I know #ArrestTrumpNow is trending. And Trump will be arrested. He will lose in over 20 separate criminal trials, over the next 7-10 years, but like any Mafia trial, he will ALWAYS be tried last
After taxes, next fastest path to Trump prison is extortion of Ukraine = Giuliani
Trump has 5 separate PATHS to prison. Each of them involves MULTIPLE SEPARATE criminals and many crimes, tried in separate criminal courts.
On the Giuliani path, Trump faces multiple multiple foreign policy crimes incl Ukraine, Turkey, Venezuela, etc
PLUS Big Lie
PLUS Jan 6th
America's Mayor turned America's Vampire, the notorious serial butt-dialer Rudy Colludy had his office raided by FBI in April 2021. Very rare for FBI to raid lawyer's office. Last time it was Michael Cohen, another crooked Trump attorney who was convicted & went to prison
The FBI seized 18 digital devices, and found 28,000 files. Those were first reviewed by a 'Special Master' to protect Giuliani's clients if any those files were protected by client-attorney privilege. That review just finished one week ago Friday. Giuliani will be arrested now
The FBI raid was not related to Jan 6, or the Big Lie (this is OLDER crime by Giuliani)
It was Sir Buttdial McRudypants and his Clown Show, the Three Stooges who went onto their Ukrainian Adventure (on Vladimir Putin's dime). It is the criminal prosecution of Trump Impeachment 1
Giuliani faces SEVERAL SEPARATE crimes for several bosses, around Ukraine. At least one involves Trump (extorting Ukraine) and at least one was for a foreign country (getting US Ambassador fired, as Giuliani's client Firtash (= Putin oligarch) desired. These are HUGE, rare crimes
On the Ukraine crime for Putin, getting US Ambassador fired, assisting USA enemy, the crime against USA is so severe (and rare) that Giuliani could face the Death Penalty (I hope he does not get that, but rather Life without parole). People talk about 'treason'. This was treason
Giuliani has ALREADY CONFESSED this crime. The Feds HAVE THE EVIDENCE, by seizing his devices
Rudy partners in Ukraine were caught, tried & convicted (but will face MORE trials, get more time added). Lev Parnas tried for 9 months to flip against Rudy but did not get plea bargain
Like NY Taxes, Giuliani is Mafia trial, boss goes last
First convicted were Igor Fruman & Lev Parnas
Now Giuliani (FBI raid, his arrest now imminent)
Next to be tried are Pompeo & Bill Barr
(seems like Barr has already flipped)
Trump will be tried last
Giuliani crimes are in at least 7 series of crimes, some Federal, + State crimes. Rudy is likely to set a Guinness World Record for most crimes committed inside 18 months. Rudy did that, because he foolishly believed Trump would pardon Rudy. So he also brazenly confessed to them
Giuliani faces at least two separate Life Without Parole sentences (1 possible Death Sentence) for his Ukraine crimes alone
Add his other foreign policy crimes, plus Big Lie, plus Jan 6th. Rudy faces about 150 years
Donald Trump's Giuliani-related prison time is about 90 years
Rudy is former federal prosecutor who sent Mafia killers to life in prison. There is no prison where Giuliani is safe. He has to live in solitary confinement
He will plea-bargain, not to stay out of prison, simply to negotiate humane conditions inside for the rest of his life.
Giuliani is so terrified of prison, he BLACKMAILED Trump
Feds case is so strong against Rudy, they REFUSED plea bargain of Lev Parnas who DOCUMENTED criming in Ukraine
Rudy so afraid of the evidence seized, he begged judge to DESTROY Rudy's phones instead of viewing those files
Giuliani was not aware, he was being wiretapped, so all Big Lie and Jan 6th related crimes Rudy committed in late 2020 & early 2021 have been RECORDED by the FBI
It is not just that Rudy is screwed, so is anybody who texted to Rudy or whom Rudy butt-dialed accidentally
And everybody in any way implicated, will try to pin it all on Rudy. The standard defense we will keep hearing is Rudy Made Me Do It.
This is why Trump is tried last. The Mafia boss never gets to shift blame onto his underlings, when he is last to be tried
PS - if you want to see similar summaries to the other 4 of 5 Paths for Trump to prison (Weisselberg, Tom Barrack, Roger Stone/Jan 6th, and Matt Gaetz/pardons) I have now this Index link to all 5 Paths:
On Monday Judge Chutkan in DC (Jack Smith 2) case will hold a hearing about putting a gag order on Herr Hezbollah, the nation's Terrorist-In-Chief. Trump was under protective order. He breached it many times. So this is now his 'final warning'
Let's do a Thread
GAG ORDER THREAD/2
Don't look at me like that! This is JUSTICE. It is EXACTLY the same legal standard that would apply to you and me. Nothing more, nothing less. Trump is a FIRST TIME OFFENDER; has NEVER been convicted of any crime (yet). He was put on a 'protective order' FIRST
GAG ORDER THREAD/3
Then Trump repeatedly broke that protective order. We WITNESSED IT LIVE on TV and on social media, REPEATEDLY
But the Judge CANNOT do anything about it. Until she is FORMALLY told by the prosecution. She CANNOT do anything yet. It would be same for you and me
We certainly feel it was taking too long. In reality this is about par for the course, in some ways FASTER than normal, for such a large criminal conspiracy. Timing is similar to Watergate
FIRST of PLANNERS of Jan 6 go to trial, in Georgia in two weeks !!!
So January 6th, 2021 was two years and 9 months ago. Over 1,000 of the violent mob have been caught, over half prosecuted, and prison sentences for those running up to more than a decade in prison. That is justice
The ORGANIZERS of the Jan 6th plot are Trump, the Seditious Six..
The ORGANIZERS of Jan 6 are
Trump
Seditious Six (Giuliani, Flynn etc)
Evil Eleven of Congress (Gosar, Gym, Gaetz etc)
and a handful others (Roger Stone, Bannon etc)
They are ALL CAUGHT
Jack Smith STARTED to prosecute the organizers. Look who he has as WITNESSES to this crime
Trump calls Hezbollah "very smart" for their terrorist attack? Same Senile Man called Putin smart for invading Ukraine. And called murdering dictators MBS and Kim Jong Un smart
Meanwhile Trump has called HIS OWN CABINET and HIS OWN GENERALS idiots & stupid
General Mattis: Trump's not mature, a 5th grader
General McMaster: he's a dope, kindergartner idiot
Colonel Esper: irresponsible
General Milley: crazy
General Hytin: an idiot
General Kelly: Trump's crazy, an unhinged idiot
Next...
Then let's ask Trump White House staff, people Trump selected:
VP Pence: Trump is reckless
CoS 1 Priebus: he's an idiot
CoS 2 (Kelly, in above)
CoS 3 Mulvaney: terrible human being, a clown show
CoS 4 Meadows: Trump is worthless
SoS Tillerson: he's a fucking moron
Trump was massively embarrassed in New York, and that trial still continues. But this incident (Trump sitting in NY court for 3 days and then bailed) exposes insight into how incredibly stupid, and self-destructive Trump is
Let's do a Thread
New York New York Thread /2
So what happened? Trump sat in the civil trial - he is NOT required to be there (he must attend all criminal trials which start in March 2024). He feuded with the judge, got hit with a gag order, then stormed out of New York. Let's see how dumb it was
New York New York Thread /3
Donald the Duck McTrump's whole brand is based on the carefully constructed fake illusion, that he is somehow a 'billionaire'. WE know he is not. That Trump is a fake, a con-artist, living on other people's money. But his SUPPORTERS believe that lie
What happens next? The House cannot conduct any other business until it has selected a new House Speaker. The GOP is in civil war. It may be chaos for a while. Most likely they find a suitable Republican Speaker
DEMs do not have votes for DEM Speaker
BUT DEMs could make a deal
If a slice of Republicans (as few as 6) ally with DEMs, then that alliance could select (a Republican) speaker
Realistically the most logical such choice is an EX House Republican, like Liz Cheney
Because of GOP civil war, DEMs have leverage now
This is the deal I suggest:
DEMs make deal for ANY Republican who they can trust (like Liz Cheney, Kinzinger) where promise is 2 House Votes every week. One vote on legislation provided by GOP, the other vote legislation provided by DEMs. Both will get a floor vote each week
With Friday's bombshell news in court filing by Jack Smith of 3 more prosecution witnesses - now just about as big as they come - let's do a Thread about the flippers in Trump's life, the rats who all testify under oath, in criminal courts, against Trump
Flipper Thread/2
Trump committed an act of insurgency against America. That word is rarely used. The legal EFFECT is the same as 'treason'. Trump committed a crime which is essentially as bad as treason
So who does Jack Smith have as a witness? Trump's OWN Attorney General Barr
Flipper Thread/3
Bill Barr was not just the nation's top lawyer, as Attorney General, when this plot was first hatched - Barr learned of the idea - and TOLD TRUMP IT IS ILLEGAL. That is what Barr will testify under oath. That Trump KNEW this plot is illegal