What is the future role of #hydrogen in road transport?
In a new comment in @NatureElectron I argue, that hydrogen is unlikely to play a major
role in sustainable road transport.
A thread on the arguments [1/n]
1. Cars: Almost all car manufacturers gave up on fuel cell passenger cars as fast charging and cheap batteries make long-distance driving feasible with battery electric vehicles.
2. Road freight is more tricky: Depending on load and daily or annual driving distance, current battery electric trucks cannot cover all road freight transport needs.
3. But fuel cell trucks will only be commercially available at the end of this decade. By then, we will see the 2nd or 3rd generation of battery trucks with higher ranges and megawatt charging.
4. By 2030 a large scale mega watt charger network will be in operation in Europe, as proposed by the European Commission in its fit for 55 proposal.
5. The remaining niche for fuel cell trucks will be small as battery trucks are very likely to have lower total costs of ownership.
6. Summary: I cannot rule out a role for hydrogen in sustainable road transport but the niche might be too small for companies to invest in trucks or the infrastructure.
7. Just for clarity: hydrogen will play an important role in the energy transition and future energy system but it seems highly questionable in road transport.
Kernergebnisse:
– Ordnungsrecht kann aufgrund der hohen Wirksamkeit und politischen Akzeptanz eine führende Rolle spielen.
– Quoten für emissionsfreie Fahrzeuge, Quoten für CO2-arme Kraftstoffe und CO2-Flottengrenzwerte bieten großes CO2-Minderungspotenzial.
- Quoten für CO2-arme Kraftstoffe senden ein transformatives
Signal, auf alternative Kraftstoffe umzusteigen und senken die Gesamtemissionen für Personen- und Güterverkehr.
– Zweitens beschleunigt eine Quote für Nullemissionsfahrzeuge die Verbreitung von E-Fahrzeugen .