Rajeev Mantri Profile picture
Jan 31 18 tweets 13 min read
Table 5 of the Economic Survey lays out in detail all the welfare measures taken through the Covid crisis, along with the results thereof. #EconomicSurvey2022

@sanjeevsanyal
This has been India's approach, all through the pandemic. Strong safety nets targeted (thanks to @UIDAI and @India_Stack) at those who need it most, and an iterative approach that adapts to evolving situations.
Macro is strong and stable - even if global conditions worsen from here, India is in a good position to weather storms. #EconomicSurvey2022
Diversification of tax sources and widening the tax base - especially for individual income tax - is critical. #EconomicSurvey2022
What difference is Government e-Marketplace (GeM) gem.gov.in - launched in August 2016 - making for public procurement?

GeM saves public money on a huge scale. #EconomicSurvey2022
Exports going up and sustainably so, as @neelkanthmishra has also written.

Rising merchandise trade balance means India is also expanding its options in the international relations sphere too because of the increased trade.
The #IndiaTech phenomenon. Foreign investment in startups (overlapping with the computer software + hardware sector) has become a significant source of FDI contribution. #StartupIndia

Also: @GIFTCity_ should offer some competition to Singapore and Mauritius. #EconomicSurvey2022
One of the biggest, most important successes of the Modi Govt: the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, which not only restored the credibility of capitalism hindustantimes.com/opinion/how-mo… ...but fixed the banking crisis inherited from UPA 2. #EconomicSurvey2022
Financialization at warp speed.

Retail investors are becoming a bigger segment of the stock market. At it is just the beginning. #EconomicSurvey2022
#EconomicSurvey2022 reaffirms the commitment to privatize or close almost all the 256 operational public sector enterprises (PSEs) - only a "bare minimum presence" to be maintained in the notified strategic sectors where PSEs will remain.
National Infrastructure Pipeline envisages an investment of Rs 111 lakh crore / $1.5 trillion to build infrastructure across a range of industries. #EconomicSurvey2022
Highway and road construction is proceeding at breakneck speed. #EconomicSurvey2022
>@RailMinIndia to electrify its entire network by December 2023. Again, the pace is (pun not intended) electrifying. #EconomicSurvey2022
Railways capital expenditure in 2021-22 will be 5x the capex in 2014. Yes, the ramp up is *5x in 7 years*. Enough capacity to be built up by 2030 so that the rail infra in the country is ahead of demand.

Staggering vision, and excellent execution so far. #EconomicSurvey2022
The internet boom, mainly led by private sector telecom companies.

The telecom story is, in my view, unquestionably the single-biggest transformation catalyst of the post-1991 era. #EconomicSurvey2022
Among the least discussed, but most high-impact reforms - removal of telecom regulations for BPO sector. One of those things that doesn't grab headlines but brings immediate, tangible changes for an industry. #EconomicSurvey2022
e-Shram portal eshram.gov.in/home, a national database of unorganized sector workers, has registered 22.85 crore workers. #EconomicSurvey2022
The Survey provides an update on the implementation status of the new Labour Codes by the States. This is a crucial reform for @makeinindia and for boosting manufacturing. #EconomicSurvey2022

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More from @RMantri

Feb 1
Zero tax on long-term gains and dividends was a disastrous tax policy. The objective of taxation should be to have the tax base be as wide as possible. Exempting entire sections from paying taxes only causes those who are paying taxes to cough up at even higher rates.
Not just that, zero taxes on listed equities - vast majority of which is secondary market purchase, not in primary issue - is a clear disincentive for financial participation in private equity, which comparatively was very heavily taxed. Private equity actually funds businesses.
This clamour around Budget time from every segment for reduction in taxes is frankly disgusting. Direct taxes in India still need a lot of rationalization and reforms. Argue for system-wide changes that make everyone better off, instead of trying to grab your own benefit.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 18
In November 2020, a journalist wrote a piece titled "Why I Am Losing Hope In India". The screed was shared widely by the usual suspects, offering an extremely negative prognosis on how the India story might be on its last legs.
Let us assess how things have turned out over the last ~15 months for India and the Indian economy.

Entrepreneurship: 2021 was a record year for IPOs and for new unicorns minted.
India continued to see net investment from institutional investors, even as other Asian countries saw significant net outflows - reflecting investor confidence in Indian business.
Read 9 tweets
Nov 12, 2021
At @rmponweb’s recent conference, I had the privilege of being a co-panelist with former Finance Secretary Shri Hasmukh Adhia ji. Shri Adhia has had a close association over 2001-2018 with @narendramodi and described his leadership style in detail. A 🧵 for all to know and learn.
Caveat: This thread 🧵 is from my notes and recollection of Adhia ji's speech - I don't think a video recording has been put out as yet. Any errors or misattributions are entirely mine 🙏
>@narendramodi listens a lot. He hardly speaks during presentations and meetings, he is never distracted, and he absorbs what is being presented. Normal people tune out or lose focus after some time, but not him.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 22, 2021
Let’s trace the events over the last 6 months.

First, opposition politicians and some media sellouts panned the vaccines, spread doubts and fears about their efficacy baselessly. Some called the vaccines “BJP vaccines”.
Does anybody think that *any* Indian Govt. would be so irresponsible as to just launch any vaccine publicly for use by hundreds of millions of people without due process and due diligence?

Some poisonous editors, compromised journalists and vicious politicians did exactly that.
One Uttar Pradesh leader panned the “BJP vaccines”. Chhattisgarh held back Covaxin usage for 2 months. Hardly any top leaders of Congress or other opposition parties declared they are taking / have taken the vaccine or posted photos to create public confidence in the vaccines.
Read 5 tweets
Apr 21, 2021
Vaccines are working: the charts that show the Covid endgame ft.com/content/d71729…

Very important cross-country analysis shows how mass vaccination ends the pandemic.
More evidence that vaccination works, here are the numbers from India.

via @kushal_mehra
Here is data from France, US, UK and Chile. Mass vaccinations will end the pandemic. #cowin
Read 4 tweets
Apr 19, 2021
So approximately 550 million people aged 18-45 years will become eligible for vaccines from May 1.

~91M people have received a single dose. ~16M people have received both doses. hindustantimes.com/india-news/ind…
So over ~600M people will be looking to get vaccine shots (their first or second) from May 1.

Covid19 production capacity -
Serum Institute: 100M/month (some of this would be exported under international commitments)

Bharat Biotech: 12.5M/month
Cumulative vaccine capacity (Serum Institute, Panacea Biotech, Bharat Biotech, Biologicals E, Hester Bio, Zydus: 8.2B / year. That is significant.
businesstoday.in/coronavirus/af…

But most of this production infrastructure will require tweaking and adaptation to make Covid vaccines.
Read 8 tweets

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