calls “the exhausted majority of voters” of both parties, @MarkLeibovich reports. But is he just living in a shining city on a hill of wishful thinking? theatlantic.com/politics/archi… The problem for Hogan and Never Trump GOP 2/ twofold. One, Trump strongly influences the GOP base and the GOP base looks to Trump for political guidance. Two, why does anyone believe that a Reaganite GOP has any answers to 21st century questions on climate change, civil rights for minorities, and reproductive rights for

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Read here: wapo.st/3sT3jgF The only problem with Sargent's analysis of Stefanik's "doubling down on replacement theory" is that Stefanik did 2/ not. I have been collecting and analyzing hundreds of public opinion polls on immigration. What she is talking about, in a great simplified 140 characters, are what even Democratic strategists know is the Democratic Party's strategy: while not open borders, it is giving 11

Check out this article from @nytimes. Because I'm a subscriber, you can read it through this gift link without a subscription. nytimes.com/2022/05/14/opi… I will take door number 2. We keep supplying Ukraine weapons, ammo, & supplies to achieve victory. Putin can escalate but any 2/ escalation on his part is doomed. He does not have nuclear dominance. His army is being put through a meat grinder. If they tangled with NATO, they would be pureed. His air force is no match for NATO and forget his navy against the Sixth Fleet. Our goal should be to crush

It’s time to reboot America, former U.S. representative Will Hurd says washingtonpost.com/magazine/2022/… With all due respect to Will Hurd, he's a rodeo clown. What I mean is this: he's a one-man band in the GOP. If by some miracle he became president, where would he find the 4,000+ 2/ political appointees? They'd be in Heritage Foundation binders. Where would he find federal judges. They'd be in Federalist Society binders. The GOP is rotten from the attic to the basement. The grifters, charlatans, theocrats, authoritarians, fascists, QAnoners occupy all the

Check out this article from @nytimes. Because I'm a subscriber, you can read it through this gift link without a subscription. nytimes.com/2022/05/06/opi… I was livid about the leaks. I expect Biden, Austin, & Blinken to be ambiguous about our objectives. But for me, our goal should 2/ be to have Ukraine destroy the Russian military inside Ukraine. What should be left are blasted hulks and body bags going back to Russia. They should be carting their dead to Russia in donkey-drawn carts. They should be crushed. We don't have to announce that. We just have to

Biden isn’t serious about forgiving student debt. ‘Means-testing’ is a con | David Sirota theguardian.com/commentisfree/… If you study European politics, particularly Scandinavian politics, you understand that universal programs have very strong support and do not generate controversy. 2/ Democrats, however, who even their own pollsters say they do not have a message for the broad working class, still keep doing means-tested, which means awful fights over wear to draw the line. In Finland, all mothers get the same basket of goodies to help with their newborns.

Presidential election 2022: 'The archipelagos of no', French regions where the protest vote holds the majority lemonde.fr/en/politics/ar… via @LeMonde_EN I am not an expert on French politics, but the article describes the backlash caused by the failure of technocratic, neo-liberal 2/ elites. When people see their way of life crumbling--lack of services, lack of civic society--they feel abandoned and lash out, and are attracted to a far right politician who they see as understanding their sense of abandonment. Economic loss, status loss, cultural loss, and

undefined washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/… If an industry is trying to get out from under any regulation related to money laundering, you can assume they are trying to protect money laundering by organized crime, as well as tax evasion by billionaires. If you read anything on this 2/ on this industry, it is clear that crypto proponents see themselves as assaulting and undermining the liberal democratic state. They want the "Wild West" to prevail. They also claim that they are currency, rather than just a speculation token. Currencies are regulated. Banks

undefined washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/… Here is what Western publics need to understand. Any conventional military conflict with Russia will end with Russia's army, air force, and navy in tatters. Russia cannot beat the Ukrainians. It would almost certainly be mauled in an attack on 2/ on Finland. The average Finn detests the Russians. The Finnish military is first rate. NATO's ground, air, and naval forces are superior to Russia's. Putin's threat to use nuclear weapons demonstrates that he knows he is losing. He is like the schoolyard bully who, having got

"For those of us born after World War II, this is the most consequential war of our lifetime. Upon its outcome rests the future of European stability and prosperity," @EliotACohen writes: theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/… 2/ We can and should be doing more, and doing it more loudly. My own view is that we are already at war with Russia. Putin's long-term objective is the destruction of NATO. So, now is the time to destroy Russia's forces in Ukraine. Winning this war ought to paramount to Biden.

How Do We Deal With a Superpower Led by a War Criminal? nytimes.com/2022/04/10/opi… Not easy. We have some common issues: nuclear disarmament, climate change, Iran. But, after these war crimes or genocide, it will take a change of politics in Russia before we can deal with them on a 2/ normal level. There can be no sports participation or cultural exchanges. Biden, NATO, & EU have to understand that Russia's foreign reserve is going to be earmarked for rebuilding Ukraine. There is no way we are letting Russia off with a "ooopsie." They are going to pay for

My Washington Post subscription allows me to share access to great journalism. Check out this gift article, at no cost to you. ME: The problem with war crimes investigations is that they move from public opinion to the nitty gritty world of

Read here: wapo.st/3x1Gqe6 2/ judges, prosecutors, & defense lawyers, to intelligence agencies. I preface this by saying there is no doubt in my mind that the massacres of Ukrainian civilians in multiple cities are war crimes. Now we need to know which particular units, military & irregular, were in the

The QAnon Style of Politics Is Taking Over America newrepublic.com/article/165949… Follow @newrepublic At the core of every right-wing conspiracy theory is the central objective of Fourth Generation Warfare: to DELEGITIMIZE those in power, be it a party, politicians, academicians, 2/ scientists. The particular conspiracy theory does not matter. It is a vehicle for delivering its 4GW moral conflict warhead. In the 1990s, nativists invented the "Reconquista" and "NAFTA Superhighway" conspiracy theories to deletitimize the federal government for not

Garland Faces Growing Pressure as Jan. 6 Investigation Widens nytimes.com/2022/04/02/us/… If you read @emptywheel ongoing analysis of DOJ progress vs TV lawyers, the NYTimes & Biden WH would know that DOJ has multiple investigations that are closing in on DOJ. The PBs & OKs SSIs are 2/ one link away from the rat-fucker. My own analysis suggests that when you find the decision point and decision actors regarding when the OKs subbed for the PBs as bodyguards for the ratfucker, you will find the start date of planning for the Jan6 attack. That subbing in my

Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Emma Ashford nytimes.com/2022/03/18/pod… A neo-realism look at the levels of conflict. I don't agree with all of her analysis. But, the final settlement is up to Ukraine. But, if Biden thinks that US taxpayers are going to foot the bill for 2/ rebuilding Ukraine, that's a non-starter. The foreign reserves the US/EU and others have seized should be used to rebuild Ukraine. But, the interview promotes the very key idea that we need to start thinking about the endgame. Obviously, Ukraine has to know itself. But the

‘No off-ramps’: U.S. and European officials don’t see a clear endgame in Ukraine washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/… Defeatism in the WaPo. As I tweeted before on Ukraine's path to victory, there are multiple OODA Loops running at different speeds. Ukraine may be "decimated" by Putin's brute 2/ force invasion, but we have yet to see the effects of sanctions and the next round of sanctions inside Russia. We have yet to see how the moral calculus of multiple Russian publics plays out. We can already see some discord between Russia's General Staff and Putin. Putin needs

1/ War is a complex human endeavor, fought across multiple battlespaces and multiple dimensions (see Figure 1). This is a Boydian schema of 3 traditional views of conflict--strategic, operational, tactical--with Boyd's innovation of physical, mental, & moral planes of conflict. 2/ Inside the boxes is a gross simplification of reality. Imagine there are many battlespaces--the most important being inside your head & heads of everyone. Consider: the following battlespaces: Ukraine, Russia, Cyberspace for all, EU/NATO/USA, JPN/ROK/A/NZ, Finance, Trade

Russia-Ukraine war: what we know on day 10 of the Russian invasion theguardian.com/world/2022/mar… When Putin said that Ukrainians & Russians are one people, he wiped out Ukrainian nationhood & sovereignty. So his latest blabbering means nothing. It also means that when Ukraine defeats 2/ Russia's military, Russian forces & their separatist traitors will probably have to leave every inch of Ukrainian territory. The West & Ukraine have to think about the endgame. There can be no lifting of sanctions unless & until Ukraine is made whole. That means also Crimea.

How Ukraine is winning the propaganda war militarytimes.com/off-duty/milit… John Boyd wrote about 3 levels of war in addition to the standard 3 of strategic, operational, tactical: physical, mental, & moral. Ukraine is winning at the mental & moral planes of conflict. Their national unity 2/ is providng them moral courage & strength. Shock & Awe is designed to demoralize--to create fear, distrust, menace--and cause the bonds of solidarity to dissolve. Putin has done just the opposite. He now faces a military & populace that refuses to be beaten. He has an army